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Veritasium
This is the natural disaster to worry about
This is the natural disaster to worry about
Veritasium
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41:07 · Aug 22, 2025
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-
What
happens
if
I
heat
up
this
rubber
band?
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0:00
- What happens if I heat up this rubber band?
0:03
When you heat materials like glass or plastic, the atoms vibrate faster.
0:08
They get slightly farther apart and this reduces intermolecular forces.
0:13
So the material gets weaker.
0:15
Under tension, it stretches.
0:17
But when I heat up this rubber band, the opposite happens.
0:22
It actually pulls more strongly.
0:24
The rubber band contracts and the weight goes up.
0:28
So why does this happen?
0:30
Well, rubber is unlike any other material.
0:33
It's waterproof.
0:35
As it's breaking, it actually becomes tougher
0:37
and it can stretch up to 10 times its length
0:40
and bounce back no worse for wear.
0:42
These properties have made it essential for modern life.
0:45
It forms the tubes and seals that carry our gas and water,
0:49
the belts that drive our motors and the tires on our cars,
0:53
trucks and planes.
0:55
Even trains use rubber in their suspension systems.
0:59
It's a perfectly engineered material but we didn't invent it.
1:04
All of our most durable rubber still comes from a single natural source.
1:08
This tree, it's a source at risk of being wiped out.
1:12
And if that happens,
1:14
the results could be devastating. - You're talking about a complete global societal meltdown.
1:20
- This could be considered a national security issue. - You wouldn't think
1:24
that we're so dependent on this thing? - Well,
1:27
we are, and most people don't know that.
1:29
They're waiting for a disaster to happen. - Rubber comes from the Brazilian rubber tree.
1:35
As early as 1600 BC,
1:37
Mesoamericans cut the bark to release this milky white liquid, now known as latex.
1:44
They noticed that if they let it dry, it turned into this stretchy,
1:48
waterproof solid lump.
1:50
To see this in person, we sent Veritasium producer and mechanical engineer,
1:53
Henry van Dyck to the Akron Research and Development Laboratory,
1:56
where they specialize in all things rubber. - In just all these racks,
2:01
even though they look solid,
2:03
they're all flowing right now. - Really? - If you look behind one of these racks,
2:08
you can see these are actually dripping. - Oh,
2:10
wow. - They're flowing slower than we can perceive. - Unprocessed rubber is not
2:16
the rubber we're used to.
2:18
It slowly flows and can't maintain its shape.
2:22
So how do you get this weird material in the first place?
2:25
Well, just underneath the bark are special tube-like cells that carry the latex.
2:30
Floating around inside are lots of isopentenyl pyrophosphate or IPP.
2:35
This is the building block or monomer of rubber.
2:38
In fact, IPP is found everywhere in nature,
2:41
including inside you. - Huge amounts of us are dependent upon that little molecule.
2:47
We make short chain rubber in our livers.
2:49
It's called Dolichol.
2:51
You're busily making rubber, you are a rubber factory. - How?
2:54
What do you mean?
2:54
Why am I making rubber? - It's essential for cell membranes. - Special builder
3:00
enzymes grab these monomers to build this long chain with over 10,000 monomers,
3:06
they build a polymer.
3:08
This is rubber. -
3:09
So I get students to think about
3:11
if this is a carbon atom
3:13
and then I've got my next carbon atom along the chain next to it,
3:16
yeah?
3:17
And then, I've got my next carbon atom.
3:19
How many do we have to make up the whole length of the chain?
3:23
Well, we've got tens of thousands,
3:25
hundreds of thousands of carbons along the back burn.
3:28
You start going kilometers in distance from end to end
3:30
if each atom is the size of this tennis ball. -
3:33
But the polymers aren't stretched out from end to end like
3:36
that.
3:37
Instead, they're all coiled up. -
3:39
If you imagine the room
3:40
that I'm in right now
3:41
and I had the first ball here in the middle,
3:44
the chances of the end of the chain leaving this room is quite small.
3:47
- So after you've dried out the latex,
3:49
you're left with raw rubber, a jumble of all these polymers.
3:52
And this is why it's flowing.
3:54
Because over time, all those polymers slowly slide past each other.
3:58
Now, when you pull on the rubber and let go, it bounces back.
4:02
So why is this? - At room temperature,
4:05
rubber's polymer chains are constantly vibrating and bumping into each other.
4:10
And other smaller molecules like air molecules
4:13
or trapped water molecules also jostle around
4:15
and bump into the chains.
4:17
Now, when you stretch rubber, these chains straighten out.
4:21
But as you're doing this,
4:23
those chains are still being bombarded by these smaller molecules.
4:26
So when you release that stress, there's nothing holding those chains aligned anymore.
4:31
And the constant bombardment from the smaller molecules
4:34
and the other chains kinks those chains back up.
4:37
So the rubber snaps back to its original size.
4:41
And if you heat the rubber up, well then,
4:43
everything is vibrating faster
4:44
and so the chains are gonna get kinked up even more
4:47
so the rubber pulls back stronger. - This is why
4:51
when you heat up rubber,
4:52
it shrinks. - Rubber band's fascinating.
4:55
To think that when they're sitting on an old package of papers for a
5:00
long time holding those papers together,
5:03
it's done by a perpetual pounding, pounding,
5:06
pounding of the atoms against these chains to hold it,
5:08
trying to kink them
5:09
and trying to kink them. -
5:11
But there's also another reason why rubber is
5:14
so stretchy.
