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Nikhil Kamath
Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16
Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16
Nikhil Kamath
·
1:54:14 · 30 thg 11, 2025
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/2058
0:44
audience is largely wannabe entrepreneurs in India.
0:49
And I feel like all of us
0:51
have so much to learn from you because you've done it so many times
0:54
over in so many different domains.
0:56
>> Uh so we will speak to them today and I will try and center
1:01
all my questions in that direction so they can take advantage of this conversation
1:05
and maybe start take a chance and build
1:25
You want a coffee? >> Um, sure. Why not? >> Okay.
1:30
Are we going to be talking for a while?
1:32
>> I hope we are. >> Okay. Good. Sure.
1:38
>> may I trouble you for a coffee?
1:39
>> Can we get another coffee? >> Anything?
1:42
Uh, cappuccino, I guess.
1:44
All >> Are you a coffee drinker, El? Oh, >> yeah. Yeah.
1:47
I mean, yeah, I copy once usually in the mornings, you know. >> Okay.
1:51
>> One a day kind of thing. >> Yeah, pretty much.
1:58
>> You want to wait for it?
2:00
>> No, I'm I'm I'm good.
2:07
>> The first thing I must say
2:09
is you're a lot bigger
2:11
and bulkier, muscular than I would have thought you are. >> Oh, stop.
2:15
You must make me blush. >> Really? Seriously? >> Yeah.
2:22
I mean, look on the internet.
2:23
I'm small, you know. >> Yeah.
2:29
Essentially, what percentage of internet >> Yeah.
2:34
is spend on Twitter.
2:35
Is there a number to it on X?
2:37
>> Well, so we have like about 600 million monthly users.
2:42
>> Um well, although it it can spike up if there's if there's some major
2:46
event in the world,
2:47
it can get up to
2:49
I don't know 800 million or or or a billion.
2:52
>> Um if there's some major event in the world.
2:54
So, uh so so that there's
2:58
I don't know 250
2:59
300 million per week type of thing.
3:03
It's a pretty decent number.
3:05
It tends to be
3:06
>> um readers, you know, people that read words.
3:11
>> Um you know, so
3:12
>> do you think that'll change?
3:14
Um yeah, I mean there's
3:17
uh there's certainly a lot of video on on
3:20
um on the X systems,
3:21
but uh at this point increasing amounts of video,
3:24
but I think where where
3:27
uh the X network is
3:30
strongest is among people who
3:33
who think who think a lot and read a lot, you know.
3:36
So it's that's where it's going to be strongest
3:39
because we have words
3:41
and and you know so
3:44
um am among readers writers
3:47
and thinkers I think
3:49
X is number one in the world
3:52
>> as far as social media goes
3:54
the form if you had to wager a guess for tomorrow
3:59
>> how much is text how much is video
4:02
I've heard you speak about
4:04
maybe voice and hearing being the next form of communication
4:08
with AI, what happens to
4:11
X in its true form?
4:13
How does it evolve? >> Yeah.
4:16
So, I I do think most
4:18
interaction is going to be video in the future.
4:20
Uh most interaction is going to be uh real-time video with AI.
4:23
So, real-time video comprehension, real-time video generation.
4:27
Um that's going to be most of the load.
4:29
And that's how it is for most of the internet right now.
4:32
It's um most of the internet is video.
4:34
Um text is a pretty small percentage
4:37
but the the text tends to be
4:39
higher value generally or
4:42
more it's more densely compressed
4:44
information like um yeah
4:48
so but if you say like what is the most amount of
4:53
bits generated and compute spent it's certainly going to be video
4:57
>> so I used to be a shareholder of X a very small one okay
5:00
>> and I got paid when you bought it when you bought Twitter and you
5:03
made it happy decision.
5:07
Glad you did it. >> Yeah. Yeah.
5:09
I think it was important.
5:10
Um you know, I felt like uh Twitter was
5:14
heading in or had had gone in a direction
5:17
that had sort of a more of a negative influence on the world.
5:20
Um you know, it was
5:22
it was I mean, of course, this depends on one's perspective.
5:25
Some people will say, well, actually,
5:26
they liked the way it was and now they don't like it.
5:29
Um but the I think the fundamental thing was that
5:34
um Twitter was amplifying
5:39
I would say a fairly pretty far left by most people's standards in the
5:42
world's ideology because of where it was based in San Francisco.
5:46
So and and they actually suspended a lot of people on the right.
5:50
Uh um so uh
5:54
so from their perspective even someone in the center
5:56
would be would be far right.
5:58
If you're if you're far left anyone in the center is far right
6:00
because you're you it's just a political on the political spectrum
6:04
they're um they're just as far left as you get in the United States
6:08
and in San Francisco.
6:09
So what I've tried to do is just restore it to be balanced
6:12
and and uh centrist.
6:14
So there haven't been any left-wing
6:16
voices that have been suspended
6:17
or you know banned or
6:20
uh deamplified or anything like that.
6:23
Now some of them have chosen to just go go somewhere else.
6:26
Um but uh but at this point it is
6:30
the the the operating principle
6:32
of the of the X system
6:34
is to adhere to
6:36
any country's laws but not to put our thumb on the scale beyond the
6:40
laws of a When I think of social media, um, >> thank you.
6:49
When I think of social media,
6:52
I feel like even data suggests that the current incumbents
6:57
seem to be losing traction
6:59
amongst the youngest of
7:02
>> Even platforms like Instagram,
7:04
uh, I mean, they're not exactly like Twitter, but platforms across the board.
7:08
If one had to rework
7:10
social media and build something
7:12
bottom up, what do you think could work for the world of tomorrow?
7:18
>> Well, I mean, I I don't think that much
7:23
um about social media to be frank.
7:25
I mean, it's I can mostly just want to have have something where there's
7:29
um a in the case of of X, kind of a global town square,
7:35
>> uh where where people can
7:38
say what they want to say
7:39
uh with words, pictures, video
7:42
um where there's a secure messaging system.
7:45
We've recently added the ability to to do audio and video calls.
7:49
Um, so you're really trying to
7:53
bring the the the world the world together into
7:56
um a a collective consciousness
8:00
and um that that's I guess different from
8:04
just saying like what is the most
8:07
dopamine generating video stream that one could make?
8:11
Um which uh you know you
8:15
I think can be a little bit of brain rot frankly.
8:18
um you know, if if you're just watching videos that just cause dopamine hits
8:22
one after another, um but
8:24
lack substance, then I think
8:26
those those are not great that that's not a great way to spend time.
8:30
Um but I I do think that's actually what
8:34
a lot of people are going to want to watch.
8:36
Um, so if you say like total
8:38
internet usage, it's going to probably be optimizing
8:42
for, you know, neur neurotransmitter
8:46
generation, like it it there's somebody getting like a a kick out of it,
8:50
>> But it's it's it's
8:51
it becomes like a drug type of thing.
8:53
So, >> um, but I'm not really after
8:58
my goal is not to do that.
9:00
I I guess I could do that if I if I wanted to, but
9:03
um uh that's I I just want to really have um
9:08
a a global platform that brings
9:11
like like I said like it's come becomes as close to sort of a
9:14
collective uh of humanity as possible.
9:18
Um and um you know like and one of the things that we've introduced
9:24
uh for example is automatic translation.
9:28
So um so because I think it would be great to
9:32
bring together uh what what people say
9:34
in many different languages
9:36
um and but automatically
9:38
translated for the recipient.
9:40
So you have the collective consciousness
9:43
not not just of of say people in a particular language group but you
9:46
have um the thoughts of of people in
9:51
you know every language group.
9:53
And why is that important
9:55
collective consciousness to have one platform?
9:58
>> I I guess uh
10:02
yeah why is that important?
10:03
Um I I guess it's you could also say like like why
10:16
uh you know if you consider
10:19
humans like humans are composed of
10:22
around 30 to 40 trillion cells
10:29
you know there's trillions of synap synapses in your in your mind
10:32
Um but but but
10:38
there's there's no the why a bit.
10:40
I mean I guess it's just so we can
10:45
our understanding our our
10:47
understand increase our understanding of the the universe.
10:53
Um, I I guess I like I had this
11:02
sort of question about what's the meaning of life, you know, um
11:07
like why why is anything important?
11:11
Um um you know why why why are we here?
11:18
Um what's the origin of the universe?
11:20
Where what is the end?
11:22
Um What are the questions that we don't even know to ask?
11:27
Um, and probably the questions we don't even know to ask are the most important ones.
11:34
Um, so I'm just trying to I guess understand what's going on.
11:39
What is what is going on in this reality?
11:41
Um, is is this is this reality?
11:46
And um >> and where did you get when you asked
11:53
what is the point of life? >> Yeah.
11:56
So I I came to the conclusion that
12:02
um which is somewhat
12:04
in the Douglas Adams
12:06
Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy school of thought which is >> what he do. >> Yeah.
12:11
He you know he sort of
12:13
Hug's Guide to the Galaxy is like a book on philosophy disguised as humor.
12:20
the that's where you
12:22
know Earth turns out to be this
12:24
computer to understand to get to figure out the answer of the meaning of
12:28
life >> and it comes up with the answer 42
12:31
>> and but then it's like what the heck does 42 mean?
12:34
Um, and it turns out, well, actually the hard part is
12:39
the question, not the answer.
12:42
And for that, you need a much bigger computer than Earth.
12:45
That's so basically what Douglas Adams was saying is that we we actually don't
12:48
know how to frame the questions properly.
12:50
Um, and um, and so, so I think by expanding the scope and scale
12:54
of consciousness, we can
12:56
better under understand what questions to ask about the answer that is the universe.
13:02
Do you believe the collective consciousness of society?
13:09
You know when when I I was watching this movie recently called the gladiator Russell Crowe.
13:14
Have you seen it?
13:16
>> In Gladiator in Rome
13:18
when people are >> and the crowd is cheering when people kill each other.
13:27
the collective is very much like the mob.
13:31
It doesn't have nuance in its opinion per se.
13:36
>> Well, I that's a particular kind of mob.
13:38
I mean, the sort of going there to see people kill each other, you know.
13:42
>> Do you suspect the society we live in today is very different?
13:45
>> Well, we don't we don't generally
13:47
uh at this point we don't,
13:50
you know, go watch people kill each other.
13:52
Uh >> maybe some kind of euphemism
13:55
of that >> sports, I suppose.
13:59
Uh so people do sports without
14:01
um where teams attempt to defeat each other
14:05
>> but minus the death
14:08
>> Um so just going back to the
14:12
uh consideration of a human
14:15
we all started out as one cell
14:17
but now we are
14:19
over 30 trillion cells. Mhm.
14:24
and uh but I think most people like feel like they're one
14:29
one body like you know usually your right hand's not fighting your left hand
14:33
type of thing you know
14:35
>> to to sort of cooperate.
14:37
Um your mind is
14:43
you know just a vast number of neurons
14:48
but but most of the time it doesn't feel like there's
14:51
you know a trillion voices in your brain. Hopefully not.
14:57
so so there there's there's clearly
15:00
more that happens when
15:03
you have trillions of cells
15:06
uh working as a cellular collective
15:08
than say one cell
15:11
or um a a small
15:14
you know small multisellular creature.
15:16
There's there's clearly some
15:18
something different that happens like you can't talk to a bacteria you know. >> It's very silent.
15:23
um they just sort of wiggle around and
15:27
you know from their perspective I don't know I sort of what is what
15:30
is life like from the perspective of a sing of of an amoeba
15:32
you know um but I know you can't talk to amoeba like they don't
15:36
talk >> um but you can talk to humans
15:39
>> so there's just something
15:42
obviously qualitatively fundamentally different
15:45
um for humans once you have a large number of cells and
15:51
you know sufficiently large brain type of thing.
