0:00 Are supersonic planes about to make a comeback? Can lasers burn a hole through
0:05 the Earth's crust? >> Wa! It just started to fly apart.
0:10 >> And why do robo taxis keep making dangerous mistakes? I've spent the past
0:15 year asking tough questions about why the future we were promised hasn't
0:19 arrived yet. Here are six futuristic things that are almost impossible.
0:25 Have you ever looked up at a skyscraper and said, "How tall can this really go?"
0:30 Well, I'm about to climb up there to show you something.
0:33 Until 1971, this was the tallest building in the world. After that, for decades, buildings got taller and taller until
0:42 the Burj Khalifa was built in Dubai. That's now the world's tallest, and it's
0:46 twice as tall as the Empire State Building. And soon, a tower will open in
0:50 Jedha, Saudi Arabia that's three times as tall. Franklidd Wright said a mile
0:55 high tower is technically possible and he designed one back in the 1950s. I
1:00 spoke with the people behind the tallest towers ever and they told me exactly how
1:05 far we can push it. >> I think Jedha Tower is the next step. I
1:08 don't think that it's the limit of how tall we can go. The sky's is the limit.
1:14 >> We went into the hidden parts of the world's super talls.
1:17 >> I wanted to show you guys what it feels like to be at the top of the world. to
1:21 answer the question, how tall can we actually build? Who pays for it? And is
1:26 it even worth it to keep building higher and higher? And what did we find out?
1:30 The higher the build, the stranger things get. So, the first thing you need to know is that there's not one single right way to
1:42 build a skyscraper. From the steel frame inside of the Empire State Building to
1:47 the more modern outrigger system that's inside one world trade.
1:51 >> We look at these structural systems we create for tall buildings as like
1:54 different species, different animals, you know, that work at different scales.
1:57 But unlike nature, we don't need to evolve from one to another. We can
2:00 create completely new systems. It's not really derivative from something before
2:04 or evolving for something for. >> Up until the Burge, all of these
2:08 buildings had something in common. A single tall support. You could add
2:12 what's called outriggers, which were mechanisms to connect the outer walls to
2:16 that central concrete structure. But there's one way that you can add support
2:21 to a super tall that's very simple. The breakthrough of the Burj Khalifa was
2:26 this three-part design that unlocked a new era of super tall
2:30 structures. >> We created this new species, this new system, and then we gave it a name. We called it the uh the buttress core.
2:37 This buttressed core allowed the Burj Khalifa to dwarf everything before it.
2:42 It's 828 m tall. And while the record for the world's tallest building is
2:47 usually beat by incremental jumps, the Burj Khalifa was over 60% taller than
2:52 anything else built before it. And nothing completed since has even come
2:56 close. The tripod form is extremely efficient. So, think of it as a
3:01 three-legged stool. When you have four on a on a stool, if one's kind of a
3:06 little off, you kind of feel it rock, but three is very efficient.
3:10 >> The wing-like design also reduces the need for materials that were
3:14 used to build earlier skyscrapers. >> There's actually more steel inside the
3:18 Empire State Building than there is in the Burj Khalifa.
3:22 >> So, what's it actually like to go up the world's tallest building? Well, we sent
3:26 a producer there to find out. >> Thanks, Dan. I'm going to show you the
3:31 full experience of at the very top of the Burj Khalifa. It's it's humongous.
3:36 It's gigantic and it's surrounded by all kinds of tall skyscrapers, but it
3:43 exactly dominates them. I can't even capture it in a horizontal format in the
3:49 widest of the lenses. You can see that the first thing to note is that the
3:53 experience of going to the top of the Burge begins long before you even reach
3:57 the building. You have to walk through the massive Dubai Mall just to get to
4:02 where the line starts. It turns out that going to the top of the Burge demands
4:07 endurance. The total cost of a trip like this with the VIP ticket,
4:11 getting there and souvenirs would probably run about $500. >> I'm embracing this view. This is what human admiration and vision can lead to.
4:22 I can see the infinity from here. Our producer may have enjoyed his trip, but
4:28 it got me wondering. Are these incredible feats of human engineering
4:33 just expensive tourist traps? Well, look at the numbers. The Burge could be
4:37 raking in as much as $700 million a year from over 9 million visitors. That's
4:44 twice the amount tourists spend to visit the Empire State Building and Eiffel
4:48 Tower combined. One way to think about it is that the Burge made back its $ 1.5
4:53 billion construction costs in just 3 years of tourism revenue. It
4:58 could be worth it to build tall just to stick a gift shop on top. The
5:02 buttress core has gotten us higher than ever before and a similar design is
5:06 being used in the Kingdom Tower in Jeda, Saudi Arabia. However, it might not be
5:11 the right form for a mile high skyscraper. >> I think there's there's a limit to how high this structural system is
5:17 appropriate. uh you know is it you know certainly a kilometer maybe one 1.2 km
5:23 at a certain point you have to create a new species a new animal a new
5:26 structural system can go that that high >> that's exactly what Bill's team did
5:32 later you'll see their design for a structure 10 times the Eiffel Tower that
5:36 overcomes all the limits of height but looks nothing like the Burge or the
5:40 Kingdom Tower. But first, let's look at why the Burge
5:44 itself broke with symmetry and why that lopsided look is one key to going
5:50 higher. >> Tell me, where are we at, Bill? What's
5:53 going on here? >> Okay, I'm here with Brad Young, who
5:56 who's uh runs the wind tunnel here at the S Soom. Brad and company spent like
6:02 months and months calibrating this wind tunnel. Uh so that it
6:08 accurately represents the velocity profile of wind that you see you see in
6:12 the real world. What we use here is good German very expensive styrofoam. Okay,
6:17 because the the model needs to be very stiff but very lightweight. Okay, so
6:22 Brad's firing up the wind tunnel. You'll see that there's a series of six fans at
6:25 the end of the tunnel. All right, here he is. is starting to fire up and um and
6:31 what the uh the wind tunnel does it uh it it shapes the the wind profile that
6:37 that matches what you see in nature. >> The secret to this carefully calibrated
6:41 wind tunnel, Lego bricks. They're used to simulate how trees and buildings can
6:47 affect air flow. So we use computational fluid dynamics that gives us a little
6:52 bit of a better graphical understanding of what's happening and allows us to
6:57 understand, you know, why some of the changes we're making to the building may
7:00 have the effect that we measure but we can't see. So this is a computational
7:04 simulation of what you're seeing in the tunnel. >> That computation is showing one of the key things that makes building super
7:11 tall so difficult. They're called vortices. So imagine you you
7:16 have a kind of a round shape and the the wind is blowing towards you. Um on the
7:20 other side of the building there's kind of this vacuum that that that happens
7:24 and then as the wind vortexes come through each side alternately they
7:29 create kind of like a mini tornado that that pulls on the building and and that
7:34 can be really dangerous. Uh especially if the building starts to move at its
7:40 own frequency >> and this frequency is the key thing to
7:43 watch for. If the timing of this wind sinks up wrong, this force can multiply.
7:48 You see this most often with bridges. The Tacoma Narrow's bridge, known as
7:52 Galloping Gertie, had a resonance that almost exactly matched the wind speed,
7:57 causing it to bend and twist in the wind until eventually it collapsed. So,
8:02 there's one key focus for super tall buildings. Confuse the wind. As the wind
8:07 hits the body of the building and organizes the vortices on either side,
8:11 it can begin to wreck the building from side to side. And so we want to disturb
8:15 that. And so we're confusing the wind at any every chance we get. The wind design
8:20 is the governing factor on the super tall. >> But there are a lot of different approaches to that.