5:15
If you zoom in on a chain,
5:17
you'll see that the monomers are attached to each other on the same side
5:20
of the double bond.
5:21
This is called cis-attachment.
5:23
And it affects how the chain folds.
5:25
On each monomer, there are three single bonds
5:27
that can rotate to be at an angle
5:29
or in line but these carbons with two hydrogens take up a lot of
5:33
space.
5:34
So it's favorable for at least one of these bonds to be at an
5:37
angle.
5:38
That makes the polymer wiggle in and out like a folded ribbon.
5:42
So when you pull on a piece of rubber, first,
5:44
all the polymers line up but then, each chain also unfolds.
5:49
The wiggle makes rubber extra stretchy.
5:52
But this state is very rare.
5:54
All three bonds lined up is only one possible arrangement for any monomer.
5:58
And one polymer usually has thousands of monomers.
6:02
So after you release the stress, the chain goes from an improbable state,
6:05
completely aligned to a more probable one, with wiggles.
6:09
The chain itself bounces back.
6:12
This is where rubber gets its elasticity from.
6:15
So natural rubbers straight from the tree is already stretchy.
6:18
It's also waterproof since all those chains are just a bunch of carbon
6:21
and hydrogen atoms which are hydrophobic.
6:24
But as we've seen, it eventually loses its shape.
6:26
Plus, if you stretch it too much, it breaks quite easily.
6:30
So we need to do more to get the rubber we're used to today.
6:33
Early Mesoamericans improved the rubber slightly by mixing the latex with juice from the
6:38
tropical morning-glory,
6:39
a local flower.
6:40
And they used this to form sandals,
6:42
bottles and balls. -
6:45
But for the next 3,000 years to the rest of the world,
6:48
rubber was little more than a curiosity.
6:51
Then in 1770, a piece of natural latex made its way to English chemist,
6:56
Joseph Priestley.
6:57
And he took this piece and used it to try to erase pencil marks.
7:01
He noticed that it easily, quote, "rubbed them away." - In the following decades,
7:07
people started exploring other applications.
7:10
Up until then, people used to waterproof fabric with oil, wax, or tar.
7:15
But some oils were extremely flammable and prone to spontaneous combustion.
7:19
And wax or tar would eventually crack with movement.
7:23
Similarly, there were no real good flexible materials at the time.
7:27
Leather was the best option but it had little give.
7:31
Rubber had the potential to fix all those problems.
7:34
So for the next 50 years, the use of rubber exploded.
7:37
In England, people made waterproof clothing.
7:40
And by the late 1820s,
7:41
the rubber craze hit the US
7:43
when everyone wanted their own pair of Brazilian waterproof boots.
7:47
Factories sprung up all across the country to make new rubber products,
7:50
including one New England factory called the Roxbury India Rubber Company. - In the
7:55
spring of 1834,
7:57
things were looking great for the company.
7:59
The previous fall, they had sold over $20,000 worth of goods, rubber coats,
8:04
shoes and the like.
8:05
But as the summer came round,
8:07
problems started to emerge. - They used to rubberize the fabric to make it
8:12
water-resistant which was fine until you sat down on a wooden bench on a
8:15
hot day and you stuck to it. - See,
8:20
all natural rubber has a critical weakness.
8:22
It's extremely sensitive to temperature changes.
8:25
It melts when it gets too hot
8:26
and it freezes and becomes brittle
8:28
when it gets too cold. - This made the coats
8:32
and shoes practically useless during the hot summer.
8:35
So customers returned their items on mass.
8:38
Then, things went from bad to worse.
8:40
One day, the Roxbury manager visited the warehouse.
8:43
When he opened the door, he didn't see their newest products.
8:47
Instead, he was met with a foul smell and a molten,
8:50
gooey mess that covered the entire warehouse. - In fact,
8:54
when we ordered some raw rubber, we were in for a similar nasty surprise.
8:59
Oh, that is disgusting.
9:02
The summer heat melted their rubber products and they started rotting.
9:06
The sludge stank so badly,
9:08
the manager had the employees secretly bury it at night. -
9:12
But later in that horrible summer,
9:14
the manager got a visit from a man named Charles.
9:17
Charles' previous business had gone bankrupt
9:20
and he was deeply in debt. - He stumbled upon a rubber life preserver
9:25
and he thought he could make a better valve.
9:27
He pitched the Roxbury manager on his new design,
9:30
hoping to pay back his lenders.
9:32
The manager was impressed but couldn't buy Charles' work.
9:36
He showed Charles the warehouse full of rotten rubber.
9:38
Rubber had potential but in its current form, it was just too problematic.
9:43
However, he said if anyone could figure out how to make rubber stable in
9:46
a wider temperature range
9:48
and non-sticky,
9:49
well, then that person would stand to make a ton of money.
9:53
So Charles was determined to become that person.
9:58
But when he returned home to start his experiments,
10:00
he was met by an angry creditor who threw Charles into debtor's prison for
10:04
unpaid loans.
10:05
Charles asked his wife to bring him raw rubber and her rolling pin.
10:09
There in his jail cell,
10:11
he started adding different compounds into raw rubber. - If rubber was naturally sticky,
10:16
then why couldn't you add dry powders to absorb that stickiness?