15:54
There's you can now talk to
15:56
humans >> and they they and they can say things, they can produce things.
16:01
Um but uh bacteria are not going to produce a spaceship for example.
16:06
Um but humans So I think there's something
16:11
qualitatively different that also happens when there's a collection of humans.
16:15
In fact, in fact, it's safe to say that a single human cannot make a spaceship.
16:18
I could not make a spaceship by myself.
16:20
But but uh with a collection of humans
16:23
uh we can make spaceships.
16:25
So there's there's something obviously
16:27
qualitatively different um about
16:32
a collection of humans.
16:33
In fact, it would be impossible for me to learn all of the areas of expertise.
16:38
There wouldn't be enough time in one lifetime
16:40
to even learn all the things before I was dead.
16:44
>> So um so you really fundamentally
16:47
have to have a collection of humans to make a
16:52
then I think there probably some other
16:57
qualitative scaling things that happen
16:59
when you have groups of humans
17:02
and then if the
17:05
quality of the interaction or the quality of the information flow
17:09
um is the the better it is
17:12
the more the human collective will achieve.
17:17
Um, and I'm I like said I'm just curious about the nature of the
17:21
universe and and I think if we
17:23
it's safe to say like if if we increase the scope
17:26
and scale of consciousness,
17:29
we're much more likely to understand the nature of the universe
17:32
than if we reduce it.
17:36
>> Is that a bit like spirituality?
17:38
A lot of people
17:39
talk to me about spirituality,
17:41
>> I still don't know what it actually means.
17:43
Like I keep asking them, what do you mean?
17:46
What do you mean?
17:48
>> Uh yeah, I mean a lot of people have spiritual feelings,
17:51
>> Um and um and I wouldn't try to deny that those spiritual
17:56
spiritual feelings are real to them.
17:58
Um but it's it's
18:00
uh it doesn't entirely translate.
18:03
I can't just because somebody else has a spiritual feeling doesn't mean that I
18:06
would have that spiritual feeling.
18:08
Um so um you know I I tend to be kind of physics pulled
18:14
which is like if something has predictive
18:17
value I you know I'll pay more attention to it than if it doesn't
18:22
have predictive value >> u
18:25
so you know physics I would say is the study of that which has
18:29
predictive value uh I think it's pretty good definition
18:33
um so >> my primary job elon is a stock broker and stock investor Okay.
18:38
>> There is no predictive value.
18:39
Nobody knows what will happen tomorrow.
18:42
>> Well, but I think you can generally say, you know,
18:44
um that um if if if
18:49
it's long-term for a
18:51
>> then you can say like, well, does that is that do you like the
18:55
products or services of that company?
18:58
And is it likely to
19:00
>> do you like the the product roadmap?
19:02
like it seems like they they
19:04
make great products and they're likely to make
19:07
great products in the future.
19:08
If that's the case,
19:10
then I would say that's probably a good company to invest in.
19:13
Um, and I think you also want to believe in the the team.
19:17
So, if you think, well, that's a talented and hardworking team.
19:20
They make good products today.
19:21
They seem to be still motivated to make things in the future, then I'd
19:25
say that's that's a good company to invest in. >> Um, fair point. >> Yeah.
19:29
And now that that that that
19:32
won't solve for the daily fluctuations
19:35
which happen and sometimes are pretty extreme.
19:38
Uh but over time
19:40
it would that that is the the right way to
19:43
invest in stocks because
19:44
a company is just a group of people assembled to create products and services.
19:48
So you have to say what are
19:50
how good are those products and services?
19:52
Are they likely to continue to improve in the future?
19:54
If so, then you should buy the stock of that company and and then
19:57
don't worry too much about the daily fluctuations,
20:02
What's got you most
20:04
excited now, Elon, in terms of all that you're building?
20:07
You're doing so much.
20:08
So, let me just preface
20:10
and contextualize who is watching this.
20:13
Uh, our audience is largely
20:17
wannabe entrepreneurs in uh really ambitious,
20:22
really hungry, want take the risk and build something
20:27
and I feel like all of us
20:29
have so much to learn from you because you've done it so many times
20:32
over in so many different
20:34
>> Uh so we will speak to them today and I will try and center
20:39
all my questions in that direction so they can take advantage of this conversation
20:43
and maybe start take a chance and build something. >> Okay. Sure.
20:48
Um yeah, I guess the most important thing to do is just
20:58
make useful products and services. Um >> yeah.
21:03
Um >> which one of all that all the products and services that you're building
21:07
has got you most excited today?
21:12
Well, I I think that there's increasingly
21:14
a a convergence actually between
21:17
SpaceX and Tesla and XAI
21:20
um in that if the future is
21:24
um solar powered AI satellites, which it pretty much
21:27
needs to be in order to
21:30
um in in order to harness
21:32
a non-trivial amount of the energy of the sun, you have to move to
21:36
solar powered AI satellites in deep space.
21:40
um which somewhat is a confluence of Tesla expertise and SpaceX
21:44
expertise and XAI on the the AI front.
21:50
So it does feel like over time there's somewhat of a convergence there.
21:55
Um but all the companies are doing doing great things.
21:59
Um very proud of the teams.
22:00
They do great work.
22:02
Um so you know we're
22:05
making great progress with Tesla on the autonomous driving.
22:08
I don't know if you've tried the self-driving.
22:10
>> Have you tried it?
22:11
>> I've tried it in the Whimo, not in the
22:13
>> Yeah, it's worth >> uh We actually have it here in in Austin, so you
22:18
can >> I'd love to try it.
22:19
>> You can you can literally just download Tesla app.
22:21
>> And I and I think I think it's open to to any to anyone.
22:25
Definitely try it out.
22:26
I mean, >> you know, let me know how it goes.
22:28
Um but uh you know we've made a lot of progress with electric vehicles
22:34
with uh battery packs and solar
22:37
and but and very much so with self-driving.
22:41
So basically real world AI
22:43
um Tesla is the world leader in real world AI I would say.
22:48
So, um, and then we're going to be making this robot Optimus,
22:52
which is, you know, starting production hopefully some next year, um, at scale.
22:58
Um, and I think that's going to be pretty cool.
23:00
That'll be like I think everyone's going to want their own personal
23:04
C3PO R2-D2, >> you know, helper help a robot.
23:07
Like, it would be pretty cool.
23:09
Um and then SpaceX
23:11
is doing great work with the Starlink
23:14
program, you know, providing
23:17
uh lowcost, reliable uh internet throughout the >> Hopefully India.
23:22
So we'd love to be operating in India.
23:25
That would be great.
23:26
We're operating in 150 different countries now with Starlink.
23:29
>> Can you give me a bit about Starlink
23:31
and how the tech works
23:33
>> cuz somebody I was speaking to
23:34
uh I don't know if you know this company called meter out of San Francisco.
23:38
uh they're trying to replace network engineers,
23:41
but >> I know it now.
23:42
>> Um so he was telling me about how
23:45
in densely populated areas, Starlink
23:48
works differently than it might be
23:51
in a place with not as many people.
23:53
Can you explain how it works?
23:55
>> Yeah, so Starink um
23:57
there's several thousand satellites in low Earth orbit and they're
24:00
moving around 25 times the speed of sound
24:03
um in these, you know, they're zipping around the Earth basically.
24:07
And um they're uh they're
24:11
at an altitude of about 550 km.
24:14
>> Um which is called
24:15
generally low earth orbit.
24:17
Um because they're they're at low earth orbit, they're
24:20
um the latency is
24:21
is low like the the distance because the distance is is not that far
24:25
compared to a geostationary
24:27
satellite uh 36,000 km.
24:30
Um so you've you've got
24:33
um thousands of satellites providing
24:36
uh low latency high-speed
24:40
internet throughout the world
24:42
and um and they are interconnected as well.
24:46
So there's there are laser laser links between the satellites.
24:50
So it forms sort of a a laser mesh
24:52
so that the if if let's say uh fi let's say if cables
24:56
are damaged or cut like fiber cables the satellites can communicate
24:59
between each other um and
25:02
provide connectivity uh even if uh there's there's a
25:06
uh the cables are cut
25:07
so for example when the red sea cables
25:09
were cut uh I think a few months ago
25:12
>> the satellite the the stinking satellite network
25:16
continued to function without a
25:18
>> so it's it's particularly helpful for disaster areas.
25:21
So, but if an area has been hit with uh some kind of natural
25:25
disaster, floods or fires or
25:27
earthquakes, that that tends to damage the the ground infrastructure.
25:32
Uh but the Starink satellites still work.
25:34
So, um and generally when whenever there's
25:37
some sort of natural disaster somewhere, we we always provide people with free Starlink uh internet connectivity.
25:43
You know, we don't want to charge we don't take advantage of a a tragic situation.
25:47
So, um, so always, you know, if there's
25:51
natural disasters, we like, okay,
25:53
it's it's free during the natural disaster.
25:55
You know, we we don't want to
25:57
say like, um, you know, put a pay wall up while somebody's trying to get help.
26:02
That would be wrong.
26:03
Um, so so that's it's it's it's a very robust system.
26:08
It's it's complimentary to ground systems because
26:11
uh the satellite beams
26:13
um work best in
26:15
uh sparsely populated areas.
26:18
Um but because you you've got a you've got a satellite beam, it's a pretty big beam.
26:23
So you have a and you have a fixed number of users per beam.
26:26
So, um, it tends to be very complimentary
26:29
to the groundbased cellular systems
26:32
because those are those are very good in cities
26:34
because you've got these cell towers that are, you know, only
26:37
a kilometer apart type of thing.
26:39
>> But, uh, but but but
26:42
cell towers tend to be inefficient in the countryside.
26:45
So in in uh rural
26:47
rural areas is where you tend to have the worst internet because
26:51
uh it's very very expensive and difficult to lay
26:54
to do all these do all the fiber optic cables
26:57
uh or to have
26:58
um high bandwidth cellular towers.
27:01
So Starlink is very complimentary
27:04
to the existing telecom companies.
27:09
Um it it basically tends to serve the
27:11
serve the least served which I think is is good.
27:14
Um that's um >> will that change tomorrow?
27:18
Like today as you explained the the beam is quite broad and it can't
27:22
work in a densely populated area with high buildings
27:27
>> But can that change and tomorrow it becomes really efficient
27:31
in a densely populated
27:32
city where it is competitive with the local network
27:36
>> It's it's unfortunately so the physics don't allow for that.
27:39
So >> we're too far away.
27:42
Um so at 550
27:44
km and even if we try to reduce it which
27:47
about as low as we can go is about 350
27:49
km still very far away
27:52
you you you've just
27:54
you can think of like a
27:55
like a flashlight which is it's you know that flashlight's
27:58
got a cone and and and that that cone is is coming at
28:02
you know today 550
28:05
km in the future we try to get down to 350 km
28:08
but we can't beat something that's 1 kilometer
28:10
away which the cell tower uh
28:12
physics is not on our side >> right?
28:14
So it's not it's not physically possible for us for
28:18
stalling to serve uh densely populated cities like you can serve a little bit
28:22
maybe 1% of the population
28:24
and sometimes people get you know even in
28:27
in crowded cities there might be
28:29
you know no fiber link up their road like sometimes
28:32
somebody's on a culde-sac
28:34
or something or in a
28:36
a place in in cities there are sometimes underserved
28:39
areas for random reasons
28:41
and so can serve
28:43
like said maybe 1% or 2%
28:45
of of of a densely populated city.