8:26 >> Now often what we're doing is using texture or form to confuse the wind to
8:32 alleviate that behavior. But sometimes we actually accept the wind and we've done projects where we've actually brought the wind through the
8:40 body of the building. For example, or utilize spaces to ventilate the building
8:45 just like you would in a jet or in a high performance car.
8:51 Right here, 432 Park, you can see that there's empty floors on it. They're
8:56 called jump floors, and they're meant to let the wind pass through to cut down on
9:01 the sheer forces on the building. But there's actually nothing on those
9:05 floors. It's just empty. And it also makes the upper floors even more
9:09 expensive because they're even higher up. >> But despite the intricate work that goes into the structural engineering of a
9:15 super tall building, not everything can get worked out in a computer program.
9:20 >> It's quite surprising, but minor changes in the shape of the building can make
9:24 dramatic changes in the forces in the building. >> The Burj Khalifa was essentially reversed completely after wind tunnel
9:30 testing. The spiral originally went up clockwise but was changed to
9:34 counterclockwise because of these real life results. >> And the data we got back was not good. Okay. The the forces were too too large,
9:41 the move motions were too large. And so it's kind of a little bit ironic that if
9:46 the first uh shape and structural system had worked well, we might have stopped
9:51 there. But because it didn't, we had to make enough changes that we could then
9:54 actually go much higher. And the building changed in in height uh by 300
10:00 m. It's 300 m taller than when we started, which is essentially the height
10:04 of the Eiffel Tower. >> And there's one more trick that more
10:07 modern skyscrapers have to survive the wind that's actually inside the
10:12 building. >> Did we do that? >> Oh, it wasn't. Okay. We're going up a staircase from the
10:23 summit where tourists are allowed to go. There's extra steps up.
10:27 >> Ed, what what floor is this technically? >> That's 93. This is 94.
10:32 >> 94. >> 93 to 94. >> Got it. >> At the top of some of these buildings
10:37 are hidden monoliths, super heavy objects tuned precisely like a musical
10:42 instrument. It's called a tuned mass damper and it basically acts like a
10:47 super heavy pendulum that offsets the wind forces on the building and makes it
10:52 so that the people who are at the upper floors don't feel that sway at the top.
10:56 Every tuned mass damper is different because it's calculated to the size and
11:01 structure of the building. In Taipei, the Taipei Tower has a beautiful sphere
11:06 that's sort of a sculptural element that visitors to the building can go look at.
11:11 In Shanghai, the tune mass damper uses electromagnets to modify how it works.
11:16 All right, so now we're going to go inside to see the TMD at the top of one
11:20 Vanderbilt, which is the fourth tallest building in New York City. Let's go.
11:34 >> Do you do you do you remember how much it weighs?
11:36 >> Yeah, it's 500 tons. >> Wow. At a million lb. When you're doing
11:41 the calculations for something putting like something like this in a building,
11:45 what are the factors that you have to account for to make sure that you're
11:48 getting this the right size and positioning? >> A the classic example is the wine glass. If you take a wine a good crystal wine
11:55 glass and you flick it, you could hear it. Right.
11:57 >> Right. Right. It has certain to it. >> Just like that wine glass. Every
12:01 building has a resonant frequency. >> Right. >> Which we can calculate. We're We're designed for 110 mph wind and a
12:09 hurricane actually hitting >> Manhattan. >> Right. Right. Like a direct hit hurricane.
12:13 >> A direct hit hurricane. I don't I don't think that
12:18 uh building twice as tall as this is going to be an issue in the next 10
12:22 years. >> You heard it here first. >> Assum assuming somebody wants to pay for it
12:27 >> and actually has a use for a building that tall.
12:30 >> But here's the thing about TMDS. The Burge Khalifa doesn't have one. That's
12:35 because it has a buttress core design. It has concrete at higher floors and the
12:40 way it's designed to confuse the wind, it doesn't really need one. If we're
12:43 going to build a mile high skyscraper, we're probably going to need a TMD or
12:48 maybe more than one depending on how high up it goes. Let's be clear, all
12:52 these measures have less to do with preventing the worstc case
12:56 scenario of a building collapse and a lot more to do with the comfort of
13:00 people who are going to be living and working at the highest floors.
13:04 And as you could see, mitigating those factors can get very, very expensive.
13:10 But what if no one needs to go that high up in a building?
13:18 One of the cheat codes to adding height onto a building is to add a spire. Just
13:24 look at the Chrysler building. The architects of that built a spire inside
13:28 secretly as it was in competition with other skyscrapers at the time to become
13:32 the tallest. And in the last months of construction, they shot the spire up and
13:36 got the world record. That was until the Empire State Building was built.
13:40 But a spire is an easy way to add height onto a building. And on the Burge, the
13:45 spire is actually 244 m tall, which means that 30% of the structure is not
13:51 meant for regular visitors at all. The only people that are allowed to go up
13:55 there are technicians who have to change a battery on this specific
13:59 device that attracts lightning bolts. and a few lucky celebrities. That means
14:04 the spire on the Burj Khalifa alone would be the 11th tallest
14:08 building in Europe. But if we're only trying to go as tall as
14:10 possible, why not just build one giant uninhabited spire? If you broaden
14:16 the definition of the world's tallest building to the world's tallest
14:20 human-made structure, things start to look a lot different. 45 out of the top
14:25 50 tallest structures of all time are not buildings at all. And to
14:30 show you what I'm talking about, we're going on a little road trip.
14:36 We're about 15 or 20 minutes outside Hartford, Connecticut right now. And we
14:42 are approaching our final destination. Wow. I can see it now. That's why we're
14:48 here. Okay. The tower that we're going to see, the
14:56 WTIC or WHPX, which is the later call sign for the tower, is over 400 m tall.
15:04 That makes it taller than the Empire State Building, but it's not
15:08 even close to being one of the tallest masts in the world. The tallest radio
15:14 tower was actually the Warsaw radio mast, which was built in Poland
15:18 in 1974. And the signal from the mask could be heard as far away as the US and
15:24 Canada. But here's the thing about these towers. They're built for maximum height
15:28 with the smallest footprint possible. And when you're talking about a steel
15:32 tower that just goes straight up and down, well, you need something to tie it
15:36 down. This is the anchor for a guideline that you can see goes from there all the
15:44 way up to the tower. And each of these lines is kind of like
15:49 a finger trap. The more you pull on it, the tighter it gets, but if one of them
15:54 fails, it could be catastrophic. In 1991, during much neededed
16:01 maintenance on the Warsaw Tower, >> >> um the main guideline got disconnected and a gust of wind came and twisted the
16:08 structure and the entire thing collapsed. the tallest structure in the
16:12 world had collapsed and uh miraculously no one was hurt, but it wasn't a
16:17 one-off. Made it to the top. There's a few guys
16:20 working. I'm making a video about like tall structures, so I'm just taking a
16:24 video of the tower. I'm just going to take one quick shot just to show the
16:29 bottom because I think a lot of people don't realize that these things end in a
16:33 sort of a you that it looks like really unstable, right? Okay. So, we uh we
16:38 found out where we're we're not allowed to get this close, but there's a
16:43 facility here and there's guidelines in every direction holding this thing up. There have been at least nine collapses of
16:51 towers like this over 600 m. And that's because the guidelines and the way it's
16:56 set up are so fragile that if you lose the uh the support of one of them, the
17:02 tension in one of them, the thing will twist and come crashing to the ground.
