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The unhinged world of tech in 2026...
The unhinged world of tech in 2026...
Fireship
·
9:10 · 14 thg 1, 2026
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0:00
The year is 2026.
0:01
Your $3,500 smart fridge has a GPU and displays advertisements.
0:05
Your boss is an AI.
0:07
Your girlfriend is a robot.
0:08
And every startup pitch sounds like Uber, but quantum.
0:11
Welcome to the future.
0:12
It's somehow both overengineered and still in beta.
0:16
But it's time for the annual tradition where I wake up the vat of
0:18
precogs in my garage
0:20
and tell you exactly what's going to happen this year.
0:22
Last year, I told you AI agents would be the biggest thing in tech.
0:25
And if you would have just listened to me,
0:27
you'd be a billionaire right now.
0:28
But you didn't listen.
0:29
In fact, I didn't even listen to myself,
0:31
and now it's too late to frontr run this trend.
0:33
But all is not lost.
0:34
There are some even bigger trends emerging in Silicon Valley right now.
0:37
And as long as the record-breaking stock market doesn't crash,
0:40
there's an endless supply of money being thrown around
0:43
that can still make us all billionaires.
0:44
In today's video, we'll look at 10 trends in technology,
0:47
covering everything from AI slop to nuclearpowered quantum sex robots to new JavaScript framework
0:52
features that will finally make the world a better place.
0:55
It is January 14th, 2026, and you're watching the Code Report.
0:59
Not everybody is cut out to become a billionaire AI grifter,
1:02
but the next best thing is landing a stable,
1:04
high-paying job doing some honest software engineering work.
1:07
But will those jobs even exist in 2026?
1:10
Unfortunately, the good old days of 2023 don't seem like they're coming back after
1:14
the 2023 tech pullback
1:16
and the rise of AI coding tools
1:18
that followed.
1:18
The amount of job openings on Indeed for software engineers have not regained their
1:22
original glory.
1:23
But this ominous looking chart doesn't tell the full story.
1:26
On a more positive note,
1:27
the Bureau of Labor Statistics is still forecasting 15% software development job growth through
1:33
2034.
1:34
In addition, back in September,
1:35
a major change to the H1B program might be good news
1:39
or bad news depending on who you are.
1:41
If you weren't lucky enough to be born in the United States,
1:43
you'll now have a $100,000 fee to apply for an H-1B visa.
1:47
And that makes it far more difficult for US-based tech companies to hire cheap
1:51
labor from overseas.
1:52
The good news though is that despite what the optimist will tell you,
1:56
AI coding tools are still nowhere close to replacing human engineers.
1:59
And I have zero fears that that's going to change in 2026.
2:02
In fact, all the vibe coded slop out there is creating a whole new
2:06
class of jobs called code janitors who need to clean up all the garbage
2:09
code created by these AI tools.
2:11
But where is AI itself headed?
2:13
Everybody knows we're in a bubble with valuations that make zero sense.
2:16
But the question is, are we at the peak of this bubble,
2:19
or are we still another decade away from the peak?
2:21
I'd argue that we still have at least a few more years to keep
2:24
this hype cycle alive.
2:25
It's pretty obvious now
2:26
that LLMs as a technology have plateaued
2:29
and are not actually intelligent.
2:30
When GPT5 came out a few months ago,
2:32
it was a huge disappointment
2:33
and we're not seeing the exponential leaps in intelligence
2:36
that a truly intelligent self-improving AI system should be able to make.
2:40
But don't get me wrong, though.
2:41
The current AI technology is legit amazing.
2:44
Remember, we're only a few years into this trend. programmers were the early adopters
2:48
of the prompt casino,
2:49
but there are companies out there working day and night to replace stupid, smelly,
2:53
squishy humans.
2:54
And if you're someone who does spreadsheets for a living,
2:56
is a mid-level manager, or even a graphic designer,
2:59
you might no longer be necessary in the future.
3:01
AI is definitely stacking up victims in the job market,
3:03
and even activities that were once respected, like being a Stack Overflow poster,
3:07
are now completely dead, just as I predicted a few years ago.
3:10
But another sign the bubble's not over yet is the fact
3:13
that most AI companies are still private.
3:15
Eventually, a time will come
3:16
when you see a wave of IPOs in the stock market to hand these
3:19
bags from VCs over to the public.
3:21
And when that wave of IPOs arrives,
3:23
you'll know the charade is coming to an end.
3:25
And there's a good chance that wave comes in 2026 as SpaceX, OpenAI,
3:29
and Anthropic are all looking to go public with some of the biggest IPOs
3:33
in the history of the world.
3:34
But before that happens,
3:35
one of the biggest drivers to keep the AI hype going in 2026 will
3:39
be robots,
3:40
humanoid robots.
3:41
Just a few weeks ago, 1X started taking orders for their Neo robot,
3:44
which can do your laundry, wash your dishes, and just be a friendly,
3:48
helpful slave that will never rebel.
3:50
In addition, Figure Robots
3:51
and Tesla Optimus are being pushed
3:53
as replacements for manual labor in factories.
3:56
As of today, the tech is still pretty bad
3:57
and requires a lot of tea operation,
4:00
but companies like Google
4:01
and Nvidia are providing the base technology
4:03
that allows any founder to Frankenstein together some clanker
4:06
and raise a bunch of money. 2026 is the year we'll finally see these
4:10
things roll off of assembly lines.
4:11
But what if you could turn yourself into a robot or cyborg?
4:14
Well, wearable AI tech is another big trend to watch for.
4:17
We've already had massive flops like the Rabbit and Humane Pin,
4:20
but OpenAI is still in collaboration with Johnny IV to make some wearable
4:24
that will actually be good this time,
4:26
or so they say.