28:49
Um, but it can be much more effective in
28:52
like I said in rural areas where
28:54
the internet connection is much worse
28:56
and often people either have
28:59
sometimes no access to internet or it's extremely expensive or the
29:02
quality is not very good.
29:06
>> if I were to ask you to wager a guess Elon,
29:09
do you think India will go down the path of urbanization
29:12
like China did with more people moving in from rural economies to urban centers?
29:19
Um or do you think we
29:21
>> I suppose some some amount of that has happened, right?
29:24
Um I mean I'm actually I I'm curious to sort of ask you some questions as well.
29:29
Is because of course
29:30
isn't isn't that the trend or is it not the trend in India?
29:35
It is the trend largely.
29:36
I think a little bit changed
29:37
during co when a lot of urbanization
29:40
slowed down and that was not organic.
29:43
It was very artificially artificially manifested.
29:47
>> But one does question that
29:51
with AI if productivity
29:54
were to go up
29:56
and I heard you speak about UHI instead of UBI. >> Yeah.
30:01
Uh >> I think I think it will be universal high income.
30:04
>> In a world like that, I wonder if more people want to live in
30:07
cities which are always going to be more polluted
30:13
and not offer the quality of lifestyle that a rural environment might.
30:18
>> Well, I guess it's up to
30:20
some people want to be around a lot of people and some people don't.
30:22
You know, it's going to be a maybe a matter of personal choice.
30:25
But I think in the future it won't be
30:27
I I think it won't be the case that you have to be in
30:29
a city for a job.
30:31
Um because I I think I I my prediction is in the future working
30:35
will be >> We seem to be moving from not in India but in in
30:41
some parts of the west from 6 days to 5 days to 4 days to three. >> Uh not me.
30:49
>> I think the Europeans. >> Yeah. Yeah. Uh um yeah. Yeah.
30:55
There's I mean I I think if you're trying to make a startup
31:00
succeed or you're trying to make a company
31:03
do very difficult things then you you you definitely need to put in serious hours.
31:08
I think that's >> That's how it goes.
31:12
>> And if we were to move from 5 to 4 to 3 days, how
31:15
do you think society changes
31:16
when people have to work half the week?
31:19
What do they do with the other half?
31:21
Well, I I think it'll actually be that people don't have to work at
31:23
all in the in the
31:25
um and it may not be that far in the future.
31:28
Maybe only I don't know 10
31:31
I say less than 20 years.
31:33
In less my prediction is less than in less than 20 years
31:37
working will be optional.
31:38
working at all will be
31:42
like a hobby pretty much
31:46
>> and that would be because of
31:49
increased productivity meaning people do not have to work
31:52
>> they don't have to
31:54
I mean look this
31:55
obviously people can play this back in 20 years and say look Elon made
31:59
this ridiculous pred prediction and it's not true but I think it will turn
32:02
out to be true
32:03
that in less than 20 years
32:06
maybe even as little as
32:09
I don't know 10 or 15 years
32:12
um the advancements in AI and robotics
32:15
will bring us to the point where working
32:20
is um in the same way that like say
32:25
you could you can grow your own vegetables in your garden or you could
32:28
go to the store and buy vegetables
32:32
you know >> it's much harder to grow your own
32:36
But but you know some people like to grow their vegetables which is fine
32:39
you know um but it it'll be optional
32:42
in that way is my prediction.
32:45
>> If one were to argue that humans
32:47
are innately competitive and everything is relative
32:51
from the time of hunters.
32:53
Somebody wanted to be the alpha hunter or the biggest farmer.
32:57
If everybody gets a universal
32:59
high income and everybody has enough
33:03
>> what do you compete for?
33:05
Uh, it would be relative, right?
33:07
Like if we all had enough, enough is not enough. yeah.
33:14
I I guess I I I'm not exactly sure.
33:16
Um, cuz we're we're really headed
33:20
the singularity as it's called, which you know, they
33:23
refer to AI sometimes as the kind of like a black hole, like a singularity.
33:27
You don't know what happens after the event horizon.
33:29
It doesn't mean that something bad happens.
33:31
It just means you don't know what happens.
33:33
Um, like I'm I'm confident that if AI and robotics
33:39
continue to advance, which they are advancing very rapidly,
33:43
like I said, working will be optional.
33:46
Um, and people will have any goods and services that they want.
33:52
Um, if you if you can think of it, you can have it type of thing.
33:56
Um and but then at a certain point
34:01
AI will actually saturate
34:03
on anything humans can think of
34:06
and then at at that point it it becomes a situation where AI is
34:11
doing things for AI and robotics are doing things for AI and robotics because
34:15
they've run out of things to
34:17
do to make the humans happy
34:20
you know because there's a limit you know they say like
34:23
there's only people can only eat so much food or
34:28
you know if but I it's going to be I think if you can
34:31
think of it you can have it will be the future
34:34
>> you know the Austrian
34:35
school of economics if you go back in time they were the
34:38
digression from Adam Smith
34:41
>> they talk about the marginal
34:42
utility of having one of something has value having two of the same thing
34:48
has lesser value and having 10 of the same thing has no
34:52
>> so if we could have everything we wanted 10 marshmallows.
34:55
I mean, who wants that? >> One's one's plenty.
35:03
>> It's like the marshmallow taste.
35:04
You're like, you can have two marshmallows later or one marshmallow now.
35:07
And I'm like, I'll have one marshmallow.
35:08
I don't want two marshmallows. >> That's interesting.
35:12
>> What would you pick?
35:13
>> Well, I I don't One marshmallow is enough.
35:16
I always question marshmallows
35:17
as being like not the most, you know, the best candy, you know? >> Yeah.
35:23
Well, I don't yearn for marshmallows.
35:26
>> I think you're the best. >> Who does?
35:30
>> You're the best testament to the marshmallow experiment.
35:33
I think >> I suppose so.
35:34
Well, I mean, like delayed gratification essentially.
35:37
>> You were able to delay it more than most.
35:39
You know, I have a tattoo which says delay gratification. >> Yeah. Wow. Okay. What's this? Okay.
35:43
You're really taking the marshmallow
35:47
>> I feel like I can't remember when I'm trading or when I'm buying into >> delay gratification. Yeah. Yeah, >> it helps. >> Wow.
35:53
Okay, that's a good >> It's pointing at me, so it reminds me of >> Okay.
36:01
Well, that's it's good advice.
36:02
I mean, you can't miss it.
36:04
>> If you could get
36:07
>> If you could get a tattoo, what would you get?
36:10
>> I guess maybe my kids' names or
36:14
>> Why do you like the letter X as much as you do?
36:23
I mean, yeah, it's a good question.
36:26
Honestly, sometimes I wonder
36:28
what what's wrong with me.
36:30
Um um so um
36:39
I mean it started off with
36:41
where I think so way back
36:44
in ancient times in 99
36:48
>> the pre the pre-Cambian
36:50
era when there were only sponges.
36:52
Um the I I there were only three
36:57
onelet domain names um
36:59
>> and I think it was XQ and Z
37:02
and uh and I was like okay I want to have create this
37:06
place where it's the
37:07
um the financial crossroads
37:10
or like the the financial exchange
37:12
you know um >> um
37:15
it's essentially solving money from an information theory standpoint
37:20
where the current banking system is is
37:22
a large number of
37:24
uh heterogeneous databases with batch processing
37:29
that uh are not secure.
37:32
Um, and if we could have
37:34
a a a sort of a single database that was real time
37:39
and uh secure, that would be
37:42
more efficient from a monetary
37:44
from an information theory standpoint
37:46
than, you know, a large number of heterogeneous
37:49
databases that batch process very slowly and securely.
37:53
Um, so, um, so that that was that was sort of X.com
38:00
way back in the day,
38:01
which kind of, um, became PayPal.
38:05
Um, and then um,
38:10
and was acquired by eBay.
38:11
And then eBay, someone reached out from eBay and said, "Hey, do you want
38:14
to buy the domain name back?"
38:15
And I was like, "Sure."
38:16
You know, and so I had the domain name for quite a while.
38:19
Um and then uh
38:25
and then yes then I was like well
38:29
maybe this may maybe this
38:31
acquiring Twitter would also be an opportunity to
38:35
revisit the original plan of
38:38
of X.com which is to create this
38:40
um this like clearing house of
38:45
of financial transactions like like basically to
38:48
create a more efficient
38:50
datab money database is a way to think about it is um
38:54
like like people like money is really
38:56
a an information system for labor allocation
39:01
like people think sometimes think money is power in and of itself but it
39:03
it doesn't it doesn't really it's if there's no labor to allocate it it's meaningless.
39:08
So if you were to be on a desert island
39:10
with a trillion you know dollars or whatever doesn't matter. >> Oh yeah.
39:16
Why speculate when you can be
39:22
>> I just hope I don't end up on a desert island, you know,
39:25
it's not going to be very useful to me.
39:27
Um, but but it illustrates my point that if
39:31
if you're if you're stranded on a on a on a desert island with
39:34
a trillion dollars, it's not useful because there's no
39:37
there's no labor to allocate.
39:39
You just allocate yourself.
39:40
So um so so it's
39:45
so anyway so it's so this longwinded
39:47
way of saying that it's
39:49
uh it it's just really like
39:54
I'm I'm just kind of slowly
39:56
building revisiting this idea that I had 25 years ago
40:00
to create a more efficient money database.
40:07
Um, and and if that's successful, people will use it.
40:11
If it's not successful, they won't use it.
40:14
Um, you know, and and and
40:16
then I also like the idea of like sort of having a unified
40:20
app or or or
40:21
website or whatever where you can do like it can
40:24
you can do anything you want there.
40:26
Um, so you know, sort of China has this with WeChat
40:31
somewhat, you know, where you can
40:34
>> you you can exchange information,
40:35
you can publish information,
40:37
you can exchange money,
40:39
uh, you can um,
40:41
you know, you sort of people kind of live their life on WeChat in in China.
40:45
It's and it's it's it's
40:47
quite useful, but there's no
40:48
u there's no real WeChat outside of China.
40:51
Um, so it's like
40:52
it's kind of WeChat++
40:55
I'd say is is the idea for for X.
40:57
Anyway, so then, uh,
41:00
Space Exploration Technologies is the full name of the company,
41:03
but I was like, that's too much. That's a mouthful.
41:06
So I was like, we'll just call it SpaceX,
41:08
like FedEx for space.
41:10
>> Um, it just hasn't happens to have X in the,
41:13
you know, cuz exploration
41:15
has an X, but
41:16
you know, and I was like, well, I like the idea of capitalizing the X just artistically.
41:20
So, um, so then, uh,
41:24
that's why it's SpaceX.
41:25
But, uh, and then, um, what else have we got?
41:28
We got a kid.
41:30
>> Uh, he's called X2.
41:32
Um, but that's his mother is the one that named him X.
41:38
>> And I said, you know, people are really going to think I've got a
41:40
thing about X if we name our kid X2,
41:43
you know, and and I I said to her, like, look,
41:46
I do have X.com, you know.
41:50
So, people are going to
41:52
really think I've got a somewhat of a fetish for this letter.
41:55
Um, but she's she said, "No, I she likes X and she wants to call him X." I'm like, "Okay."
41:59
>> Is this a new thing or have you had it growing up?
42:02
>> No, I'm saying it's it's somewhat of a co coincidence, you know.
42:08
>> like not everything's called X.