17:06 Antennas like these almost always top out at around 2,000 ft. And
17:11 that's because any higher than that and they start to pose a risk to aircraft,
17:15 particularly small aircraft. But there's no reason that you couldn't
17:19 build something like this to surpass the Burj Khalifa and for a fraction of the
17:23 cost and material. Something like this is super cheap. It cost uh about
17:28 $500,000 and only took 30 days to build some of
17:32 the tallest masts of all time. Now, do you remember at the beginning of the
17:35 video when I mentioned the super tall structure that was designed by
17:39 the engineer behind the Burj Khalifa? Well, Bill Baker thinks an uninhabited
17:45 structure that goes straight up and down could easily hit 3,000 m, which
17:50 is well above our 1m limit. The Eiffel Tower is originally called the 300 meter
17:55 tower. If you look at the drawings, that's what it says, you know, in
17:58 French, of course. And so we thought, well, okay, that was,
18:02 you know, 1889. Uh, here we are in the in the 21st century. How about let's go
18:06 10 times as high, 3,000 mters. Okay, >> that's way over a mile high. In fact,
18:11 it's almost 2 mi. If you put that next to the Burge, you can see how tall it
18:16 really is. >> It behaves very well in the wind, both
18:19 because of the shape and also because of the porocity.
18:22 As it goes up, eventually it becomes so dense that we have to like make it
18:26 sparse again and stops us stop some of the pattern and then we it gets sparse
18:30 again and and eventually becomes solid at the very tip. >> Structures like these work well against
18:35 the wind cuz it's essentially hollow. The wind just kind of passes
18:39 through adding glass and floors and concrete and places for people to live
18:44 and the whole thing stops working. Man, Parar got Picar got to go
18:49 up to the top of the Burj Khalifa and I had to climb up Rattlesnake
18:53 Mountain to go look at a broadcast tower. Is that That's not fair. That's
18:59 not fair. Bill's reboot of the Eiffel Tower looks more like a
19:03 broadcast mast than it does like a functional skyscraper. There are no
19:08 apartments. There are no offices. It's actually designed to be a vertical farm
19:12 and tourist attraction. That made me wonder, how do we define what a building
19:17 actually is? Couldn't we have a few people living on the lower floors and
19:21 just stick an antenna on top? >> Oh, you you you've stepped on the third
19:24 rail, my friend. >> That's Daniel Safaric from the Council
19:27 on Tall Buildings in Urban Habitat. They're the ones who make the rules on
19:31 how to measure the world's tallest buildings. >> So, uh, the short answer is no. We don't count the antenna in the ultimate
19:40 ranking height of the building. We have three different types of
19:44 criteria. There's height to tip, which is the absolute tallest thing on the
19:50 building at any point in time. The problem with using that as your ultimate
19:54 height determinant is that it often changes. So, it's very likely to
19:59 be replaced or superseded by a different kind of technology several times over
20:04 the lifetime of that building. Take Chicago's Sears Tower, now called
20:07 the Willis Tower, and Koala Lumpur's Petronos Towers. Even though the
20:12 Petronos pair took the title of the world's tallest in 1998, the very tip of
20:17 the Sears Tower actually stands almost 100 m higher. The things on top of the
20:23 Sears/willis tower are antenna, and they have been different heights,
20:28 significantly different heights over the years. Whereas the spires, permanent architecturally designed fixtures on the top of the Petronos
20:35 towers and others like it have stayed the same. The so-called architectural
20:40 height which is the second criteria outstrips the other two. The third one is of course the highest
20:48 occupied floor. And according to the council to be considered a building
20:53 people must be able to occupy at least half the floors. So for our mile high
20:58 structure to actually be counted as a building, we could have 800 m of
21:02 habitable space followed by almost 800 m of spire alone. So let's recap. We know
21:09 we're going to need a new structural system, rigorous wind testing, maybe a
21:14 tuned mass damper at the top, and almost 50% of the building can be a spire. But
21:20 what would something like this actually be made of? Once you've designed a mile high building, the actual work has only just
21:28 started. And the first step is a strong foundation. It's not just about
21:32 digging deeper, but finding the right location. >> What's interesting about tall buildings is that a lot of times they're building,
21:37 you know, in in cities, okay? And where are the cities? A lot of times they're
21:40 in river valleys where there's ports and a lot of times they're places where
21:44 there's really terrible soil. And so so that's that's not unusual. The record
21:49 for the deepest foundations for a skyscraper goes to the Petronus Towers
21:53 in Malaysia. The building site actually had to be moved about 60 m to make sure
21:58 it was sitting on the right kind of rock. 104 concrete piles supporting it
22:04 stretch up to 114 m or 374 ft deep. That means 25% of the structure's height is buried deep underground. The strength
22:13 of concrete has been a big limiting factor for building high, but materials
22:17 have come a long way. Concrete especially has changed dramatically
22:21 since the 1950s. >> It's almost 10, 20, uh, 30 times stronger uh, than them. Uh, and why is that? There's been a lot of
22:30 innovation uh in in the material. Uh, you know, one such innovation called a
22:35 super plasticizer that helps reduce the amount of water that goes into concrete.
22:40 Now we're talking about ultra high performance concrete that can
22:44 really support, you know, theoretically support a mile if if if it's thick
22:49 enough. >> And these concrete developments were crucial when building the Burge. >> So one of the innovations was extremely
22:56 high pressure pump so it can pump it really high up. And it, you know, it's
23:03 pretty important that this is done very quickly because, you know, concrete
23:07 cures. Due to the heat of the desert, this concrete could only be pumped at
23:11 night, too. And it had to be filled with chips of ice to stop it setting too
23:15 fast. >> Pretty interesting to realize that, you know, all these small niche things are actually really what is is
23:22 making these things possible. And what feel like niche problems are going to be
23:26 the real sticking point when building super tall. Building a mile high
23:30 skyscraper in the heat of the Middle East will have entirely different
23:33 challenges to doing the same in cooler climates. Every expert I talked to said
23:38 that we can build taller, but each time there's going to be more and more
23:42 crucial considerations and less and less room for error. Just take the kilometer
23:46 high Jetta tower currently under construction. So the logistics or
23:50 strategy around getting that concrete up to over a kilometer
23:55 um is part of the design challenge that needs to be extremely well
24:02 coordinated because you're not going to go back in and alter the concrete during
24:07 construction to solve your problem. Um, we often kind of embed in our guys that,
24:14 you know, on these projects when you make an error, you can multiply that
24:19 error by a thousand times across the scale of this building. It's extremely
24:24 expensive to retrofit a building once it's already up. Look at the Empire
24:28 State Building. The owner spent a billion dollars modernizing it over the
24:32 last few decades. What most people don't know is that skyscrapers are only
24:36 designed to last about a century. The average age of the 200 meter building
24:43 that when it when it is being considered for demolition according to our research
24:49 is around 41 years which is pretty pathetic. >> What happens to buildings like the Burj Khalifa 100 years from now when they get
24:56 too costly to maintain? Is it simply left to crumble or pulled down at a much
25:01 larger expense? That's why Gil's firm made sure to use the best-in-class
25:06 vendors for everything on their upcoming project. >> When we first started this project, we went out and interviewed the best
25:15 elevator consultants in the world, the top five, we the top five mechanical
25:19 engineers in the world, um the top five plumbing engineers in the world,
25:23 structural engineers, uh because we knew we were on a path of doing something
25:27 that hadn't been done before. And so we learned a lot about the systems. Now
25:32 remember over 14 years you can imagine that those things change.