10:20
So he tried adding magnesia and he got a smooth non-sticky rubber.
10:25
But over time, the stickiness returned.
10:28
After his release, he tested the wear
10:30
and tear of his rubber compounds by walking around in all rubber outfits. -
10:35
His hands were always covered with gum elastic.
10:38
He playfully said that the only way to rub rubber off was by rubbing
10:42
more on. - Some mixtures showed promise,
10:45
but eventually, they'd all rot into a sticky mess.
10:48
So he kept borrowing money to fund his experiments
10:51
but because his mixtures all eventually failed,
10:54
he ended up in debtor's prison
10:55
so many times that he jokingly called it his hotel.
11:00
But Charles refused to give up.
11:02
When a friend told him rubber is dead, Charles replied,
11:05
"I am the man to bring it back."
11:08
In the summer of 1838, he met Nathaniel Hayward, a businessman and inventor.
11:13
Hayward had done his own experiments with rubber.
11:15
At one point, he laid out a sheet of rubber
11:18
and sprinkled on sulfur powder.
11:20
And when he let this sheet set in the sun,
11:22
he noticed that it hardened
11:23
and had a smooth
11:24
and non-sticky surface. -
11:26
But eventually,
11:27
it would still melt in the heat and freeze in the cold.
11:31
He offered his process to his previous company
11:34
but it was so horribly smelly
11:35
that they rejected it.
11:37
But Charles saw the possibilities.
11:39
So he helped Hayward get a patent
11:41
and then he bought it
11:42
so that he could use it in his own experiments.
11:46
Then one day in the winter of 1839,
11:48
Charles accidentally dropped a piece of rubber mixed with sulfur on a hot stove.
11:53
When he went to scrape it off, he found that instead of melting,
11:56
it had charred and hardened.
11:58
His daughter later said, "As I was passing in and out of the room,
12:02
I casually observed the little piece of gum,"
12:04
which he was holding near the fire.
12:06
And he was unusually animated by some discovery which he had made.
12:10
He nailed the piece of gum outside the kitchen door in the intense cold.
12:14
In the morning, he brought it in, holding it up exultingly.
12:17
He had found it perfectly flexible
12:19
as it was when he put it out. -
12:21
So he had made a new rubber with completely different properties,
12:25
one that seemed to be temperature-resistant and much stronger.
12:28
In fact, we're going to test out unprocessed rubber against rubber processed in this
12:33
way. - Okay,
12:35
so this is uncured rubber
12:36
and I'm gonna see how far I can pull it.
12:38
Uncured rubber is very soft and stretches really far before easily breaking.
12:44
Oh, oh, it's gonna hurt, ah!
12:47
We need to cure it. - What does it smell like to you? -
12:51
Smells like a barbecue. - This smells like a barbecue. - The smell of
12:56
rubber does not seem to be natural. - Mm. - Like it smells very
13:00
chemically like it was made in the factory. - Yeah,
13:02
so when I was in the factory and I saw the natural rubber,
13:05
it smelled just like a barbecue.
13:07
And the reason is they take the sap from the rubber tree
13:10
which is latex and
13:12
then they smoke it. - They're smoking it? - Yeah. - Like you'd smoke
13:16
some salmon? - Yeah. - They smoke the rubber sheets to get rid of
13:20
excess moisture and to preserve it by getting rid of the bacteria.
13:23
This gives most natural rubber a sort of brownish color.
13:28
So step one, add the rub. - One at a time. - Next,
13:32
you add several powders including sulfur.
13:36
Everything is mixed and heated to get a much stronger rubber. - Just pull it,
13:41
straight off. - Yeah, that's wild.
13:49
Yeah, no. - Pretty tough. - It is tough, eh?
13:52
Now, yeah, now it's like wicked hard, yeah.
13:55
Now at 393 kilopascals,
13:57
the uncured rubber broke after extending just under 900% of its original length.
14:02
At the same stress, the cured rubber had only stretched around 5%.
14:06
It eventually broke at 14.1 megapascals after stretching nearly 600% of its original length.
14:13
So what was it about sulfur and heat that changed the properties so dramatically?
14:18
Well, chemically, sulfur powder is just rings of eight sulfur atoms.
14:22
On the hot stove, the sulfur ring broke apart into smaller pieces.
14:26
And now, those sulfur atoms
14:27
or sulfur chains have free bonding sites
14:31
so they look for places to attach.
14:33
What likely happened is they grabbed onto a carbon atom from a rubber chain,
14:37
breaking its double bond and attached itself.
14:40
Then with another free bonding site,
14:41
it grabbed onto a carbon atom from a different rubber chain,
14:44
breaking its double bond and linking the two rubber chains together.
14:48
This cross-linking forms flexible bridges of one,
14:52
two or even more sulfur atoms in a row.
14:55
Now, think about what this does to the rubber.
14:57
Instead of each chain being loose and slippery like spaghetti,
15:00
they're tied together in a flexible but connected network.
15:04
So now, if rubber sits out in the sun on a hot summer's day,
15:08
the tight bonds prevent it from melting.
15:10
And in the cold,
15:11
the cross-links make it harder for the rubber to fully freeze
15:15
so it's less brittle
15:16
and harder to break.
15:17
And when you pull on the rubber, the chains stretch just as before.