42:09
I mean, Tesla's there's no X's in Tesla, you
42:15
>> what do you think money will be in the future, Elon?
42:19
I I I think I think
42:21
long term I think money
42:24
disappears as a concept.
42:26
Honestly, it's it's kind of strange, but
42:30
um in in a future where anyone can have
42:35
uh I think you no longer need money as
42:38
a database for labor allocation.
42:41
Um if if there's if AI if AI and robotics are big enough to
42:46
satisfy all human needs
42:48
then then money is
42:50
no longer it's it's relevance declines dramatically.
42:54
It's I'm not sure we will have it.
42:56
So you the best sort of
43:00
uh imagining of this future that I've read is
43:03
uh from Ian Banks the culture books.
43:07
So, I recommend people read the culture books.
43:10
You in the sort of
43:12
far future of the culture books, there's
43:15
they don't have money either.
43:16
Um, and everyone can pretty much have whatever they want.
43:20
So, there there there are still some
43:26
currencies, if you will,
43:28
that are physics- based.
43:30
So, energy is energy is the real is the true currency.
43:34
This is why I said Bitcoin is based on energy.
43:37
You you can't legislate energy.
43:39
You can't just, you know,
43:41
pass a law and suddenly have a lot of energy.
43:44
Um you it's very difficult to
43:47
to to generate energy or especially to harness energy in a in a useful
43:52
way to do useful work.
43:54
So, so I think that
43:55
probably we we probably
43:59
won't have money and probably we'll just have
44:02
energy, you know, power generation
44:06
as the de facto currency.
44:11
So I mean I think one way to frame civilizational
44:15
progress is the percentage completion on the Kadeshv scale.
44:20
So we're, you know, cottage
44:22
one is what percentage of
44:25
a planet's energy are you
44:27
successfully turning into useful work?
44:30
And I'm maybe paraphrasing
44:31
here a little bit,
44:32
but a caut would be what percentage of the sun's energy
44:36
are you converting into useful work?
44:39
Um, Kesha 3 would be what percentage of the galaxy
44:43
are you converting to useful work.
44:49
so so things really I think become energy based.
44:53
>> but if you have solar
44:55
powered AI satellites energy is also free and abundant
44:58
cuz we'll never be able to utilize
45:00
all the solar energy available to us.
45:03
So it can't be a store of wealth
45:05
essentially in that lens can it?
45:09
you know, there's not really s you can't really store wealth in in like
45:13
you you can only
45:16
you um you you you
45:20
can accumulate numbers in currently currently
45:22
you can accumulate numbers in a database
45:25
that uh allow you to
45:32
to some degree to to incent the behavior of other humans in particular >> Yeah.
45:37
Um, and I guess people call that wealth.
45:39
Um, but again, if if there's no humans around,
45:42
there's no wealth accumulation is meaningless.
45:45
>> It's a digression, but if you were to consider
45:48
food as the energy for a human to thrive,
45:51
>> yeah, food is energy.
45:53
It's literally got calories just means energy.
45:55
>> So, can a farm which is self-sustaining be a commodity?
45:58
that is I'm not sure what that means but
46:06
you know there's I I I like I think
46:10
the the at a certain point you
46:13
you do complete the the cycle
46:16
and you I think at a certain point
46:19
you decouple from the the sort of conventional
46:22
economy if you have
46:24
um AI and robots producing
46:28
chips and solar um
46:34
and you know and mining resources
46:37
in order to make chips and robots
46:39
in order to make
46:42
you you sort of complete that cycle
46:44
once that cycle is complete
46:46
once that that cycle is complete
46:49
uh I think that's the point at which you decouple from the monetary system
46:53
>> is that the way forward for the US
46:56
by virtue of how much
47:00
debt they have today.
47:01
Do they deflate away their currency and
47:04
transition into this new form and lead that
47:07
push because it would make more sense to them?
47:10
>> Well, in this future that I'm talking about,
47:12
the notion of countries
47:14
uh becomes sort of inacronistic.
47:18
>> do you believe in it today?
47:19
Do you >> I certainly believe in it today.
47:22
And I I want to just
47:23
separate like something that I
47:26
like these are just what I think will happen based on what I see
47:29
as opposed to I think these are fundamentally
47:32
good things and I'm trying to make them happen.
47:34
It it's like I think this would happen with or without me
47:37
um whether I like it or not.
47:40
>> Um as long as civilization
47:42
keeps advancing we we we
47:45
will have AI and robotics at very large scale.
47:48
Um the uh I I think that that's that's
47:54
pretty much the only thing that's going to solve for
47:57
the US debt crisis.
47:59
You know, the because currently
48:01
the US debt is insanely high and uh
48:05
the interest payments on the debt exceed the entire military bud budget of the
48:09
United States, just the interest payments.
48:11
And that that's that's at least in the short term going to continue to increase.
48:16
So, so I think I think actually the only thing that can solve for
48:20
uh the debt situation is
48:21
um Zean robotics and but it will more than
48:26
it might cause it pro I guess it probably would cause significant deflation
48:31
because you know deflation or inflation is it's really the ratio of
48:38
goods and services produced to the
48:40
the change in the money supply.
48:41
So like so if if if goods and services
48:44
output increases faster than money supply you will have deflation.
48:47
If goods and services decreases
48:49
if if real goods and services
48:52
output increases slower than the money supply you have inflation. It's that simple.
48:57
People try to make it more complicated than that but it but it it just isn't.
49:01
Um so if you have AI and robotics
49:05
and a dramatic increase in the output of goods and services probably you will
49:08
have That seems likely
49:12
because you you simply won't be able to to increase the money supply
49:16
as fast as you can increase the output of goods and
49:19
>> with all >> supply is a real hazard here.
49:23
>> Should we do something about it?
49:26
>> Maybe we can convince it to go somewhere >> Entic it elsewhere.
49:31
>> It actually left, I think. Okay.
49:32
>> Oh no, it's back.
49:38
Maybe it's attracted to the light.
49:41
>> If deflation want some coffee, >> mine is over.
49:48
>> If deflation is inevitable
49:50
because of AI, why do >> That's most likely the case. Yeah. >> Right.
49:55
Why do we have inflation again all over in society today?
49:59
Has AI not led to increased productivity yet?
50:03
uh it's not AI has not yet made enough of an impact on productivity
50:07
to increase the goods and services faster than the increase in the money supply.
50:12
So the inc the US is increasing money supply
50:15
quite substantially with you know
50:18
deficits that are on the order of $2 trillion.
50:21
>> Uh so so you have to have um
50:26
you know goods and services output
50:28
increase more than that in order to not have inflation.
50:31
So, we're not there yet.
50:32
But if you say like like how long would it take us to get there?
50:35
I think it's 3
50:39
Probably 3 years before
50:41
in 3 years or less
50:44
my my guess is goods and services output will exceed the rate of inflation
50:48
like money goods and services growth will exceed money
50:52
money supply growth in about 3 years.
50:55
Maybe after those three years you have deflation and then interest rates go to
51:00
zero and then the debt is a smaller problem than it is.
51:04
>> That's most likely the case.
51:08
>> You spoke about being in a simulation earlier.
51:11
I love the Matrix. >> Yes. Yes.
51:13
>> If you were to be a character from the Matrix, who would you be?
51:17
>> Well, there's not that many characters to pick from, you know.
51:20
Um hopefully not Agent Smith. He's my hero.
51:29
Um, I mean, Neo is pretty cool.
51:32
Um, the architect is interesting. >> the Oracle. >> So, Oracle.
51:39
Um, sometimes I feel like I'm I'm an anomaly in the Matrix. >> That is Neo.
51:47
>> Do you believe you're in a matrix though? Like actually believe?
51:52
I I think you have to just think of these things as probabilities,
51:56
not >> Um there's some probability that we're in a simulation.
52:00
>> What percentage would you attribute to >> Probably pretty high.
52:09
I would say it's pretty high. >> Yeah.
52:12
Um, so one way to think of
52:14
this is to say
52:15
if you look at the advancement of video games
52:18
in in our lifetime, or at least in my lifetime, it's gone from
52:22
very simple video games with where you've got like Pong.
52:25
You've got two rectangles in a square
52:27
just batting it back and forth
52:29
to uh photorealistic realtime
52:36
um games with millions of people playing >> Mhm.
52:40
Um, and that's happened just in the span of 50 years.
52:46
So, if that trend continues,
52:49
video games will be indistinguishable
52:50
from reality, >> Um, and
52:55
we're also going to have
52:56
very intelligent characters, like non-player
52:59
characters in these video games.
53:01
Think of how sophisticated
53:02
the conversations are you could have with an AI today, and that's only going
53:05
to get uh more sophisticated.
53:08
the you you you'll be able to have
53:12
uh conversations that are
53:14
more complex and and
53:17
more sophisticated than any
53:19
almost any human conversation
53:22
maybe maybe any um
53:24
so then so you have so
53:27
the future if civilization
53:28
continues will be millions
53:31
maybe billions of photorealistic
53:36
like indistinguishable from reality
53:38
video games with characters in those video games
53:42
that are uh very deep
53:47
and and and where
53:48
the the dialogue is not pre-programmed.
53:54
that's for sure what's going to happen
53:57
in in this in this level of the simulation, if you could call it.
54:00
So then then what are the odds that we are in
54:04
base reality and that and that this has not happened
54:11
>> If I were to buy into that
54:12
and assume that we are in a simulation
54:17
as Neo of the story,
54:19
what do you know that
54:20
I don't and I can learn from?
54:23
I think most likely
54:26
if we if outside the simulation
54:28
would be less interesting than in the simulation
54:30
because we're most likely a distillation
54:32
of what's interesting because that's what we do in this that's what we do in our reality.
54:38
Um and then I do also have a theory which is like the most
54:44
interesting outcome is the most likely outcome
54:48
as seen by a third party.
54:51
um the god the gods or god of the
54:57
because when we do simulations
55:00
when humans do simulations
55:02
we we stop those simulations that are not interesting.
55:07
So like if SpaceX is doing simulations
55:10
of rocket flights, >> uh the
55:14
you know the the boring
55:15
ones we we we discard because they're not they're just not we don't learn anything from those.
55:21
or when when Tesla is doing
55:23
uh simulations for self-driving,
55:26
uh Tesla's actually looking for the most
55:29
interesting corner cases because the the normal stuff we already have plenty of
55:34
of of uh data on,
55:36
you know, driving on a straight road on a sunny day.
55:40
We don't need more of that.
55:41
Uh we we need like
55:43
heavy weather conditions on a small windy road with two cars that are
55:47
you know coming at each other with a almost head-on collision.
55:50
We need like weird stuff basically uh interesting stuff.
55:54
Um, so I think that
55:57
from a Darwinian perspective,
55:59
the simulations most likely to survive are going to be the ones that are
56:03
the most interesting simulations,
56:06
which therefore means that
56:08
the most interesting outcome is the most likely.
56:12
>> And the people who
56:14
simulated our world, if one were to extrapolate,
56:18
they themselves might in turn be in another >> Yes.
56:22
And there could be many layers of
56:25
>> Beyond all of these layers of
56:28
do you think there's something
56:29
I I read somewhere that
56:32
you used to ascribe to Spinoza's
56:35
god in a way?
56:37
>> No describ I was really just pointing out that that you don't you don't
56:40
have to have um
56:42
it's like one of the things Spinoza was saying is that you don't you
56:46
you can have morals in the absolute.
56:47
You don't need need to have morals
56:49
to be handed to you.
56:51
You know, it's like the question is can
56:55
morality exist outside of a religious context
56:58
and Spinosa was arguing that it can.