25:39 >> Those elevator consultants he mentioned, they're especially important. It seems
25:43 like the structural issues might be the biggest limiter for a super tall, but
25:47 it's actually elevator technology that still needs to catch up.
25:52 If you're in an 800 m tall skyscraper, no one is going to want to take the
25:57 stairs. So that's why elevators are probably the most important technology inside of a super tall. In a 500 meter elevator
26:06 shaft, there could be something like 27,000 kg of steel rope. And the reason
26:13 there's a limit of 500 m for an elevator is because after that point, the
26:18 elevator can't support the weight of the rope anymore. The solution so far to
26:21 this 500 meter limit is to have multiple elevators and sky lobbies where
26:26 passengers can change between them. But this takes up a huge amount of space.
26:30 And if there was a mile high building, changing elevators twice or more to get
26:35 to your apartment is going to be frustrating for anybody living at the
26:38 top. This 500 m limit looks like it's been broken by something called ultra
26:42 rope. It's an elevator rope made from carbon fiber and it'll be used in the
26:47 Jetta Tower. This would allow elevators to go up to a kilometer high. But if we
26:52 want to reach even higher than that, we'll need newer technologies. Again,
26:56 Franklidd Wright was actually one of the first to consider a mile high building
26:59 when he drew up the Illinois, a 528tory tower with parking for 100 helicopters.
27:06 He was using a tripod-like design way before anyone else had considered it.
27:10 But the most outlandish part of his design was actually the elevators.
27:14 The plan was to have 76 five-story high elevators that could
27:19 travel a mile per minute and be atomic powered. These would be mounted
27:23 on rails, kind of like vertical trains. And here's the thing, once the elevator
27:28 challenge gets solved, designs can veer into the fantastical. if we are beginning to, you know, fly cars or vehicles or drones
27:40 into the building. Um, if we're beginning to advance technologies for
27:46 elevator ring that can move sideways or can run on rails, um,
27:52 the sky's is the limit. Imagined in the 1990s, the X Seed 4000 is a 4 km tall
27:58 behemoth that would loom over Tokyo's Mount Fuji and be able to house a
28:03 million people. But even the director of the firm behind it said it wasn't meant
28:07 to ever be built. The tallest structure ever proposed by architects is
28:12 the Tokyo Tower of Babel. It looks similar to Exed, but it more than
28:17 doubles the height to 10 km. It was designed to house nearly the entire
28:22 population of the city of Tokyo. >> You could go probably 9,000 meters, you
28:26 know, height of a mountain like the Mount Everest. Uh the u at some point um
28:32 it'll just take so long to build you won't ever get there. And so you may may
28:36 never get completed. You know, the limit is going to be set by uh by time as much
28:41 as any time and political will and uh and financial resources.
28:48 The Tower of Babel would cost three quadrillion yen or $22 trillion. That's
28:55 14,500 Burj Khalifas. So basically a madeup amount of money. And yes, you may
29:01 have seen photos of an elevator to space or an orbital ring that surrounds the
29:05 entire planet. Structures so high they push out of the atmosphere. Those might
29:11 be impossible, but the reasons why are the subject for a completely
29:14 different video. So more than wind, materials, and technology, it turns out that the real limit will always boil down to the
29:22 bottom line. The top three tallest buildings in the world cost an average
29:26 of $2.6 million per vertical meter. There are so many reasons not to build
29:32 tall, and developers can make money just building regular height buildings. But
29:37 these projects are about so much more than economics. They're about putting
29:41 your city on the world stage. The purpose of a tall building is is
29:45 interesting. Uh I think a good example is the Eiffel Tower. It's not really a
29:50 building. It's it's a it's a restaurant. It's an observation tower.
29:54 But but it it's a placemaker. It tells you we're here. You can't imagine Paris
30:00 today without the Eiffel Tower or France or Europe or the world. If you're in a a
30:05 country or a city which has a lot of ambition and you're highly optimistic, a
30:10 a a distinctive good tall building is one way to to do it, you know, to to
30:16 kind of plant your flag. You know, >> when I first started the story, I have
30:19 to admit I was skeptical that buildings could get much taller. But now that I've
30:24 talked to the people building them, the question of a mile high tower isn't if,
30:29 it's a matter of when. And I guess the question is, how much would you be
30:34 willing to pay to buy a ticket to go to the top?
30:42 The last time anybody besides a fighter pilot was able to hit mock speed was in
30:46 one of these. But that was 20 years ago. The Concord didn't just hit mock speed,
30:52 it went double the speed of sound, flying from New York to London in
30:56 under 3 hours. Today, you can only go visit a Concord
31:00 in a handful of museums. It's a relic left behind by an industry that invested
31:05 in efficiency rather than speed. But look online and you'll see that there's
31:10 a huge appetite for supersonic travel. The race to supersonic is heating up.
31:16 I've talked to nearly all the companies building these new planes and I asked
31:20 them, "Why is it so hard to bring back supersonic?
31:23 and what's the limit to how fast a passenger plane can actually go. In
31:29 order to understand the challenges that they're up against, I decided to start
31:33 here at the Concord. So, my first impression of the plane is that the head clearance walking in is
31:43 extremely low. I'm 6'4 and I have to really uncomfortably duck down just to
31:48 get in this doorway. So, we're going to see what it's like inside. But it's
31:52 obvious that this plane's dimensions are totally different from normal commercial
31:56 airlines. First of all, the head clearance in here, thank God, is a
32:00 little bit better. Um, but I'm I am about touch if I stand up straight, my
32:05 head is touching here. So, it is it is pretty narrow and low. Here's my hand
32:10 against the window. Look at how small it is. When this plane was flying at such a
32:14 high altitude, if there was a failure of one of the windows, these small windows
32:19 were meant to slow that cabin depressurization. So, it was a safety
32:23 measure. And actually, on some of the newer planes that we're talking about,
32:26 they don't even have windows. Attention Concord passengers, on today's menu,
32:32 duck launch, caviar, and champagne. Lots of champagne. Always wanted to hold one of these. Um anyway, one of the things
32:40 about the Concord, it wasn't just about speed, it was about luxury. Every seat
32:46 on this plane was considered first class and the service was first class. There
32:51 was a culture created on this plane of frequent flyers. A lot of the time
32:56 celebrities were getting invited to the front to the cockpit and the pilots that
33:01 we talked to have some really fond memories of meeting those people,
33:05 interacting with them and and almost creating friendships with them. the rock
33:09 stars of that area, you know, the Rolling Stones, the Beatles, they would
33:13 uh use it quite a lot and they'd certainly be there and I certainly
33:17 remember them. And I had a menu where I was collecting my favorite rock stars um
33:24 signatures. I sent it back to some I won't mention the name send it back to
33:28 somebody for that person to sign and they thought it was a gift for them as
33:32 it was their birthday and they walked off with it which was a bit of a blow to
33:36 put it malvy. This is the forwardmost cabin before we get to the front of the
33:42 plane and the cockpit and I'm comfortably standing up now finally. So
33:45 that might be explained by the fact that as you can see the body of the plane
33:49 gets sort of narrower towards the back. So we're in the front of the plane,
33:53 we're towards the cockpit. The view is extremely narrow. If this was a car, I
33:59 would not feel comfortable driving this on the road because the visibility down
34:03 to the ground is extremely poor. Hence, the droop snout design. So, the
34:09 Concord's droop snoot was a feature that allowed pilots to see the runway during
34:14 takeoff and landing, but then snap back into place when it was hitting
34:17 supersonic speeds over the Atlantic Ocean. The beginning of the end for
34:22 Concord came in 2000. After about 30 years of service, tragedy
34:27 struck. So, we're underneath the the plane now, and you could see the landing gear on each side. And um one of the things
34:36 that's understood about when the plane actually did crash is that there was uh
34:41 one of the tires hit something on the runway and it kicked up the piece of
34:46 debris into the jet fuel tanks, which are right here. And that's what caused
34:51 the fire that caused the the eventual crash. Concord did start flying again
34:56 not long after, but its fate seemed sealed. And the last flight was a few
35:01 years later on the 26th of November, 2003. So over 20 years later, have any
35:06 of these companies solved the big problems that Concord faced while it was
35:10 flying? Probably the most challenging obstacle these planes will have to
35:14 overcome is their noise. The sound of a sonic boom has remained the biggest
35:18 obstacle to supersonic flight since the very beginning. >> So far, 7,000 people have complained to the Ministry of Technology and to the
35:29 Noise Abatement Society. Only one man has seems to have come out in direct
35:33 praise of the boom, and that's a 74 year old age pensioner who claims that the
35:38 boom has cured him of his deafness. We got a purpose to stop the Concord. What's your objection?