15:21
But as you release it,
15:22
everything returns to its original position because it's all connected.
15:26
So the cross-links make the rubber stronger,
15:29
more resistant to temperature changes and more elastic.
15:33
In fact, by tweaking the number and properties of these cross-links,
15:36
you can change the properties of rubber.
15:39
If you have a lot of cross-links,
15:40
all the rubber chains are bound tightly together
15:42
so the rubber becomes harder
15:44
and stiffer.
15:45
Great for things like shoe soles
15:47
and tires that need to be durable
15:48
but still a little flexible.
15:51
If you have shorter cross-links, each link is harder to break.
15:54
So the rubber is more resistant to heat and weathering.
15:57
This is useful for seals and insulators.
16:00
And if you have longer cross-links, the rubber chains can move more freely,
16:03
so you can stretch it more before it breaks.
16:06
That's perfect in the medical field for soft and flexible applications.
16:11
So the cross-links are essential to stabilizing rubber.
16:16
When Hayward sprinkled sulfur powder on rubber sheets,
16:18
the heat from the sun did cause some cross-linking
16:21
but only on the surface.
16:23
When Charles kneaded in sulfur and then heated the entire mixture,
16:26
the cross-links grew throughout the entire sample.
16:29
So now, the results were much better.
16:31
Eventually, this process was called vulcanisation after the Roman God, Vulcan,
16:36
who was associated with heat and sulfur in volcanoes.
16:40
Over the next five years, Charles perfected his method of vulcanisation.
16:44
And then he patented it in 1844.
16:47
With this, he transformed rubber from a curiosity into a material of endless possibilities.
16:53
Little did he know that he actually wasn't the first to discover it.
16:57
The Mayans or the Aztecs used, like, created rubber where they also vulcanising rubber,
17:02
or was this the-? - They actually were. - In fact,
17:05
Charles' discovery was very similar to what the Mesoamericans had been doing for thousands
17:09
of years.
17:10
They'd taken the juice from the morning-glory which contained sulfur,
17:12
mixed it with natural latex, and then by laying it out in the sun,
17:15
it would heat up
17:16
and actually naturally create the cross-links
17:18
that he'd discovered in his kitchen.
17:20
Why did the Europeans, like, why did they have to reinvent the whole thing?
17:23
Why didn't they just ask them? - Well, they hadn't even noticed,
17:24
I don't think. - No.
17:27
In the decades after Charles's invention,
17:29
tons and tons of products were invented
17:31
or improved with rubber. - Richards makes bold claim he could cross Pacific in
17:36
this outfit. - The inflatable bicycle tire arrived in 1888,
17:40
the first rubber gloves for medical purposes in 1890,
17:44
and the first car tire in 1895,
17:47
and all of this was thanks to Charles' invention. -
17:50
But despite almost single-handedly transforming the rubber industry,
17:54
he never made much money.
17:56
I mean he spent thousands of dollars defending his inventions in patent disputes.
18:01
And when he passed away in 1860 at the age of 59,
18:04
he was over $200,000 in debt.
18:07
That would be around 7.7 million today. 38 years later, American entrepreneur,
18:13
Frank Seiberling, founded a tire company
18:15
and decided to name it in honor of rubber's inventor,
18:18
Charles Goodyear.
18:20
Today, the Goodyear company makes $18.9 billion a year in revenue
18:24
and it's the third largest tire manufacturer in the world.
18:29
For the past hundred years,
18:31
tires have consumed the most natural rubber out of any application.
18:36
But vulcanised rubber alone isn't strong enough and would wear down quickly,
18:40
lasting only around 8,000 kilometers.
18:43
So in the early 1900s, car and tire companies started experimenting with additives,
18:48
including something called carbon black. - So with natural rubber,
18:52
we got carbon black. - Reinforcement. -
18:54
Which is gonna add the cross-linking. - This doesn't do the cross-linking. - No,
18:57
it doesn't? - So this is the reinforcement in filler. - Ah,
19:00
okay. - This makes it durable and resilient. - Nowadays,
19:03
passenger car tires last about 100,000 kilometers.
19:07
Carbon black is what gives them their color
19:09
and durability. - But carbon black has another benefit.
19:13
It conducts electricity. - That's hugely important because as you're driving down the road,
19:19
you are charging up the vehicle.
19:20
If you didn't dissipate that static charge,
19:23
then you would get a shock when you earth the car,
19:25
when you touch the car. - But later,
19:28
some companies wondered if they could reduce rolling friction by using a different additive.
19:33
So they tried silica instead, making a whitish-looking tire.
19:37
But silica is a poor conductor and rubber itself is an insulator.
19:41
So now, as the car moved,
19:44
it would slowly build up charge. - As you go to refuel the car,
19:48
you have a highly charged, static electricity-charged vehicle, you put an earth conductor,
19:54
the fuel hose into the tank, you create a spark in the tank,
19:59
car explodes.
20:01
There's a very vital characteristic of tires is that they should be conductive.
20:05
The other benefit is
20:06
if you're in a thunderstorm
20:06
and you are struck by lightning,
20:06
the lightning will hit the car.
20:06
It will act as a fire enclosure,
20:07
it'll completely protect you
20:08
and it'll dissipate down to the ground. -
20:08
So people have stuck to using carbon black for most of the tire
20:08
and only a little silica in the treads. -
20:08
And since Goodyear's invention,
20:08
we've made over 70 billion tires.