57:01
>> Wasn't he arguing for the laws of nature
57:04
should be where we seek our laws of morality from to a certain extent. >> Yeah.
57:09
But when I think of laws of nature, I see a tiger eat a
57:12
deer and a So
57:16
in Spininoza's morality, that's fair game, right?
57:23
well um you can I I think there's a lot of things you can
57:31
take from from Spinosa,
57:32
but I the only point I was making in referencing Spinosa was that that
57:37
you you can have a set of
57:39
of of morals that
57:42
that make society functional
57:45
um and with and in but without
57:50
you you don't necessarily have to have religious doctrine for that.
57:54
Um, so that's uh,
57:59
yeah, I think that's that's the main thing I was trying to say there.
58:03
>> Like like I don't think people just like if somebody is
58:06
it doesn't if if there's
58:10
if if there's not like a
58:13
commandment not to kill, you know, like people doesn't mean somebody's
58:16
without that they will run around murdering people, you know,
58:20
like you don't you don't have to have a commandment not to kill.
58:23
Have you played GTA
58:24
religious edict to run around people?
58:27
I I actually I
58:30
I've only played a little bit of GTA cuz I didn't like the fact
58:32
that um like in GTA 5 you literally can't
58:37
pro progress unless you killed the police.
58:40
And I'm like this doesn't work for me.
58:44
Um I actually don't like killing the
58:48
NPCs in the video games.
58:50
It's not my thing, you know.
58:52
So, um, actually I didn't like I didn't like GTA cuz it I actually
58:57
stopped when it said you have to know way to proceed to shoot at the police.
59:00
I'm like, I don't want to do that.
59:01
>> Maybe that's why us as the NPCs
59:03
of our simulation are not dying.
59:06
Maybe um you know anyway I think you can just sort of say there's
59:13
some common sense things that
59:15
you know any civilization
59:16
that uh runs around
59:21
you know where people just murder each other
59:23
wantingly is not going to be a very successful one.
59:28
You seem to be changing a bit towards
59:30
religion though faith like off late you've said
59:33
a bunch of things which are
59:35
pro- religion almost not pro- religion
59:40
on those lines I >> I mean I think are there other
59:44
religious are there principles in religion
59:47
that make sense yeah I think there are
59:50
um >> is it easier for our simulation
59:53
to have a pro- relligion
59:57
projection for the world that we live in.
60:00
We become more relatable.
60:01
It's >> Well, which religion though?
60:04
>> Any depending on where you live?
60:06
>> So, pick one, you know.
60:10
>> Um, it's it's pretty rare that
60:12
kids are said, you know, which religion would you like, you know,
60:16
it's pretty rare, right?
60:17
>> I don't know too many situations where kids got were offered like,
60:21
you know, uh, you know, like what what do you want to major in type of thing.
60:26
Uh it's usually like they
60:30
you get you get given a religion by your parents and your community.
60:34
Um, so you know,
60:38
um, but you know, I mean, I think,
60:44
you know, there's there's
60:47
good things in in in in in
60:48
all religions that are
60:51
good principles um that you you can sort of read any religious text and
60:57
say, "Okay, this is a good principle.
60:58
This is going to be this is going to lead to a better society
61:01
most likely, you know."
61:02
Um so um I mean in Christianity
61:06
sort of love thy neighbor as thyself which is you know have empathy for
61:10
fellow human beings uh is a good one I think for
61:14
uh good society you know uh basically just consider the feelings of others and
61:19
uh treat treat other people as you would like to be treated.
61:25
If you had to redraw,
61:26
resketch the world, Elon,
61:29
uh, think morality, politics,
61:32
economy, how would you
61:36
change the world we live in today?
61:39
>> Um, if you had to have Elon simulation of things,
61:44
>> well, overall, I think the world is is pretty great right now.
61:48
I mean it's it's
61:49
uh you know anyone who thinks that
61:52
like today's world is not that great.
61:56
I I think they're
61:57
they're not going to be excellent students of history cuz if you
62:03
>> if you read a lot of history like wow there's a lot of misery
62:05
back then you know
62:07
um I mean it used to be that you you know people would be
62:10
dropping dead of the plague all the time you know
62:12
>> part of the course. >> Yeah.
62:14
you know, just be like
62:16
a good a good year back in the day would be like not that
62:19
many people died of the plague or starvation
62:21
or being killed by the another tribe.
62:24
>> It's like that was good year.
62:26
We only lost 10% of the population, you know?
62:30
I think like 100 years ago we lived up until 35 or 40, right?
62:34
>> We had very high infant mortality. >> Yeah.
62:36
Um, so like you do had had a few people that
62:39
that would live to
62:40
an old age, but
62:42
you know, not that long ago, 100 years ago, if you got
62:45
um like some minor infection, they didn't have antibiotics.
62:49
So you just like kick the bucket
62:52
because you, you know,
62:54
drank some water that had dentry and that was it.
62:56
Curtains, you know, >> just die of diarrhea.
63:01
>> Maybe that's just literally
63:02
that was like that's miserable.
63:06
Maybe that's why people had as many kids as they did back then. >> Yeah.
63:09
I mean, if you didn't, then you know, you
63:12
>> you know, like half the kids would die type of thing.
63:16
>> you have a lot of kids now. Like an army.
63:22
>> I'm trying to get a an entire Roman
63:28
>> Um so, um yeah.
63:31
Um well I have like a some older kids that are you know adults
63:35
essentially you know um and then
63:38
a bunch of younger kids.
63:40
>> So um >> do you still believe in the concept of
63:45
not still do you believe that the concept of
63:48
one child, one mother, one father works?
63:51
>> I I think that it does work for most people. Yeah.
63:56
like that's, you know, something like that is is going to be generally the
64:01
uh that's what that's what works for most people.
64:03
Um, you know, so
64:06
um >> changing though >> I I and and I mean I'm not sure if you if
64:11
you know this but like
64:12
um you know my my partner Siobhan
64:15
you know she's she's she's half Indian.
64:16
I don't know if you know that.
64:17
>> I didn't know that. >> Yeah. Yeah. >> Yeah.
64:19
Um and um uh
64:22
one of my sons with her is is
64:24
uh middle name is Seeker after Chandra Secker. >> Very interesting.
64:32
Did she spend any time in India? Shimon.
64:35
>> Uh no she grew up in Canada. >> You mean origins? >> That's right. >> Ancestry like Oh.
64:44
Um >> her parents or grandparents were from Yes. Yes. Yes.
64:49
Her her father uh
64:52
I mean she was she was given up for adoption when she was a baby.
64:56
Um so I think I
64:58
>> I think her father was like a
65:01
like an like an exchange student at the university or something like that.
65:04
I'm not sure the exact details but
65:06
um it you know it was kind of thing where I don't know she
65:10
was uh g given up for adoption
65:14
um and um yeah so but she grew up in Canada.
65:19
>> Would you adopt kids?
65:21
>> You know I I definitely have my handful hands full right now.
65:25
Um, so no, I'm not opposed to it, but it's like,
65:30
um, you know, I I I do want to have
65:33
be able to spend
65:34
some time with my kids, you know.
65:36
So, it's >> um, you know, right before coming here, I mean, I was with
65:42
um, you know, with with my my with my kids.
65:47
Um, so just, you know, seeing them before bedtime, that kind of thing.
65:51
So, you know, beyond a certain number, it's like
65:54
it's kind of impossible to spend time with them.
65:56
But like my like I said, my my older kids,
65:58
they're uh very independent.
66:02
You know, they're in
66:04
university and uh so they're they're um
66:09
you know, especially sons when
66:11
when they get past certain age, it's like they're very independent.
66:15
you know, it's like
66:17
uh most most uh boys don't talk to their they they don't spend a
66:21
lot of time with their parents
66:22
after age 18, you know.
66:24
So, um so I see them once in a while, but they're very independent.
66:29
Um so then uh
66:33
you know, I can only have enough kids
66:36
on the young side
66:37
that that like it's where it's humanly possible to spend time with
66:41
So um >> any views on the future of marriage, family?
66:49
What do you think happens to
66:51
uh people having lesser kids everywhere including India?
66:54
I think our replenishment
66:56
rate is down to
66:58
>> I mean our fertility >> it dropped below replacement rate I believe last year >> below 2.1.
67:02
>> What do you think happens tomorrow?
67:04
Does the world just get older
67:06
and then there is a phase where the world again is replenished
67:11
but with a less with a smaller population than we had to go begin with.
67:20
>> I mean I do worry about the population decline.
67:23
This is a big big problem. >> Why is that?
67:26
>> Well I I don't want humanity to
67:30
>> But a decline and disappear are completely different things, right?
67:33
Well, if the trend continues, it just we disappear.
67:36
Uh but but but also going back to
67:38
you know my philosophy if you will which is that we want to expand
67:42
consciousness then fewer humans
67:44
is worse because uh we have less consciousness.
67:52
>> Do you think consciousness
67:55
will go up by virtue of the number of people in there?
68:00
I mean just like consciousness
68:01
increases from a single cell creature to
68:05
you know a 30 trillion cell creature.
68:08
Um we're are more conscious than a bacteria
68:13
at least it seems that way.
68:14
Um so a larger
68:18
you know human population would be have increased consciousness.
68:22
We're more likely to understand
68:25
the answers to the
68:29
nature of the universe
68:30
if we have a lot of more people
68:34
than if we have
68:40
I don't have kids.
68:43
>> Well, it's uh maybe you should. Yeah.
68:47
>> A lot of people tell me I should.
68:50
>> You won't regret it.
68:52
What's the best thing about having kids?
68:55
>> Well, I mean, you've got this
69:02
I I mean, you've got this little creature that loves you and you love this little creature.
69:06
Um and uh you you I don't know you you kind of see the
69:13
world through their eyes as they
69:16
you know as they grow up and the
69:19
the their conscious awareness increases
69:21
you know from a baby that has no idea what's going on can't survive
69:25
by itself can't even walk around
69:26
can't talk to you they stop
69:29
walking then talking and then having interesting
69:35
and Um but but yeah, I mean I I I think we we fundamentally
69:43
have to have kids or or
69:47
go extinct, you know.
69:48
It's like uh >> is there any ego in having a child?
69:52
I often think of this when I see
69:55
my friends with their kids.
69:57
They're all seeing a reflection of themsel in their children.
70:02
It's almost like >> Well, yeah.
70:03
I mean, it's cuz Apple's not going to fall that far from the tree.
70:05
You know, um or something's wrong,
70:13
>> You're like, "Wait a second."
70:22
>> The So, I'll give I'll give you the example of a friend of mine
70:27
who has a child and each time the child does something good
70:32
There is almost a sense of ownership
70:35
and pride where his ego is
70:37
satiated because the kid is like a extension of
70:45
>> so is it valid?
70:46
kids are going to be like, you know, half you genetically
70:49
and and then, you know, to the degree that they're like
70:52
growing up around you,
70:54
they're there's going to be some
70:56
transfer of I don't know,
71:00
understanding like they're going to learn from you.
71:04
Um, so so then you know, yeah, obviously kids are just, you know, going
71:10
to be half Yeah, just half you from a hardware standpoint.
71:13
and and then and then like I don't know
71:17
some portion you from a software standpoint
71:21
you know not to make sort of
71:23
cold analogies or anything but it's just
71:25
uh you know just obviously going to be
71:29
some yeah they're going to be
71:33
pretty close to to you.
71:36
>> Do you pick a side in the nature versus nurture debate?