35:47 >> In 1973, following a public outcry, the US banned overland flights for
35:52 supersonic jets, followed by most other countries. That's why the Concord was
35:57 only ever allowed to fly supersonic over water. Planes have been getting quieter
36:02 over the past 50 years, too. That's thanks to improvements in aircraft
36:05 design and more stringent government regulations on sound. So, a loudly
36:10 booming supersonic jet would be even more noticeable compared to modern
36:14 subsonic travel. So, how does a sonic boom actually work? Here's what happens
36:20 when anything travels faster than the speed of sound. So, sound is a wave of
36:24 pressure. And for a stationary object, it travels in concentric circles out
36:28 from where the object is. The waves of sound get pressed up against each other.
36:32 And that wall of high pressure, that is the sound barrier. Breaking that barrier
36:38 means an object is traveling faster than the sound it makes. It leaves behind a
36:42 loud shock wave, kind of like the wake behind a boat that's going really fast.
36:46 And that is what you call a sonic boom. If a plane booms too close to the ground, it can actually shatter glass.
37:01 Many people, including myself before making this video, thought that a plane
37:05 booms one time when it breaks the sound barrier and then it's quiet as it's
37:09 moving through the air. That's actually not what happens. As long as a plane is
37:13 traveling faster than the speed of sound, it's leaving that sonic boom
37:17 sound behind. For every,000 ft of altitude, the boom carpet left behind
37:22 the plane is about a mile wide. So, a plane traveling past Mach speed at
37:27 60,000 ft has a 60m wide swath of land underneath it that's hearing that boom
37:33 boom sound wherever it goes. And for those on the ground, that boom is about
37:38 105 dB. That's at least twice as loud as a normal plane flying overhead. And it's
37:44 equivalent to standing next to a chainsaw or a car horn. So, let's look
37:49 at our four planes. It's worth noting that I originally spoke to five key
37:53 players, but one of them went under while we were making this video, and it
37:57 just goes to show you how much of a challenge developing these planes can
38:01 be. Each of them has completely different approaches to supersonic
38:05 travel, and each faces different challenges. The X59, Boom, and Concord
38:10 all use similar technologies. Flying at 60,000 ft and hitting between Mach 1.4
38:16 and Mach 2. Those kind of speeds can get you from New York to London in three
38:20 hours rather than the usual seven. The Hion will use a ramjet engine along the
38:26 turbo fan to get it all the way up to Mach 5. That would get you from
38:30 New York to London in just an hour and a half. And the Stargazer is using a
38:35 detonation rocket engine, something you don't commonly see outside of missiles.
38:40 That might just do the same trip from New York to London in under 1 hour. So,
38:45 how are these four planes going to tackle the noise issue? Boom's overture
38:50 isn't looking to reduce the sonic boom at all at Mach 1.7. With overture 1,
38:55 we're starting really simple. We're putting sonic booms out over open ocean
38:58 where no one's there to hear them. >> US regulations still ban all commercial planes from going supersonic over land.
39:06 But researchers at MIT found that 78% of demand for supersonic transport was
39:11 overland routes. almost 40% of that was on US domestic flights. If these
39:18 regulations change, Boom says the overture could achieve a boomless
39:22 cruise, flying at just over the speed of sound over land without an audible sonic
39:27 boom. But this phenomenon requires specific atmospheric conditions to achieve. Flying any faster than that, without
39:35 making a lot of noise, requires some really innovative design, and that's
39:39 where the X59 comes in. The X59 isn't aiming for commercial supersonic flight
39:44 like the others. It's actually one of 66 Xplanes developed by the US government.
39:50 The X is for experimental. The first Xplane was the Bell X1, which was
39:55 the first plane to break the sound barrier in 1947.
39:58 The X13 tested vertical takeoff and landing. The X-15 was the fastest piloted aircraft that never left Earth's atmosphere, and
40:07 it hit Mach 6.7. It's taken NASA and Lockheed 6 years to
40:13 build a prototype X59. First off, X59's engine is on the top,
40:18 not underneath the wings. >> So, by putting the engine on top, we
40:22 kind of shield the shield that shock wave from reaching the ground.
40:26 >> Then there's the nose. It's a little hard to miss as it's 38 ft long.
40:31 The idea of minimizing the sonic boom is to keep those shock waves small uh weak
40:37 and relatively evenly spaced. So that long nose essentially starts that
40:43 process. It sets up those initial shock waves to be weak and and kind of equally
40:47 spaced along the first part of the airplane. >> And lastly, the light carbon fiber further helps to reduce the plane's
40:54 weight. Otherwise, the X59 is built from parts of other planes. It's got a T-38
40:59 cockpit, which is a favorite for test pilots, and landing gear from an F-16.
41:04 So, did NASA actually figure out how to quiet the boom?
41:08 >> We feel that we have. I mean, we have, you know, shown in a wind tunnel, you
41:12 know, in an experiment and in in experimental analysis, um, that an airplane can be shaped so that instead of producing a boom, it
41:22 produces a thump. Their aim is to reduce the boom from 105 to 75 perceived dB.
41:29 >> Uh that's equivalent to either a car door closing across the street or the
41:34 sound of distant thunder. >> As part of the quiet supersonic mission,
41:38 NASA has exposed communities to a simulated sonic thump. In 2018, they
41:44 conducted one of these surveys in Galveastston, Texas with 500 civilian
41:47 volunteers. This is in the eyes heard nothing marshal the squar heard a faint bump.
41:58 >> Eventually the actual X59 will make about 60 flights over a variety of yet
42:03 to be named communities in the US to collect more data. But there's another
42:07 much simpler way to reduce the sonic boom. Fly higher. Both the Stargazer and
42:12 the Hion want to fly much faster and much higher than the other supersonic
42:16 planes. It turns out like roughly above 100,000 ft uh you like a a sonic boom
42:23 above about 100,000 ft is inaudible to the human ear. Like the only we we can
42:28 measure it with scientific instruments, but you like it's inaudible to
42:31 the human. >> That's Dr. Andrew Dougleby, the CTO and
42:34 co-founder of Venus Aerospace. Just flying higher sounds like the easy
42:38 solution. But when you're at those kind of altitudes, a whole host of other
42:42 problems quickly appear. So, right here on this chart at 26,000 ft is the death
42:47 zone. That's where the air becomes too thin to breathe. It's why most climbers
42:51 need oxygen to summit Everest. Almost all planes cruise higher than this. But
42:56 the higher the altitude, the bigger the risk when something goes wrong.