20:08
If they were stacked on top of each other,
20:08
they could go to the moon
20:08
and back 21 times. -
20:08
And almost all of these tires needed natural rubber.
20:08
But fueling the rubber boom came at a price, especially early on.
20:08
In the late 19th century,
20:08
the Amazon region supplied over 90% of the world's rubber
20:08
but wild rubber trees were often separated by hundreds of meters.
20:09
So to keep up with growing demand,
20:09
rubber barons began to exploit natives killing roughly 40,000 people in the Putumayo region
20:10
alone,
20:10
and likely over 100,000 across the wider Amazon region between 1879 and 1911.
20:11
The humanitarian activist Roger Casement said that,
20:11
"It was first called 'India Rubber,' because it came from the Indies,
20:12
and the earliest European use of it was to rub out or erase.
20:12
It is now called India rubber
20:12
because it rubs out
20:12
or erases the Indians." - It is one of the most appalling instances of
20:12
genocide and sickening ill-treatment of native peoples. -
20:12
But other countries like England weren't happy with Brazil's monopoly.
20:12
So in 1876, the bio-pirate Henry Wickham managed to smuggle 70,000 rubber seeds back
20:12
to England.
20:12
The British Empire planted these seeds all over Southeast Asia
20:12
which had a similar climate.
20:12
Only now, instead of having just a few rubber trees here and there,
20:12
they made farms of acres and acres of nothing but rubber trees.
20:12
These plantations produced far more than the Amazon.
20:12
Brazil's share of the rubber supply dropped from over 80% in 1907 to 1.6%
20:12
just over three decades later.
20:12
By the mid 1930s,
20:12
over 90% of all rubber came from the British colonies in Southeast Asia.
20:12
And two-thirds of that rubber went into making car tires.
20:12
One of the largest car manufacturers at the time was Ford
20:12
which made an average of 1.5 million cars every year.
20:12
And Henry Ford wasn't comfortable with England's monopoly.
20:12
So in 1928, he bought 10,000 square kilometers of land from the Brazilian government
20:12
to build a utopian town.
20:12
He called it Fordlandia.
20:13
It had Cape Cod cottages, a hospital, swimming pools,
20:13
a golf course and little red fire hydrants.
20:13
It was an American city in the middle of the Amazon.
20:13
It could house 10,000 people,
20:13
all working to plant millions of rubber trees. - Ford Plantation is a successful enterprise,
20:13
a tribute to skill and science. - But in the early 1930s,
20:13
things started to go wrong.
20:13
Every morning, the workers would wake up,
20:13
walk to the line of rubber trees and they'd notice black spots.
20:13
Just a few at first, little specks on the undersides of the leaves,
20:13
like flakes of soot.
20:13
But by the afternoon, they'd spread to cover the leaves entirely.
20:13
And the next morning, the leaves were falling off.
20:13
Shortly after that, the tree died.
20:13
Every day, another row of trees was infected
20:13
and dying. - People who've seen it say it looks like a fire front.
20:14
You have the infected trees
20:14
and it's green on one side
20:14
and black on the other.
20:14
And you see that black line move day by day,
20:14
you could virtually watch it move
20:14
and leaving dead trees behind it. - The trees were infected by the South
20:14
American leaf blight,
20:14
a fungus native to South America.
20:15
This blight ruined the 3.6 million rubber trees from Ford's plantations by the early
20:15
1940s,
20:15
turning it into a disaster.
20:15
When planting his rubber trees,
20:15
instead of separating them by hundreds of meters like they were in the wild,
20:15
he planted them several meters apart. 200,000 of them. - They're all touching,
20:15
their roots are touching, their leaves are touching, their branches are touching.
20:15
And so it's just like a plague,
20:17
one straight through the plantation. - Ford tried relocating the project to a town downstream,
20:17
Belterra, planting another 16,000 acres with rubber trees
20:17
but these too all died. - Ford's son eventually abandoned the project in 1945.
20:17
The Fordlandia buildings still stand in Brazil abandoned. - And to this day,
20:17
there is no cure for the leaf blight.
20:19
The blight is so fatal to rubber trees,
20:19
they can't grow in plantations in their native country.
20:19
That's why South America makes up less than 2% of the rubber supply.
20:19
Over 90% comes from Asia
20:19
which is why it is
20:19
so essential to prevent the spread of the leaf blight to Southeast Asia. -
20:19
Virtually,
20:19
all of the rubber trees in Southeast Asia came from those seeds Henry Wickham
20:19
stole.
20:20
And newer trees are just clones of the old ones.
20:20
so the farms are essentially just one big monoculture. -
20:20
As a consequence of
20:20
that,
20:20
we are particularly prone to the potential outbreaks of fungus and things like that.
20:24
If you get a fungal infection in Malaysia,
20:24
then you would end up dramatically reducing global production of rubber. -
20:24
So what's the outcome
20:24
if we were cut off from rubber? -
20:24
If SALB gets established in Southeast Asia
20:24
and you lose natural rubber,
20:24
then you're talking about a complete global societal meltdown.
20:24
You're left now with making synthetic rubber tires at the most.
20:24
Worst case, they can't make them.
20:24
You can't make a truck tire, you won't have any airplanes.