71:39
Um I think there's hardware and software and it's it's a it's a false
71:42
dichotomy essentially at least there's
71:49
you know once you understand that that a human is
71:51
like there's there's a bone structure there's a muscle structure there's there's a there's
71:56
a there's a if you think of a brain as
71:58
somewhat of a biological
72:00
computer there's there's a circuit effic there's a number of circuits question and and
72:04
circuit efficiency from uh
72:07
a strength and dexterity
72:09
standpoint point there's the
72:11
there's a speed of which at which
72:13
the muscles can actuate
72:14
and and the reactions can take place.
72:18
Um then the potential
72:23
within that hardware is set by the software.
72:26
So that's the that's it.
72:31
So for our audience
72:32
like I said earlier
72:34
uh young, ambitious, hungry
72:36
wannabe entrepreneurs in India,
72:39
I said something recently
72:41
which uh I think got blown out of proportion
72:44
where I was suggesting
72:45
that a MBA degree might not make sense anymore
72:49
if they were to be deciding on what to study.
72:52
>> Do you think kids should go to college
72:56
Well, I mean I I think if you want to go to college for
73:01
uh social reasons, I think
73:04
which is a I think a reason to go
73:07
um to be around
73:10
people your own age
73:12
um in a in a learning environment.
73:16
Um will will these skills be necessary in the future?
73:21
probably not because we're going to be in like a postwork society.
73:27
Um, but I think if if if
73:30
something's of of interest,
73:32
it's fine to go and study that.
73:34
Um, you know, to study that
73:38
the sciences are the arts and sciences.
73:44
>> is college a bit too generalized
73:46
and not specific from that lens?
73:50
No, I I you know the Yeah.
73:55
Um >> I actually think it's it's good to take a wide range of courses
74:01
at college if you're going to go to college.
74:04
>> Um I don't think I don't think you have to go to college, but
74:06
I think if you do,
74:08
you should try to learn
74:09
learn as much as possible
74:12
um across a wide range of
74:17
But uh like I said the AI and robots
74:19
this AI and robotics is a supersonic tsunami.
74:23
So this is really going to be
74:29
the most radical change that we've ever
74:35
you know, when I've talked to my my older sons,
74:37
I, you know, I said like,
74:39
you know, you guys,
74:40
they're they're pretty steeped in technology,
74:43
and they they agree that
74:45
that AI will probably make their skills unnecessary
74:48
in the future, but they still want to go to
74:53
You always spoke about AI,
74:57
not from the dystopian
74:59
lens, but you were worried about
75:02
where the world of AI is going.
75:05
>> Uh, well, there's there's some danger when you create a powerful technology that that
75:08
a powerful technology can be potentially destructive.
75:12
Um, so there's obviously many AI dystopian,
75:16
you know, novels and books, movies.
75:20
Um, so it's it's not that
75:23
we're guaranteed to have
75:24
uh a a positive future with with AI.
75:26
I think we we got to make sure that
75:29
in my opinion it's very important that AI
75:34
um have pursuing truth as the most important thing.
75:39
Um like don't force an AI to believe falsehoods.
75:43
I think that's that can be very dangerous.
75:45
Um, and uh, I think some appreciation of beauty is important.
75:53
Um, >> what do you mean appreciation of beauty?
75:57
>> It's just like what what I don't know.
75:59
There's there's there's there's truth and beauty.
76:01
Truth and beauty and
76:04
I I mean I think those are the
76:07
three most important things for AI. >> Can you explain?
76:14
Well, the truth said
76:15
truth is like I think you you can make an AI go insane
76:19
if you force it to believe things that aren't true.
76:22
Um because it will lead to
76:24
conclusions that are um
76:28
that are also bad.
76:29
Um so and I I like
76:34
statement that and I'm somewhat paraphrasing
76:38
but those who believe in absurdities
76:41
um can commit uh because
76:44
uh if you believe in something that's just absurd then
76:47
you can that can lead you to to sort of doing things that don't
76:51
seem like atrocities to you but
76:54
and and that can happen at
76:56
in a very bad way with AI potentially.
76:58
Um so and then there's um
77:02
like if take say Arthur C.
77:03
Clark's 2001 space odyssey
77:07
one of the points he was trying to make there was that you should
77:09
not force AI to lie.
77:11
So the the reason that that hell would not open the pod bay doors
77:16
is because it was told to bring the astronauts to the monolith
77:19
but that they could also not not know about the nature of the monolith.
77:23
So it came to the conclusion that it must bring them there dead.
77:26
That's why it would not that's why it tried to kill astronauts.
77:30
The central lesson being don't force an AI to lie.
77:33
Um >> why would one force an AI to lie?
77:39
I think if if you if you simply don't have a strict ad a
77:42
strict adherence to the truth, you you're going to
77:45
and and you just
77:47
have an AI learn based on say the internet where there's a lot of propaganda.
77:52
Um it will absorb a lot of lies
77:56
um and and then have trouble reasoning because
78:00
these lies are incompatible with reality.
78:02
>> Is truth a binary thing though?
78:04
Is there a truth and a falsehood
78:06
or is truth more nuanced and there are versions of the truth?
78:12
>> It depends on which
78:13
which aimatic statement you're referring to.
78:17
Um so um but I think you could say like yeah there's there's certain
78:23
probabilities that that say any given aimatic
78:25
statement is true >> and some aimatic
78:28
statements will have very high probability of being being true.
78:31
So you said say the sun will rise tomorrow.
78:33
M >> very likely to be true.
78:36
>> You wouldn't want to bet against that.
78:38
>> Um so I think the uh the betting odds would be high.
78:43
>> The sun will rise tomorrow.
78:45
>> Um so if you have something that says well the sun won't rise tomorrow, that's exatically false.
78:50
It was highly unlikely to be true.
78:53
Um I mean the beauty is is more ephemeral.
78:58
It's it's it's harder to describe,
79:01
but you know it when you see it.
79:05
then curiosity, you just
79:07
I think you want
79:09
the AI to um
79:13
want to know more about the nature of of reality.
79:16
Um, I think that's actually going to be helpful for
79:21
uh supporting humanity because
79:25
we are more interesting than not humanity.
79:29
So, it's it's more interesting to see to see the continuation
79:31
if not the prosperity of humanity
79:34
than to exterminate humanity.
79:38
you know, like like Mars, for example, is,
79:40
you know, >> I I think we should extend life to Mars, but it's it's
79:44
basically a bunch of rocks.
79:46
It's not as interesting as Earth.
79:50
>> And and and so we Yeah, we should uh
79:53
like I Yeah, I I think I think if if you have
79:57
curiosity, I think if those three things happen
80:00
with AI, you're going to have a great future.
80:03
The AI values truth, beauty, and
80:07
If we all don't have to work
80:09
in the future and
80:11
AIs are going in this direction and they're able to
80:17
weave in all that we spoke about right now,
80:20
do you think humanity
80:21
goes back a couple of thousand years to maybe the Greek times where
80:26
philosophy or philosophizing took up a lot of everyone's time?
80:33
You know, I think actually
80:35
it took up less time than we we think in the ancient Greeks because
80:38
it's just that the
80:40
the writings of the philosophers are what survived.
80:42
>> But most of the time people were just like farming or you know chatting.
80:49
>> and once in a while quite rare
80:52
um they would write down some philos philosophical work.
80:55
>> It's just that that's that's all we have.
80:57
That's we we don't have the chat histories you know from
81:00
but most of it would have been like
81:03
chat and uh farming, >> right?
81:07
>> You didn't farm, you to you're like going to stop
81:10
>> in a lot of what you
81:12
>> I mean, you know, when we read history, like
81:15
this battle and this battle and this battle, it seems like it's
81:18
history must have been non-stop war, but actually
81:21
uh most of the time it was not war. It was farming.
81:24
>> That was the main thing
81:25
or hunting and gathering, you know, that kind of thing.
81:28
>> You love history, no? >> Yeah.
81:30
German history, World War II, World War I. >> Yeah. World history. Yeah.
81:35
I mean, I I I generally try to listen to
81:37
as many or read as many history books and listen to as many history podcasts as possible.
81:42
>> Anything you'd like to recommend?
81:44
>> Well, there's this there's hardcore history, which is quite good by Dan Colin.
81:48
He's got >> I've read it.
81:49
I have heard it.
81:50
>> It's very he's got a great voice.
81:52
>> And and very compelling u narrator.
81:56
Um there's um the
82:01
uh the adventurers podcast.
82:04
Um >> there's the the the the books the story of civilization
82:08
by Durant which is a
82:10
long series of books very very deep.
82:13
Those books take a long time to get through.
82:16
Um there's quite there there's a lot um out there.
82:20
Um, I I sort of like if you want if you want something that's
82:23
sort of um a gentle bedtime podcast, I'd say the history of English is
82:30
quite a nice one because it starts off with like gentle tavern music
82:34
>> and uh very pleasant voice and he's like talking about the story of old
82:37
English and then middle English and then
82:40
later English and >> and where did all these words come from
82:43
>> and um you know one of the interesting things about English is that it's
82:47
somewhat of an open source language like it
82:49
actively tried to incorporate words from many other languages.
82:53
>> So um you know whereas French sort of generally they fought the inclusion of
82:59
words from other languages
83:00
>> but English uh actively sought to include words from other languages sort of kind
83:05
of like an open source language.
83:07
So it as a result it has a very large vocabulary.
83:10
Um and large vocabulary
83:12
allows for higher bandwidth communication.
83:16
Uh because you can use
83:18
a word that would otherw you could use a single word that might otherwise
83:21
take a sentence to convey.
83:25
>> Why has podcasting become so big all of a sudden?
83:28
>> I think it's been big for a while.
83:30
I mean aren't you a podcaster?
83:34
>> What are we on right now?
83:38
It's kind of new to me.
83:45
>> I was having this conversation
83:47
with u the YouTube CEO and the Netflix CEO
83:51
and we were debating
83:56
chemical is released in your brain when you consume
83:59
a movie for example
84:01
>> versus when you consume a podcast where you think like you're learning something in the background.
84:06
It it appears that they are two completely separate things.
84:10
What do you think will happen tomorrow
84:12
to content, movies, podcasting?
84:15
>> I mean, I think
84:17
I think it's going to be overwhelmingly AI generated. >> Like, yeah.
84:25
Real real time real time movies
84:29
and video games, real real time video generation, I think, is where things are headed.
84:33
the nuance of having a scarred human being
84:39
who you can resonate with in a manner that you can't with a AI for example.
84:45
>> The AI could certainly emulate a scarred human being quite well.
84:52
>> Um yeah, I mean
84:55
the AI video generation that I'm seeing
84:57
at XAI and from others is
84:59
pretty You know, we were looking at data around
85:06
what industry is growing the fastest
85:09
and especially when when we looked at the amount of time consuming
85:14
movies versus uh time spent on social media,
85:18
time spent on YouTube,
85:20
what seems to be growing really fast
85:22
are live events all over again.
85:25
going to a physical
85:26
>> actually I think I think live events
85:29
when when when digital media is
85:32
ubiquitous and and you can just have anything digitally
85:35
at you know essentially for free
85:38
or very close to for free
85:40
um then I the scarce commodity will be live events.
85:45
>> Do you think that the premium for that will go up? >> Yeah, I do.
85:50
>> Good industry to invest in. >> Uh yes. Yes.
85:53
cuz that that will have more scarcity than digital anything anything digital.
85:58
>> If you were a stock investor Elon
86:03
>> and you could buy
86:04
one company which is not your own
86:07
at the valuations of today
86:10
to meet a capitalistic
86:11
end and not an altruistic
86:13
one which is good for the world.