43:00 >> When you're flying at 100,000 ft, if you lose cabin pressure, um, and you don't
43:05 manage it appropriately quickly, um, like your blood will boil.
43:10 >> Oh my god. >> So, it's you basically have to treat it
43:12 like a spacecraft cabin. Yes, airtight. >> Yeah. But uh I think the the solution
43:17 that you see at the end of the day will look much more like a hybrid between a
43:21 spacecraft cabin and an aircraft cabin today than just a pure aircraft cabin.
43:24 >> For high altitude military planes like the SR71, the pilots actually had to
43:28 wear sort of a modified space suit because of the danger of the altitude
43:32 and speed that they were flying. Are CEOs going to want a space suit up to
43:36 get to their meeting in Tokyo a little earlier? I'm not so sure about that. But
43:41 to be in a plane like this, there are so many things that could go wrong at a
43:45 high altitude that you really need to protect your body from a worst case
43:48 scenario. And it's not just the pressure at high altitudes. There's one
43:52 more problem with flying that high and that fast. The heat that could be
43:56 experienced on the outside of this plane could sometimes top 250° F. combined
44:02 with the fact that the exterior temperature was well below zero at the
44:05 high altitude -75. That heat and cold caused a lot of
44:10 stress on the outside of the plane. It meant that it needed a lot of
44:13 maintenance and it meant that it was a limit to how fast this plane could go.
44:18 Going faster than Mach 2, Mach 3, Mach 4, Mach 5, you need to get into exotic
44:22 materials. Aluminum like this plane is made out of just doesn't cut it anymore.
44:27 It's when you get really fast that heat becomes the biggest problem. aerodynamic
44:31 heating increases nonlinearly with speed. That means that as speed
44:36 increases, the temperature rise becomes more dramatic. What what hypersonic
44:40 really meant is the speed at which um and pardon my French, it's the speed at
44:43 which heat kicks your ass. Like it's it's where heat becomes the
44:48 defining problem. If you're trying to go make a missile, sure, maybe you want to
44:52 go hypersonic because you have other reasons to go really really fast to to
44:56 avoid defenses, right? There might be like military reasons to go
45:00 crazy, blazing, fast, hot, but I bet if I look at this from a I want to sell
45:06 commercial flights, how do I keep the cost down and competitive? I bet I don't
45:09 want to fly a Mach 5. So, one of the centerpieces of this museum is obviously
45:13 the SR71 Blackbird. You can see on the uh the tail fin here, there's the symbol
45:19 of skunk works, which are the people from Lockheed Martin, their sort of top
45:23 secret division that works on stuff like this. This plane broke speed records
45:27 going over Mach 3. It's one of the fastest aircraft of all time and
45:31 everything about it is built for high speed and to deal with heat. The SR71
45:38 actually reached 600° at Mach 3.2. And the glass in the cockpit here was
45:44 actually an inch and a/4 thick quartz material. If you were to touch that even
45:49 with gloves on, you would burn your hand. So underneath the plane, the tires again because of the heat and the speed that
45:57 it was traveling. These tires actually have inside of them nitrogen, not
46:02 oxygen. The oxygen would just blow up at the speeds that this was going and the
46:05 temperature it was hitting. And they also have a silver look to them because
46:09 they contain aluminum again to deal with high heat that the the plane was
46:13 experiencing. The only way the fuselage could survive these temperatures was to
46:18 make the entire thing out of titanium alloy, which is 10 times more expensive
46:22 than aluminum. It's important to note that things that go into space and
46:26 re-enter hit Mach speeds that are a completely different class. This thing
46:31 would re-enter the atmosphere somewhere between Mach 16 and Mach 20. And that's
46:36 why we always see on the space shuttles this black heat shielding on the front.
46:41 That's actually reinforced carbon. As it's re-entering the atmosphere, it's
46:46 exposed to heat that's on a different order of magnitude than anything that's
46:49 flying, you know, at 100,000 or even 180,000 ft. But even though these
46:54 hypersonic planes aren't going to be hitting space shuttle speeds, finding
46:58 solutions to these problems is going to take time and money.
47:08 The Overture has been in development for 10 years at this point, and Boom's test
47:12 plane just broke the sound barrier in late January 2025.
47:17 >> There we are. XB1 is supersonic, faster than the speed of sound.
47:22 >> The X59 is expected to take its first flight in 2025 and has already cost $632
47:28 million. That sounds like a lot, but building a plane is never cheap. Both the Airbus A380 and Boeing 787 Dreamliner cost over
47:38 $20 billion to develop, and that's with huge manufacturing arms already in
47:43 place. The CEO of Boeing said if they were to develop a new plane today, it
47:48 would cost $50 billion. Exos was going to be the fifth plane on
47:53 our list. They were also aiming for a very achievable sounding Mach 1.8 plane
47:58 using already existing engine technology. They closed their doors completely in November 2024. I spoke
48:05 with the CEO before they went under and he was a little more realistic about
48:08 time frames for this technology. >> So, at least for the airliner, we don't
48:13 see that coming into the market until like mid to late 2030s, which I
48:17 think you know UBS or some other bank had a similar uh conclusion.
48:23 The speed of developing these planes isn't helped by the fact that
48:26 there's literally only one place you can fly supersonic planes over land in the
48:30 United States, the Edwards Air Force Base. We can take off and immediately climb up to 30,000 ft where we're now cleared to
48:38 go supersonic. And that doesn't exist basically anywhere else in the country.
48:42 Um, and certainly probably not even around the world. Edwards Air Force Base
48:45 was established around two dry lake beds. It's roughly 35ish square miles of
48:50 naturally dry, compacted surface that's hard enough to land airplanes on. There
48:56 are other areas, especially over the water, where you can be doing supersonic
49:00 flight test. Um, but that's not exactly a place you want to be if something goes
49:04 wrong during the flight test. I don't want to be over the water, and I
49:07 certainly don't want to be far away from a landable surface. But the area is not
49:11 completely uninhabited. We asked a few people in nearby towns what a sonic boom
49:16 sounds like. I've heard it described as a sound of freedom.
49:19 >> Well, sometimes you get the rumbling, the building will shake, and other times
49:24 it's just a loud like M80 or something going off, a big explosion.
49:29 >> So, when people come here and enough in the area, they hear the noise and the
49:32 first thing they want to do is is run out the store cuz they think it's
49:34 an earthquake. So, to me, it's funny and and I just look at the reaction and then
49:39 let them know it's a sonic boom. So NASA, Loheed Martin, Boom, Hermus, and other organizations building supersonic
49:46 prototypes will at some point be testing in this one strip of land in California.
49:51 And it's not just the test flights. Finding the space to test
49:54 engines is even more of a challenge. But that's changing. And we went to
49:58 Jacksonville, Florida to check out why. This is Cecil Airport. It's outside
50:04 Jacksonville. We're here for a press event. So, basically, Hermes is opening up a new facility here that's called HEAT, and it's going to be
50:13 for testing engines, and uh they've got their quarter horse prototype plane
50:20 inside the hanger here. So, we're going to get to check that out, which is
50:23 pretty cool. Let's go take a look at this plane. Wow, this looks crazy. Look
50:28 at this. So, in order to uh test the engines
50:32 associated with hypersonic flight, there's only a couple places in the
50:35 country that you can do it at the scale that we need, at the scale of the F100.