20:24
But the real potential is urban famine,
20:24
for over 50% of the world's population is in cities.
20:24
How will you move food into the cities to feed them? -
20:24
But something like this did wipe out a large part of the rubber supply
20:24
just six years ago.
20:24
In 2019, two different diseases jumped from palm trees to rubber trees in Thailand.
20:24
- In six months,
20:24
these diseases had spread across seven countries and a million acres of trees.
20:24
And the next year saw a 10% drop in production. -
20:24
And the only reason it didn't destroy more trees was
20:24
because of a different outbreak
20:24
that we all remember. - COVID comes in early 2020.
20:24
It stopped the spread of these diseases
20:24
as a byproduct of trying to stop the spread of COVID.
20:24
If COVID hadn't hit there, how far would that have gone?
20:24
How many more millions of acres would've, in effect,
20:24
been killed or seriously compromised by these two leaf blights? - Granted,
20:24
it's hard to predict what would happen if we ran out of natural rubber.
20:24
Some say the impact could be catastrophic.
20:24
Grounded planes, failed railways,
20:24
even famine and any disruption to the oil supply chain would send shockwaves through
20:24
synthetic rubber products.
20:24
But oil is such a polarizing and politically-charged topic,
20:24
deeply tied to global power struggles and hidden incentives,
20:24
that it's hard to know what's truly at stake.
20:24
That's why we specifically ask Ground News to sponsor this video.
20:24
They gather news sources from around the world in one spot.
20:24
So you can read about the same issue from different perspectives,
20:24
put the context needed to separate facts from politics.
20:24
For example, Iran controls a single strait
20:24
that handles roughly 20% of the world's oil.
20:24
What happens when they threaten to close it amid US strikes on their nuclear
20:24
sites?
20:24
Well, on the topic,
20:24
USA today ran oil hits five-month high after US strikes key Iranian nuclear sites.
20:24
But the New York Post led with US stocks surge after restrained around attack
20:24
on US base.
20:24
One headline warned to a looming energy crisis,
20:24
the other stock market rally and strategic restraint.
20:24
It's the same event but completely different conclusions.
20:24
In times of uncertainty,
20:24
knowing who is telling you the story
20:24
and why is just
20:24
as important as knowing what actually happened.
20:24
Ground News helps you do
20:24
that by showing you the split headlines
20:24
and surfacing stories hidden from your usual news feeds due to bias through their
20:24
blind spot feed.
20:24
In fact, the Nobel Peace Center called Ground News "an excellent way to stay
20:24
informed,
20:24
avoid echo chambers and to expand your worldview."
20:24
And I agree.
20:24
If we want to properly understand the crises affecting us here at home
20:24
and around the world,
20:24
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20:24
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20:24
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20:24
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20:24
but only with our link,
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20:24
I'd like to thank Ground News for sponsoring this video and now,
20:24
back to rubber. - We take natural rubber for granted in a huge number
20:24
of different products.
20:24
So if you take a typical car,
20:24
there's something close to 250-300 rubber components within the car.
20:24
You would have a nightmare trying to re-engineer all of those out of synthetic
20:24
materials. - If we were to lose natural rubber
20:24
and just rely on synthetic rubber,
20:24
would it still be possible to do those applications? -
20:24
So this has happened in the past.
20:24
If you think about it,
20:24
all of these synthetic polymers come from
20:24
that initial thought process
20:24
that we can't get natural rubber,
20:24
we have to create other stuff.
20:24
It's a national security issue. - That's wild. - You're just like, oh, it's a tire.
20:24
But think about it, if you don't have tires,
20:24
you can't move a military. - Yeah, yeah.
20:24
The obvious question is, if natural rubber is so great,
20:24
why can't we just replicate it in the lab?
20:24
And that's the exact thing
20:24
that the US tried
20:24
when during the Second World War,
20:24
Japan cut it off from roughly 97% of the world's natural rubber supply. -
20:24
Modern war cannot be won without rubber. - What
20:24
then happened was an enormous investment by the US,
20:24
equivalent to $11.1 billion in today's terms,
20:24
into synthetic rubber and growing alternative natural rubber crops. - That's roughly a third
20:24
of the Manhattan project.
20:24
It was a complete gamble
20:24
but the four big US tire companies were able to improve
20:24
and manufacture a synthetic rubber called styrene-butadiene in less than three years.
20:24
Unlike natural rubbers, styrene-butadiene is made from two monomers.
20:24
Roughly 25% styrene and 75% butadiene, both usually come from crude oil refining.
20:24
The monomers are dispersed in water
20:24
and combined into long chains in a random arrangement.
20:24
Then, the rubber is vulcanised.
20:24
Now, compared to natural rubber,
20:24
it doesn't wear down
20:24
as quickly under friction
20:24
but it has a much lower tensile strength.
20:24
In 1942, the US used 99.6% natural rubber and 0.4% synthetic.
20:24
But in 1945, it was practically reversed at 14% natural and 86% synthetic.
20:24
Now, almost 70% of all rubber consumed is synthetic
20:24
and the most common one is still styrene-butadiene.
20:24
But there are some things
20:24
that natural rubber is just better at. -
20:24
If you think about airplane tires,
20:24
it's absolutely incredible that they're up there umpteen degrees below zero before they start
20:24
to come into land.