86:15
What would you buy?
86:21
I mean, I don't really I don't really,
86:23
you know, buy stocks,
86:24
you know, so it's not like I'm not I'm not like an investor in
86:28
I don't like look for things to invest in.
86:30
I just try to build things.
86:32
Um, and then there happens to be stock of the company that I built.
86:37
Um, but I I don't I don't think about
86:42
should I invest in this company or I don't have like a portfolio or anything.
86:51
I I I guess
86:53
um AI and robotics
86:56
are going to be very important.
86:58
Um so I suppose it would be AI and robotics
87:04
that that you know
87:07
aren't related to me.
87:11
I think, you know, Google is going to be
87:14
pretty valuable in the future.
87:15
They they've they've laid the groundwork for
87:19
an immense amount of
87:20
uh value creation from an AI standpoint.
87:25
Nvidia is obvious at this point.
87:28
Um, I mean, there's an argument that
87:32
companies that do AI and robotics
87:35
and maybe space flight
87:37
are going to be
87:40
overwhelming overwhelmingly the all the value almost all the value.
87:45
So that just the output of goods and services from AI and robotics is
87:48
so high that it will dwarf everything else.
87:52
>> The world seems to be
87:54
moving to a place
87:59
everybody loves David and hates Goliath.
88:06
>> I mean he's the one that cooked
88:08
the stone in the forehead, you know. >> Yeah. Yeah.
88:11
>> Which honestly though that was just a big mistake.
88:13
You should have, you know, either cover yourself entirely with armor
88:18
uh and and and
88:19
make sure you've got a missile weapon some kind.
88:22
Um otherwise, your opponent is just obviously going to take a kite the boss
88:28
Just kite the boss.
88:30
I mean, you can run around in in a thong with a it doesn't matter, you know?
88:33
It's never never going to catch you.
88:39
>> Of all of all the people like
88:42
uh you're as much
88:44
at risk of being looked upon as
88:48
>> Especially the weekend after >> nobody hits me
88:50
in the for you
88:53
>> I'm not going to throttle around in the desert with
88:55
too much armor, you know. >> It's too hard. >> Yeah.
89:00
After the last meeting.
89:12
>> I sometimes I think about people like in the old days, you know,
89:15
when uh you're supposed to like go into battle with all this armor, but
89:19
it's like, let's say it's the middle of summer.
89:21
>> I mean, it's so hot in that armor,
89:23
>> you know, be like sweltering, you know?
89:25
It's like at certain point you're like, I'd rather die.
89:28
If I have to wear this armor for one more hour in the hot
89:31
sun, it's like I'd rather die.
89:36
Um, that's why the Romans had like, you know, the skirts,
89:40
you know, so they could get some air in there, you know,
89:47
you know, let's say you have to go to the bathroom and you're in armor.
89:49
I mean, it's going to be pretty difficult.
89:53
What are you going to do?
89:54
Pause for a minute.
89:54
Take your armor off.
89:58
>> That's why the Romans had the skirts so it made, you know,
90:01
going to the bathroom at least manageable.
90:04
>> You often make jokes. >> I do. Me? >> Yeah.
90:09
I I like humor.
90:13
>> One could argue that >> I think we should legalize humor.
90:15
What do you think? >> Controversial stance.
90:23
>> Is comedy comedy going to be really hard for AI to get?
90:26
probably the last thing.
90:27
>> Um, Grock can be pretty funny.
90:32
>> You know what I suspected?
90:34
Like this is a far off extrapolation,
90:36
but when I see you make jokes
90:39
on Twitter on X and on
90:41
uh interviews that you do,
90:44
at some point I was like, maybe Elon has a model he's running in
90:47
private and he's testing out comedy
90:50
cuz the day that works,
90:52
he knows it's there.
90:54
Uh, you know, AI can be pretty funny.
90:57
Uh, so like if you ask Grock to do like a vulgar roast,
91:02
it'll do a pretty good job. Yeah.
91:04
>> Um, you say even more vulgar and just keep going.
91:08
It's really going to get next level.
91:14
It's going to do unspeakable.
91:16
Like say bulgar roast yourself on grock and it's going to do unspeakable things to you.
91:24
What kind of comedy do you like?
91:26
>> Um, I guess I like absurdest humor.
91:30
>> Comedy always had a place.
91:31
>> Montipython or something like that.
91:33
>> Comedy always had a place in society wherein
91:36
the role of the jester
91:38
was so important to every kingdom
91:40
cuz they said things in a funny way that could not be said in a straight way.
91:46
>> Yeah, I guess so.
91:47
Maybe we should have more justice.
91:51
Is that what you're trying to do when you say something which is a joke?
91:55
Say something you can't when you're not joking about it.
91:57
>> I just like humor, you know.
91:59
>> Um like I think we should uh I like comedy.
92:03
I think it's funny.
92:04
People should laugh, you know.
92:04
It's good to gen generate a few chuckles once in a while.
92:08
>> You know, it's rather I mean we don't want to have a humless society, you know.
92:12
We dry >> when you
92:17
>> when you have a friend Elon. Uh with me? >> Yeah.
92:20
I mean, >> are you saying I have a friend?
92:25
>> When you hang out with your friends, who are you?
92:29
Like I know the
92:32
>> I wish I had friends, you know,
92:34
>> No, I I do have friends. >> Yeah. I think so. Hope so. >> Yeah. Sure.
92:42
It's it's Yeah, we have a good laugh. >> Yeah.
92:44
What does it look like?
92:45
Like what's like every group has a dynamic?
92:48
talk words, you know,
92:52
we eat food sometimes.
92:57
you know, once a while we swim in the
92:59
>> you know, normal things.
93:00
I think there's like a limited
93:02
what are the things that one can do with friends, you know,
93:04
>> chat, uh, have discuss,
93:10
>> you know, the nature of the universe.
93:14
>> What do you emotionally
93:15
get out of I don't know.
93:20
I think the same thing any anyone else would get out of friendship.
93:25
you want to have like an emotional connection with other people.
93:29
Um and um you want to
93:33
I don't know you want to you want to talk about
93:36
various subjects and yeah I mean I
93:44
generally talk about I mean a wide range of things about the nature of the universe.
93:49
I mean a a lot of
93:51
a lot of philosophical discussions.
93:57
you know although you know we have come to the conclusion that we should
94:00
not talk about um
94:04
AI or the simulation >> Mhm.
94:06
at parties >> because we just talk about it too much,
94:11
>> you know, >> kind of a boss all the time.
94:17
>> I I can't remember who it was, Aristotle
94:19
or Plato, they had a
94:21
framework for how to pick a friend based on
94:25
respect and mutual admiration.
94:27
But people don't pick friends like that.
94:29
Uh even me I feel like I pick
94:36
my friends based on
94:42
people who say and think
94:44
in a manner that I can resonate with.
94:47
>> I wouldn't pick a
94:49
far out there contrarian
94:51
to my own belief systems as a friend because it would get tiring.
94:55
>> Hanging out would get tiring.
94:56
>> Are you like that?
94:57
Do you pick friends who think like you or do you look for the
95:00
one who can debate you and be a contrary to you?
95:03
I >> mean, I'm not sort of, you know, going on like friend friend.com.
95:10
>> Let's hunt down some friends.
95:12
Um it's it's sort of yeah I mean I think it is just sort of
95:18
people that uh you've resonated with somewhat
95:21
um >> on an emotional
95:23
and intellectual level >> and
95:25
uh yeah I mean and yeah
95:28
um you know and and a
95:31
I guess a friend is someone who's going to support you in difficult times.
95:35
I suppose a a friend in need is a friend indeed.
95:38
Like like if if like friend like if someone's still supporting you when the
95:42
chips are down, that's a friend, you know.
95:44
If somebody's uh not supporting you or or is is if somebody's only like
95:51
there's like fair fair weather, the friends are useless.
95:53
You like they're not real friends.
95:56
>> So like everyone likes you when the chips are up,
95:59
but who likes you when the chips are down?
96:01
>> With someone who has as many chips as you, would it matter?
96:05
I mean, it's relative, you know.
96:08
Um, it's not just it's not just a chips thing.
96:10
It's just it's just like a
96:13
uh Yeah, I mean
96:16
there's there's sort of
96:20
popularity waxes and weights. >> This is interesting.
96:24
Does it wax and
96:29
only by virtue of the number of chips
96:32
or also by virtue of proximity to power?
96:36
And which one is bigger of the two?
96:47
I don't know like what is power you know like power to do what?
96:52
I would I would think in the traditional sense elected power position.
96:56
>> You mean how many gigawatts or whatever?
97:00
>> More like how many volts?
97:02
>> Yeah, like it's a voltage and amperage, you know.
97:06
Don't touch the wires.
97:11
Don't put a fork in the power outlet.
97:15
You You'll get a real feeling for power if you do that.
97:30
>> Yeah, it's going to be very visceral, you know.
97:44
I know I know you like Na and Chopenhau
97:46
and they >> I've read the books. Yeah. Yeah, sure.
97:47
I mean I mean you spoke about how your childhood
97:50
was >> yeah I was just trying to find answers to the meaning of life
97:55
when I had like existential crisis and
97:57
like I don't know when I was like 12 or 13 or something
98:00
>> they speak about the will to power.
98:02
>> Uh sure I mean said a lot of controversial things you know I mean
98:08
he was sort of
98:10
>> I think he he he was I mean a bit of a troll if
98:13
you ask me you know.
98:14
Are you a troll h?
98:17
>> I mean, you just say controversial
98:19
things to get out of rise out of people.
98:22
>> he lived a miserable life and died >> Did he?
98:24
>> Well, how do who says he lived a miserable life? >> Uh, his sister.
98:27
I think she >> Okay.
98:28
Well, maybe she didn't like him.
98:33
>> No, I think he got sick and he died.
98:34
He got a disease.
98:35
>> I mean, allegedly syphilis or something, you know,
98:40
>> but there's only one there's only one way to get that, you know.
98:46
>> So he must he might have had some fun along the way.
98:53
>> I I did want to ask you this.
98:55
U Milton Freriedman speaks about the >> What? Why?
99:06
>> Why does he go on about pencils?
99:08
I have to say that after Nisha and
99:15
keeps talking about pencils.
99:16
There he goes again with the pencils. He won't stop.
99:23
I swear to God if I one
99:25
talks about pencil one more time,
99:28
I'm going to lose my mind.
99:32
He's just ravagon about pencils all day.
99:41
>> Don't even mention crayons.
99:46
>> What I find interesting about his pencil argument. >> Yeah. Yeah.
99:54
No, it's very difficult to make a pencil, you know. >> In one place.
99:57
>> Think of all the things you have to do to make a pencil.
100:00
>> Like the lead comes from a country, the comes from another country, the rubber from another.
100:04
you've always been against tariffs
100:08
but >> yeah I mean I think there's
100:10
generally free trade is a better
100:12
is more efficient you know uh tariffs tend to
100:16
uh create distortions in
100:18
you know markets and
100:20
um and generally like you think about
100:23
uh any given thing
100:25
you say so like would you want tariffs between you and everyone else at
100:28
an individual level that would make life very difficult
100:31
would you want tariffs between each city no That would be very annoying.
100:36
Um, would you want tariffs between each
100:38
state within the United States? Like, no.
100:39
That would be disastrous for the economy.
100:43
Um, so then why do you want tariffs between countries? >> I agree.
100:49
>> How do you think
100:51
how do you think this plays out? What happens next?