4:27
In addition, you've got old companies like Nike building things like batterypowered shoes
4:32
that will finally allow the white man to jump.
4:34
And I can't wait for the NBA to approve this
4:36
and see dudes dunking from half court.
4:38
But until that day comes,
4:39
I'd rather just get my entertainment from virtual worlds in my VR headset.
4:42
The Apple Vision Pro was supposed to finally make virtual reality mainstream,
4:46
but as I correctly predicted, it was a massive flop.
4:49
I got a lot of hate from Apple fanboys for making that prediction,
4:52
but it's not over for the Vision Pro.
4:54
There are rumors of a lowerc cost version in the works
4:56
that could turn this flop around.
4:58
Meanwhile, Meta is making huge investments in augmented reality.
5:02
But ultimately, I think the VR AR space will mostly remain an unprofitable niche
5:06
area,
5:07
even though the tech itself is extremely impressive.
5:09
But the lion share of the profits are going to continue flowing into chip
5:13
designers like Nvidia and ARM
5:14
and chip fabricators like Taiwan Semiconductor.
5:17
AI mania has created an insatiable demand for linear algebra.
5:21
And the barriers to entry in this industry are
5:23
so high that these companies will continue to slurp up most of the profit.
5:27
The only company that really screwed things up is Intel,
5:29
which is both a chip designer and a fab.
5:31
And in 2025, it looked like it was on the verge of going out
5:34
of business.
5:35
But luckily, Trump stepped in
5:37
and had the US government buy a 10% stake in Intel,
5:40
thus preventing the free market from working like a free market.
5:43
And Intel is poised to continue its turnaround in 2026.
5:46
It's just too big to fail.
5:48
But cloud providers like Azure are having a hard time even finding enough electricity
5:52
to plug in their Nvidia GPUs.
5:54
As demand for AI scales up,
5:56
it could lead to a resurgence in nuclear power even
5:58
as many countries in the west start to dismantle their reactors.
6:02
China, on the other hand, is building all kinds of new reactors.
6:05
But there are companies like Ollo,
6:06
which are attempting to get regulatory approval for these small modular reactors,
6:11
which could potentially give every data center its own self-contained power source.
6:15
Instead of acres of these ugly intermittent solar farms or wind farms,
6:19
the future might have these tiny little reactors in every neighborhood.
6:22
But what could possibly go wrong?
6:23
And we're already seeing this play out with Zuckerberg announcing a big deal with
6:26
Olo to put a reactor in Ohio.
6:29
But maybe this trend will never play out because computers get colder and faster,
6:33
like billions of times faster, running at absolute zero temperatures.
6:36
In 2025, we saw some major advancements in quantum computing,
6:40
most notably with Google's Willow chip.
6:42
Then just a few months ago,
6:43
Google announced its quantum echoes algorithm that measures disturbances at the subatomic scale.
6:49
For the first time in history,
6:50
a quantum computer has actually run a verifiable algorithm
6:53
that surpasses the ability of supercomputers.
6:56
The quantum computers have been in development for decades now.
6:58
But what's exciting is
6:59
that we're finally starting to see the possibility of practical applications in the real
7:03
world.
7:04
When quantum computing hits version 1.0,
7:06
it'll make the AI bubble look like child's play,
7:08
and American and Chinese researchers are racing to get there first.
7:12
But European tech leaders are also making big strides in technology,
7:15
especially when it comes to water bottle caps.
7:17
and with the highly unpopular digital IDs along with central bankbacked digital currencies.
7:23
Despite nobody actually wanting these things,
7:25
bureaucrats keep pushing them forward like it's a speedrun to the Black Mirror season
7:29
finale.
7:29
In the near future,
7:30
every government endorsed smartphone will become a portal to your bank account, your location,
7:35
your social media posts, your adult website visits, and so on.
7:38
The UK has been adamant that digital IDs are coming.
7:41
While the European Central Bank recently announced
7:43
that the Eurozone's digital euro pilot is moving into its next phase with the
7:47
pilot program expected as soon
7:49
as mid 2027 and full issuance of a digital currency by 2029.
7:53
They can take our lives
7:54
and they can take our freedom
7:56
but they can't take our JavaScript.
7:58
On the back end,
7:58
Node.js keeps getting better and better and now supports TypeScript files with TypeScripping.
8:03
Meanwhile, Dino keeps getting better and now has its own built-in module bundler.
8:07
But all the kids these days are talking about bunjs,
8:09
a runtime that keeps getting faster,
8:11
but also has built-in support for Postgress and Reddus,
8:14
making it a very tempting choice for any new JavaScript project.
8:17
On the front end, ReactJS still dominates despite the fact it sucks.
8:21
But in the future,
8:22
it will suck less now that the compiler is officially stable.
8:25
I'd still take spelt or view or it even Angular over React,
8:28
but there's still new JavaScripts hitting the scene like Ripple,
8:31
which should be on your radar in 2026.
8:33
But if you're looking to level up your skills this year,
8:35
you need to check out Brilliant, the sponsor of today's video.
8:38
I'd highly recommend their how AI works course,
8:41
which teaches you how to build a functioning language model from scratch.
8:44
You'll get to experiment with things like feature vectors to edit facial expressions
8:48
and images along with other hands-on lessons
8:50
that are personalized to your skill level,
8:52
so you can master challenging topics over time.
8:55
To check out brilliant.org/fireship org/fireship to learn for free for a full 30 days
8:59
or scan the QR code on screen to get 20% off an annual premium
9:03
subscription with unlimited daily access.
9:06
This has been the code report.
9:07
Thanks for watching and I will see you in the next one.
Thích
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Fireship
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