20:24
And then you've got this huge weight of the airplane on these dinky little
20:24
tires that increase in temperature enormously over an incredibly small space of time
20:24
and only natural rubber can do it.
20:24
So airplane tires are essentially 100% natural rubber
20:24
and you can't land
20:24
if you've got synthetic in the tire. -
20:24
So what can natural rubber do
20:24
that we just can't replicate? - Okay,
20:24
what I want you to think about. - Yeah. - Is you start to stretch it,
20:24
this first movement. - Yeah. - Hardly,
20:24
it's very easy to stretch that bit. - Yeah. - That first bit, I assume.
20:24
Now, think about how much force you're using to continue to stretch it. - Yeah,
20:24
it gets harder. - Now,
20:24
it gets harder and harder and harder and harder. - It feels like, yeah,
20:24
it could snap. - And then eventually, you'll get to a break point. - Yeah,
20:24
yeah. - But what's happening,
20:24
why it's getting harder is
20:24
that the rubber is getting stronger
20:24
as you stretch it. -
20:24
As you stretch the polymers,
20:24
they start to align
20:24
and stick together through weak intermolecular forces called Van der Waal's forces.
20:24
When they're packed tightly enough,
20:24
the polymers freeze together in thin sheetlike crystals aligned in the direction you stretch.
20:24
And as you keep pulling, more and more polymers join the crystal structure.
20:24
Each crystal acts as a new cross-link,
20:24
making the rubber harder and stronger. - That ability to form crystalite prevents tear.
20:24
So if you have crack propagation,
20:24
it hits a crystal
20:24
and can't go any further. - In a sample without a crack,
20:24
the stress is evenly distributed.
20:24
But if there is a crack,
20:24
more load flows right to the edge so the rubber stretches more.
20:24
That area forms more crystals so it becomes harder to break.
20:24
The crystals stop the crack growth until a threshold is reached.
20:24
And then, it breaks.
20:24
This is what makes natural rubber so durable.
20:24
It's self-reinforcing under stress,
20:24
stopping cracks in their tracks. - Crystallization is what makes natural rubber
20:24
so good for tough applications. - The plane can weigh 5,
20:24
600 tons.
20:24
So if you think about that, you've gotta, you know,
20:24
each tire is taking 20 tons.
20:24
And it's coming from a very cold temperature up there, yeah?
20:24
It's -50, -60, depending exactly how high you've been flying.
20:24
And you go from zero rotational speed quite fast,
20:24
very fast and you get generate a lot of frictional heat really quickly
20:24
as well.
20:24
There's a reason why they make tires for planes out of natural rubber
20:24
and that's because it's really demanding application.
20:24
And the crystallization helps a huge amount preserve those tires
20:24
and help them last. - One study notes
20:24
that,
20:24
"Experiment has shown that no detectable crack propagation occurs in rubber undergoing crystallization until
20:24
the stress is so high
20:24
as to generate abrupt catastrophic fracture." - Oh,
20:24
that was fast. - That was fast. - And then eventually,
20:24
you'll get to a break point.
20:24
And yet you finally overcame it. - When you pull on a rubber sample,
20:24
you're applying a stress.
20:24
The polymers realign and the wiggle unfolds.
20:24
So the piece deforms and gets longer.
20:24
The per unit change in length is known as strain,
20:24
and we can plot this on a stress-strain curve.
20:24
Lots of materials are elastic around low stresses.
20:24
You stretch it a little and the spacing between atoms changes.
20:24
But when you remove the force, it goes back to its original shape.
20:24
But eventually, you hit a stress where there is permanent deformation.
20:24
That's called the yield point.
20:24
The material can't go back to the same shape after.
20:24
And if you keep going, it will fracture.
20:24
But the stress-strain curve for rubber is a little weird.
20:24
It starts out stretching very far with very little force.
20:24
That's the easy part.
20:24
But then as you keep pulling,
20:24
the stress shoots up really fast. - So stretch it fast.
20:24
What do you notice? - It's a little warm, maybe? - It's hot,
20:24
it's gone up in temperature by 10 degrees. - Yeah, yeah.
20:24
That section where it gets really hard to pull it any further
20:24
and it gets hotter,
20:24
that's right where rubber starts to crystallize.
20:24
The rubber warms up because as those new bonds form,
20:24
they release a bit of energy as heat.
20:24
Then if you keep stretching it,
20:24
you get to the point where the crystal can no longer hold it
20:24
when it breaks.
20:24
But something strange happens if you stop right before that fracture point.
20:24
Then the rubber bounces back but on a lower curve. - Keep it stretched,
20:24
keep it stretched and wiggle it around.
20:24
Now, relax it.
20:24
Touch your lips, what do you got? - Now it's a much cooler. - Yeah, yeah,
20:24
yeah. - Yeah. - So you went for crystallization formula.
20:24
You stretched it, you crystallized it, that's an exothermic reaction. - Wow,
20:24
okay. - You then allowed it to cool down to room temperature
20:24
and the stretch state
20:24
and you relaxed it
20:24
and you dissolved the crystals. - That's weird. - How'd you dissolve the crystals?
20:24
You've gotta take energy from somewhere to dissolve crystals.
20:24
You cool the rubber band out. - The reason the two curves are different
20:24
is because it takes more energy to align the polymers than it does for
20:24
the polymers to curl back up.