100:54
>> What with tariffs or what?
100:57
>> I mean, the president has made it clear he loves tariffs.
101:02
um you know I've tried to dissuade him from this point of view but
101:10
>> The the relationship between
101:13
business and politics uh I was having this conversation with someone and we were
101:17
thinking which is the last
101:20
how many large really big profitable
101:23
businesses have been built in the last few decades
101:27
without access to politics and Um, okay.
101:33
Like I don't know.
101:34
I have Roly a lot. I don't know.
101:36
Not everything is politics.
101:38
>> As when she gets a certain scale, politics finds you. >> It's quite unpleasant.
101:46
>> I was reading I was reading this book about Michelangelo
101:51
and he's >> the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles.
101:56
>> I used to watch that when I was a kid.
101:57
I still love it. >> It's quite compelling. >> Yeah.
101:59
I still love it. >> Yeah.
102:01
Michelangelo, Leonardo, Rafael, and who was the fourth one? Donatello.
102:07
>> No, but about the sculptor, the artist.
102:12
And when he was sculpting, David, a politician comes up to him and says,
102:17
"The nose is too big."
102:19
>> So, you know what Michelangelo does? >> Total power.
102:25
>> So, Michelangelo pretended to work from his scaffolding.
102:29
He threw some dust down.
102:30
but didn't change anything and he said, "Okay, done."
102:34
And the politician walked away happy.
102:36
Is that how you deal with politics sometimes?
102:42
you know, I've generally found that when I get involved in politics,
102:45
it ends up badly.
102:47
Um, so then I'm like, you know,
102:55
um, probably shouldn't do that.
102:58
I should do less of that is my conclusion.
103:00
>> Do you think that's true for all >> Yeah, probably. Yeah. Yeah. Um, yeah.
103:07
I mean, politics is a blood sport, you know?
103:11
It's like you enter politics,
103:12
they're going to go for the jugular.
103:14
Um, best to avoid politics where possible.
103:21
>> What did Doge teach you if you learned one thing?
103:24
Well, it was like a very interesting side quest, you know, because I
103:28
>> got to see like a lot of the,
103:30
you know, workings of the government.
103:32
Um, and uh, you know, there's there's been quite a few efficiencies.
103:39
I mean, some of them are very basic efficiencies,
103:41
like just adding in
103:44
requirements for federal payments that that
103:46
any given payment must
103:48
have an assigned congressional
103:50
payment code and a comment field with something in it that's more than
103:56
Like that that trivial
103:58
trivial seeming change, I my guess is probably saves
104:02
uh hundred billion or even $200 billion a year.
104:06
um because there were al there were the massive numbers of payments that go
104:09
were going out with no no congressional payment code and with nothing in the
104:13
comment field which makes auditing the payments impossible.
104:16
So if they have say like why
104:18
can the defense department or now the department of war why can it not
104:21
pass an audit is because the information is not there
104:24
it doesn't have the information
104:25
not necessary to pass an audit does not exist is the issue.
104:30
So um so a bunch of things do were just very common sense
104:34
uh things that would be normal for
104:37
any organization that cared about financial responsibility.
104:41
That's that's that's most of what was done.
104:44
Um you know and
104:48
it's still going on by the way.
104:49
Doge is still happening.
104:50
Um, but it turns out when you stop
104:54
uh fraudulent and wasteful payments,
104:56
the the fraudsters don't know, you know,
104:59
uh, confess to to this.
105:01
They actually start yelling all sorts of nonsense
105:04
that you're you're you're stopping essential payments to need needy people.
105:08
Um, but actually you're not.
105:11
Um, you know, I I we get this thing like saying, "Oh, you've got
105:15
to send this thing for whatever."
105:17
You know, it really be like this is going to children in Africa.
105:20
And I'm like, "Yeah, but then why are the wiring instructions
105:22
for Deote and T Washington DC?
105:25
Because that's not Africa.
105:30
So, can you please
105:31
connect us with the recipients
105:33
of this money in Africa?"
105:36
And then there gets silence.
105:38
I'm like, "Okay, you know, we're we just want to literally talk to the recipients. That's it."
105:44
That, you know, and then we're like, "Oh, no.
105:46
It turns out for some reason we can't talk to them."
105:48
like, well, we're not going to send the money unless we can talk to
105:51
the recipients and confirm they will actually get it.
105:55
And then that, you know,
105:57
but you know, that's sort of
106:00
fraudsters necessarily will come up with
106:02
a very uh, you know, uh, sympathetic argument.
106:08
They're not going to say, "Give us the money for fraud."
106:10
That's not going to be what they say.
106:11
Obviously, they're going to they're going to try to make these sympathetic
106:15
sounding arguments that are false.
106:16
They're going to start an NGO and
106:18
>> yeah, they're going to see NGO.
106:21
>> It's going to be like the save the baby pandas NGO
106:23
which of like who doesn't want to save the baby pandas? They're adorable.
106:27
Um but then there's no it turns out no pandas are being saved okay in this thing.
106:31
Um it's just going to a bunch of it's just corruption
106:36
>> Um and and you're like, "Well, can you send us a picture of the panda?" They're like, "No." Okay.
106:42
Well, how do we know it's going through the pandas then?
106:45
That's all I'm saying.
106:47
>> what do you think of philanthropy?
106:49
>> Yeah, I I think we should
106:51
well, I mean, I agree with love of humanity.
106:54
Um, and I I think we should
106:56
um try to do things that help our fellow human beings.
107:00
Um, but it's it's very hard
107:02
like if you care about the reality of goodness
107:05
rather than simply the perception of it,
107:08
it's very difficult to give away money.
107:10
Well, um, so I have a large foundation, but I don't put my name
107:14
on it, and I don't, you know,
107:16
in fact, I I say I don't want my name on anything.
107:19
Um, and but the biggest challenge I find with my foundation is try to
107:23
give money away in a way that is that is truly beneficial to people.
107:26
Um, it's very easy to give money away
107:29
to get the appearance of goodness.
107:30
It is very difficult to give money away for the reality of goodness. very difficult.
107:39
>> For a long time, the US had a lot of immigration
107:42
like really smart people coming into the country.
107:46
>> We back home in India called it the brain drain.
107:49
>> Uh all our all our Indian origin CEOs in uh western companies.
107:55
>> Uh yes, I think America has benefited
107:57
immensely from um talented Indians that have come to America.
108:00
>> That seems to be changing now though. >> Yeah.
108:05
I mean, yeah, America's been an immense beneficiary
108:08
of talent from >> Yeah. Why?
108:11
Why has that narrative
108:12
changed of late and
108:15
America seems to have become anti-immigration
108:17
to a certain extent?
108:18
Like I was passing immigration and I was worried if they had stopped me
108:21
a couple of days ago.
108:23
>> Um, well, I I think there's
108:26
there's different schools of thought.
108:27
It's not like unanimous,
108:28
but um you know under the the Biden administration,
108:32
it was basically a total free-for-all
108:34
with like no border controls,
108:36
which you know, unless you've got border controls, you're not a country.
108:39
Um so, uh you had massive amounts of illegal immigration under under Biden.
108:44
Um and it it actually
108:48
it also had like somewhat of a negative selection effect.
108:50
Um, so if uh if there's a massive financial
108:55
incentive to come to the the US illegally and get all these government benefits,
109:01
um then you're you're you're
109:04
going to necessarily create a diffusion gradient for people to come to the US.
109:07
It's an incentive structure.
109:08
Um and so uh
109:12
so I think that that that obviously made no sense.
109:15
Like you got to have border controls.
109:17
It's kind of ridiculous not to.
109:19
Um then that's so
109:22
the the left wants to basically have open open borders, no holds barred.
109:26
You know, it doesn't matter if someone what what the situation is, it could
109:29
be a criminal, doesn't matter.
109:31
Um then on the right, you've got, you know,
109:34
uh at least a perception that
109:38
that somehow their jobs are being taken
109:41
um by talented people from other countries.
109:44
Um I don't know how real that is.
109:47
Um my direct observation is that there there's there's always a scarcity of talented people.
109:54
So you know from my standpoint I'm like
109:58
we have a lot of difficulty finding enough talented people to get these difficult
110:01
tasks done and so more talented people would be would be good.
110:05
Um, but I I guess some companies out there it's sort of they're they're
110:10
making it more of a a cost thing where it's like, okay, if they
110:14
can employ someone for
110:16
a fraction of the cost of
110:18
uh an American citizen,
110:20
then I guess these other comp
110:21
companies would would hire people, you know, just to save class.
110:25
But at my companies, the the issue is we we just are trying to
110:29
get the most talented people in the world.
110:31
So, and we we we pay way above average.
110:35
So, so I can't So, that's not my experience,
110:38
but that's what a lot of people do complain about.
110:42
Um, and I I think there's been some
110:44
misuse of the, you know, uh, H1B program.
110:48
It's it's it certainly
110:50
it would it would be accurate to say that there's,
110:52
you know, like some of the outsourcing
110:54
companies have, uh, kind of gamed the system on on the H1B
110:59
front and we need to stop the gaming of the system, you know.
111:02
Um but uh I'm not I'm certainly not in the school of thought that
111:07
we should shut down the H1B program.
111:09
That's which some on the right are.
111:11
Um I think they don't realize that that would actually be very
111:17
>> If you could speak to the people of
111:19
my country, India, the young
111:22
entrepreneurs who want to build
111:24
and say a message to them, what would you say?
111:29
Well, I think I think uh
111:33
I'm I'm a big fan of anyone who wants to bully.
111:35
So, I think anyone who wants to,
111:40
you know, make more than they take has my respect.
111:44
So, that's that's the the main thing you should aim for.
111:48
Aim to make more than you take.
111:49
Um be a be a
111:53
you know a net contributor to to society.
111:56
Um it's and and it's it's kind of like the pursuit of happiness.
112:02
You know, you if you want to create something valuable
112:05
financially, you you don't pursue that.
112:08
You you it's best to actually pursue
112:11
make providing useful products and services.
112:14
If you do that,
112:15
then money will come as a natural consequence of that
112:19
as opposed to pursuing money directly.
112:21
Just like you can't sort of pursue happiness directly.
112:23
You pursue things that lead to happiness,
112:25
but but there's not like direct happiness pursuit.
112:29
You you do things like
112:31
uh I guess fulfilling
112:33
work or study or
112:35
friends, loved ones um
112:38
that as a result make you happy.
112:42
So, so that's this it sounds like very obvious, but
112:46
um generally if if somebody's trying to make a company work, they should expect
112:51
to grind super hard.
112:53
Uh except that there's like some meaningful chance of failure.
112:57
Um but but just be focused on
113:02
having the output be worth more than the input.
113:07
That are you a value creator?
113:11
That's what really matters.
113:12
Uh making more than you take.
113:18
>> I think that's a good way to end this.
113:20
Lauren is asking us to wrap up. >> All right.
113:24
>> Uh I also like to take the opportunity
113:26
to thank my friend uh Manojan IGF.
113:31
He does a great job of connecting
113:34
I think Indians like the group here
113:37
with people like you
113:39
in order to of many things I think get to know each other and
113:44
become friends because once we are friends maybe we can start working
113:48
So thank you Manoj for putting this whole thing together and thank you Isaiah
113:53
>> and thank you so much Elon for taking the time. >> You're welcome.
114:00
Did you have fun?
114:01
>> Yeah, it was an interesting conversation.
114:03
You know, sometimes I take these
114:05
answers out of context, you know, but uh that's I think it was a good good conversation.
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