50:38 Um, and that primarily the kind of like go-to one is Arnold Engineering
50:42 Development Complex. Um, and that facility is uh bottlenecked in the
50:46 entire country because everyone wants to get in there. Um, and so what we want to
50:50 do is not only bring in something that will help us accelerate our road map
50:53 that isn't bottlenecked where everyone is trying to get there, uh, but also
50:56 increase the capability of the country So, this is the tunnel. This is the
51:00 inside of the tunnel where they're going to be testing things like the quarter
51:04 horse and other engines. And it's hard to tell, but it's super
51:10 super quiet. Herus, an Atlanta based firm, is arguably the furthest along in
51:16 testing their hypersonic prototypes. They're planning to modify the Prattton
51:20 Whitney F-100. That's the same engine that's inside an F-16. So what they're
51:24 doing is cocooning that engine inside of proprietary technology to take what was
51:29 an engine that could go Mach 2 and giving it the capability to go Mach 4,
51:33 5, and above. >> You spend a lot of time in Washington.
51:37 >> I do. >> And that means you're probably talking
51:39 to people from the Department of Defense. >> The systems you see the department investing in right now are are one-way
51:45 systems, right? You send them, they uh launch, and then they don't return. And
51:49 so every time aka >> missiles >> missiles uh $20 million a shot or more. Um and so the cost is really challenging
51:56 to scale. When you have a vehicle uh that returns the cost per effect of
52:01 those munitions significantly decreases and it would also have the impact of
52:04 unlocking a lot of private capital. Hypersonic weapons are at the center of
52:08 an arms race among the world's superpowers. That's because a hypersonic
52:12 missile remains within the Earth's atmosphere, unlike an ICBM, which goes
52:16 up in a sort of parabola, and then comes back down. In theory, it makes
52:20 hypersonic missiles harder to detect. The US has spent over $10 billion on
52:26 hypersonic weapons so far, about 3% of the overall R&D budget for defense. And
52:31 it seems to be with good reason. China may have already tested a
52:35 hypersonic nuclear weapon, and they've built wind tunnels that can test speeds
52:40 up to Mach 30. According to articles we've read, Chinese scientists have
52:45 patented an engine that can go up to Mach 16. And one Chinese company called
52:49 Space Transportation is building what they call a rocket with wings. Take a
52:54 look at this wild CGI video. Do you think that the United States is behind on hypersonic? I think it's an
53:03 incredibly difficult competition. Um we have a different approach in general um
53:07 to how you know China and Russia have have taken it. I mean the the the flight
53:11 tests kind of speak for themselves. The pace of flight testing um that China the
53:15 CCP uh have been able to demonstrate over the past decade uh exceeds ours by
53:21 an order of magnitude and I think that that speaks for itself.
53:23 >> So I guess the last question is when will you feel like hypersonic passenger
53:29 planes are a real thing? Ask me again once we've flown a hypersonic aircraft.
53:34 That's that's step one that we got to that we got to prove out.
53:37 >> So, we know it's going to take a long time before supersonic or even
53:41 hypersonic passenger planes are going to be in the air and development is going
53:45 to take a lot of investment. Another problem that Concord just didn't have.
53:50 The development of the Concord was completely subsidized by the governments
53:54 of France and the United Kingdom. Rolls-Royce, the engine manufacturer,
53:58 was actually governmentowned during the Concord era because it had filed for
54:02 bankruptcy. The airlines didn't even have to buy the planes.
54:06 >> I mean, initially, let's face it, the airplane was basically given to British
54:09 Airways. I mean, they didn't have to pay a scent for it.
54:12 >> That level of state investment just isn't happening today, and that's
54:16 definitely going to slow development. >> I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a
54:20 commercial supersonic around 2050. Um, and to kind of unpack that,
54:25 we would need to have both lowboom aircraft and very abundant, very cheap
54:32 SAFS in order for supersonics to succeed. And 2050 is about the time
54:36 frame that I think it could happen. >> That's Dan Rutherford. He's an
54:40 environmental engineer that's been researching aviation emissions and policy for about 15 years. SAF stands for sustainable aviation fuel. It's
54:50 still an emerging technology, but it's one that's going to play a crucial role
54:53 when it comes to these planes because of just how much fuel they need.
54:59 Let's compare fuel use against standard subsonic airline travel. Commercial
55:04 planes vary, but take the two most common planes flying today, the Boeing
55:08 737 and the Airbus A320. Now, this of course varies on route weight and lots
55:13 of other factors, but as a fairly high estimate, they both use around 3 tons of
55:18 fuel per hour. Now, compare that to the Concord, which used a massive 22.6 tons
55:24 hour and for a lot fewer passengers. Even if you were to calculate it per
55:28 distance, Concord gets 13.48 mp gallon to a trip 7's 80. Now, it's obvious that
55:36 jet fuel is different from petrol. It's actually closer to diesel. But for a
55:40 simple comparison, a full flight on Concord is the emissions equivalent of
55:43 every passenger on board driving from London to New York in a Ferrari 812
55:48 competition. And not only is it burning more fuel, but even the same amount of fuel use could be worse for the environment at
55:55 higher altitudes, too. Because supersonics would fly very, very high in
55:59 the sky, uh there's a concern that emissions from their engines will have a
56:04 disproportionate impact, especially on the climate. And just kind of ballpark
56:09 figure, if a if a plane is operating at say 33,000 ft, emissions from its engine
56:17 stays in the atmosphere for like 2 or 3 days. But if you take it and you make it
56:22 supersonic and you fly at 55,000 ft, um the what we call the resonance
56:28 time or the amount of time the pollution stays in the atmosphere is more like two
56:31 or three years. Uh, and that's very concerning both from climate change and
56:35 then for ozone depletion. >> How are these newer planes going to
56:39 solve this efficiency problem? Well, the truth is they really aren't. The main
56:44 problem is the faster you go, the less efficient travel becomes. In fact, Saudi
56:50 Arabia wants to invest in supersonics precisely because of this. They
56:54 highlighted the future of supersonic flight as a key focus in their oil
56:58 sustainability program. Here's a graph showing the drop off in efficiency at
57:02 greater speeds. The higher up on the graph, the more efficient the plane.
57:07 Boom is probably the closest of these projects to reality, and they claim that
57:11 the overture is 30% more fuel efficient than Concord, maybe moving them up here.
57:16 The Houseion will be using a ramjet and end up somewhere around here on the
57:20 graph, just beyond the SR71. The Stargazer uses a similar engine, but
57:26 also adds their brand new rotating detonation rocket engine for higher
57:29 speeds. Rockets are way more inefficient. And if you look at the
57:34 bottom of the chart, that's where you're going to see the rocket propulsion. Not
57:38 a lot of planes use rocket propulsion for that reason. Compared to the
57:41 Concord's 22 tons of fuel per hour, this thing burned 20 tons of fuel per second.