20:24
And this energy difference is exactly the heat that's released over a full cycle.
20:25
We've seen that natural rubber is built using these building blocks
20:26
but the technical monomer is actually isoprene
20:26
which looks like this.
20:26
It's the same atoms but with some groups and bonds moved around.
20:26
So the technical term for rubber is cis-1,4-polyisoprene. -
20:26
And we've actually been able to make synthetic cis-1,4-polyisoprene.
20:26
You can take isoprene and polymerize it.
20:26
So it should behave exactly like natural rubber,
20:26
right? - And that one is the closest
20:26
but it doesn't perform nearly
20:26
as well because it's not structurally
20:26
as perfect as natural rubber. - See,
20:26
there are two ways for the monomers to attach.
20:26
In natural rubber, they attach on the same side,
20:26
the cis-attachment. - The percentage of cis in the molecular chain
20:26
that nature can provide is really accurate.
20:26
It's 99.99%, something of that sort of scale. - But with synthetic rubber,
20:26
it's easy for monomers to attach on the opposite side of the double bond.
20:26
That's the trans-attachment.
20:26
But now there's more room for them to lay flat.
20:26
They don't have that extra wiggle
20:26
so they stretch less
20:26
and don't crystallize very well. -
20:26
And when you make the synthetic equivalent,
20:26
it's pretty good but it's 98% cis polyisoprene.
20:26
There is, you know, 1% or 2% it's gonna be trans-polyisoprene.
20:26
And therefore, isn't susceptible for crystallization
20:26
and it's not as good
20:26
and hasn't not the same strengths properties
20:26
that natural rubber would have. - In a tensile test,
20:26
a synthetic rubber also stretched to around 600% before breaking.
20:26
But it only took around 9.1 megapascals compared to over 14.1 megapascals for natural
20:27
rubber.
20:27
But there are a few areas where a synthetic rubber is actually better than
20:27
natural.
20:27
Under low stress, where crystallization doesn't happen, natural rubber loses the advantage.
20:27
So synthetic is preferred for the tread of passenger car tires for better abrasion
20:29
resistance.
20:29
Nitrile rubber, a synthetic rubber used for gloves,
20:29
also blocks harsher chemicals from passing through. - So in polyisoprene, we used to see,
20:29
let's say in chemotherapy agents, maybe 80%-90% permeation.
20:29
In nitrile, we see maybe 10 - 20. - Wow. -
20:29
So it's much better. - That's huge. - Mm,
20:29
that's huge.
20:29
For a cancer center worker,
20:29
that's huge. - Nitrile gloves were developed in the late 1980s during the global
20:29
AIDS pandemic in response to the growing latex allergy.
20:29
Surprisingly, gloves weren't required for every single procedure until the CDC published a mandate
20:29
to prevent HIV transmission in 1987.
20:29
After the demand for gloves went from 300 million to over 36 billion by
20:29
the end of the 1980s.
20:30
Well, dozens of new latex glove factories sprang up to meet the demands.
20:30
Typically, after a mold is dipped in latex,
20:30
the glove is leached
20:30
and lots of proteins from the tree are just washed away.
20:30
But then, they got rid of
20:31
that step. - This meant
20:31
that all of those soluble proteins were left in the glove. -
20:32
So when nurses or doctors were putting on
20:32
or taking off these unleached powdered gloves,
20:32
they would disperse all of those proteins into the air. - This nursing staff
20:32
were breathing those particles in,
20:32
breathing that dust in, through their entire shifts and into their lungs.
20:32
Now the patients, you've got these gloves with loads of proteins,
20:32
washing that around in your innards. - Thousands of people were exposed enough to
20:32
become allergic to latex. - In the early 90s,
20:32
you said if you had four surgical procedures,
20:32
you almost certainly have Type I latex allergy.
20:32
If you've had 10, you do. - So eventually,
20:32
manufacturers received enough complaints that they started leaching again,
20:32
but by then it was too late.
20:32
Even if something's been properly leached, if someone has that Type I latex allergy,
20:32
they're still gonna react to it.
20:32
Nitrile gloves helped combat that allergy.
20:32
But for long surgeries,
20:32
some doctors still prefer the softer
20:35
and more comfortable glove
20:36
that comes from natural latex.
20:36
So Dr.
20:36
Cornish has been working on alternative natural rubber from the Guayule plant
20:36
which doesn't have the proteins
20:36
that people are allergic to.
20:36
This plant can grow in desert climates and it makes a stronger,
20:36
softer rubber than even the Brazilian rubber tree. - Not only does scaling up
20:36
Guayule help with the latex allergy,
20:36
it's also a safeguard in case the blight ever makes its way across to
20:36
Southeast Asia.
20:36
Transportation, healthcare, construction, there are
20:36
so many industries that are dependent on natural rubber. - There are regulations around
20:36
South American leaf blight control
20:36
and it's difficult to get a direct flight from Brazil to Southeast Asia
20:36
but not impossible. - It seems shortsighted to leave the industry vulnerable to like
20:36
one bad flight.
20:36
For a material that only became useful around 200 years ago,
20:36
it's now hard to imagine life without it.
20:36
When Henry Ford developed Fordlandia,
20:36
he didn't consult a single rubber tree expert who could have told him about
20:36
the blight.
20:36
So let's not make that same mistake again. (bright music fades)
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