57:49 Now, it's not an exact comparison obviously because the planes that we're
57:54 talking about are not launching directly up to get out of uh Earth's gravity
57:58 well, but it just gives you an idea of how much fuel it takes to move weight uh
58:04 you know up into the atmosphere. I mean, you could kind of see the design
58:08 is different, right? They're like they're more compact. It's just about
58:13 throwing as much power through it as you can. Venus is targeting a specific
58:19 impulse of 1,250 seconds, which the company claims will put its hybrid rocket ramjet engine in line with standard ramjet performance.
58:28 But that's still 80% less efficient than the 747. And rather than 400 passengers,
58:34 it carries only 12. Engine efficiency may not be the sexiest
58:40 topic, but all of these planes will undoubtedly be worse for the environment
58:44 than subsonic travel we have now. It's not just the environmental impacts
58:47 either. This fuel costs a lot of money and it might just be the makeorb breakak
58:52 reason that flying supersonic just isn't profitable for these companies.
58:57 >> It's a it's a it's a lovely goal. Everyone wants to go higher, faster,
59:00 farther. We don't like to use that phrase too much, but you know, but at
59:04 some point they're they're limits. And in the case of airplanes, the limit for
59:08 speed is Mach 1, a little bit below it practically speaking to be commercially
59:13 viable. Beyond that, no. >> Here's a graph of jet fuel prices over
59:18 the last 50 years. This flat period of low prices was Concord's era. Since
59:23 then, fuel prices have shot up. So, while a trip on the Concord in 1999
59:27 costs about $154 per passenger in fuel, that flight today would cost over $700.
59:35 And for Boom, the numbers are looking much worse. They've made a commitment to
59:38 sustainable jet fuel. Today's airplanes are actually only 50/50 compatible with
59:43 sustainable aviation fuel and overture are designing to run on up to 100%
59:48 sustainable fuel. >> Sustainable jet fuel is a type of jet
59:51 fuel made from either renewable sources like plants or algae or repurposed waste
59:55 that's intended to have a lower carbon footprint. >> But the thing to know is that SAFS remain very expensive and very
60:02 rare. So typically uh SAF costs between two and five times as much as fossil jet
60:07 fuel and it's only uh it only accounts for 210 of 1% of fuel use today. So it's
60:14 very much a nation technology. So if boom achieves their 25% more efficient
60:18 than Concord claims and SAF costs the $8 per gallon that it cost recently that
60:24 means the fuel alone for each passenger on a flight from London to New
60:28 York would be around $1,500. If SAF hits the highs of $10
60:33 that it did multiple times last year, that would be almost $2,000 in fuel
60:38 costs for every single passenger. Those are really rough estimates, and maybe Boom will manage to squeeze a little more efficiency out of
60:46 their planes. But it gives you an idea of just how expensive these fuel costs
60:50 could be. We reached out to Boom about this, and they told us they're
60:54 aiming for a $5,000 roundtrip ticket. If that's true, $3 to $4,000 of that would
61:01 be fuel alone. They told us, "We've designed Overture to be profitable for
61:06 airlines at fairs, similar to first and business class. That includes fuel
61:10 costs, which we expect to go down over time as the supply of staff increases
61:16 along with demand. And there's one other big problem with this plan. SAF often
61:21 isn't actually as sustainable as it sounds. Well, there's a lot of diversity
61:26 hiding under that term sustainable aviation fuels. A SAF can be
61:30 produced in a sustainable way with a good feed stock and reduce emissions by
61:34 80% or more compared to fossil jet fuel. But it also can be produced in
61:40 a way that actually makes it more polluting than fossil jet fuel. So to
61:43 take an example, if you take palm oil that's derived from um like a deforested
61:49 area and turn that into a saff, then that's actually going to have higher
61:53 life cycle emissions than fossil jet fuel just because of all the carbon you
61:57 released when you cut down the forest. The US government is aiming for
62:00 3 billion gallons of SAF supply in 2030, which is um you know 100fold or more
62:05 increase from today. So those would be SAS produced from corn or soy that offer
62:10 modest if any greenhouse gas benefits. It's going to be a tough task to balance
62:15 out fuel costs, environmental damage, and heat problems, all while making a
62:20 comfortable and affordable ride for passengers. Now that we've seen all the supersonic prototypes, who's actually going to fly
62:28 on these things? All the CEOs we talked to said similar things.
62:32 >> I think it's uh typically the the business traveler, the folks that you
62:35 would see um flying in uh business class or first class today. When we talk to
62:40 people who are the most frequent international travelers in in business
62:45 class and first class, 97% of them say they want supersonic flights.
62:50 >> You land in Japan at 2:00 p.m. your time, but it's more like 7:00 a.m. their
62:55 time and you, you know, take an Uber or you ride a taxi to the factory. You're
62:59 able to have a meeting with whoever you're meeting with for like 3
63:02 hours. You you can then board a flight and get back home in time for dinner.
63:06 And in a world of super fast internet and remote calls, do we really need to
63:11 be flying these CEOs across the planet at hypersonic speeds? And
63:15 finally, for the nearly 10% of CEOs who are super commuters, traveling 100 miles
63:20 or more to work, one study found that they consistently underperform their
63:25 localized counterparts, causing their firms to lose value and their tenure to be shorter. It's even worse if they own a boat or live near a
63:33 golf course. It turns out the only person who would actually fly supersonic
63:37 and be home in time for dinner was the pilot of the Concord.
63:41 >> I would drive my wife early in the morning to the station, our local
63:47 station. She get on the train, commute into the city, and I would go to
63:52 Kennedy, get in my Concord, fly to London, go swiftly through customs and immigration and come out the other side
64:00 and get on as a passenger on the evening Concord out of Heathrow,
64:05 and I'd get back into uh Kennedy, get in my car, drive up to
64:11 Katona, and pick my wife up at the station, she
64:14 having been to work all day. And me too, I suppose.
64:17 >> But even for the ultra wealthy, are they going to pick speed over comfort? When
64:22 you can already fly in luxury on a private jet, is the few hours saved
64:26 going to be enough to entice people back to supersonic? Could there be a faster
64:30 supersonic future? Maybe. But it's not happening anytime soon. And there's a
64:35 lot of reasons that people should think about and be concerned
64:38 about what the implications of that future might be. This is my first time
64:42 inside of a Whimo, and we're going down the windiest street in San Francisco.
64:47 Even though it looks like no one's driving this car, not this Whimo, not
64:51 Tesla in full self-driving, none of these cars are fully autonomous, no
64:55 matter how good they seem to be at navigating the roads. Whimos only
64:59 operate in specific geoence locations, and Tesla's full self-driving mode requires eyes on the road and hands by the wheel. Wh Don't do that. And when
65:11 any of these things get stuck, they require the intervention of a human
65:15 to tell it what to do. >> Hello, this is Katy with Fleet Response.
65:19 >> So, I should just close the door? >> Yeah.
65:21 >> Okay, cool. I'm going to do that. >> Self-driving cars are coming soon to a
65:25 city near you. But we still don't know how many humans
65:30 it takes to drive them. So, why is it so hard to get robo taxis right?
65:35 And which company could be the first to unlock this trillion dollar market?
65:43 There are two main players already vying to bring robo taxis to American
65:47 roads. Whimo and Tesla have two very different approaches to autonomy. And
65:52 when you see them side by side, that's extremely clear. The Whimo has lidar,
65:57 radar, 29 cameras all around the vehicle. The lidar spins out laser
66:03 pulses to build a highresolution map of nearby cars, cyclists, and pedestrians.
66:07 Radar uses radio waves to track how fast objects are moving and how far away they
66:11 are, even through rain, fog, and dust. Cameras read colors, signs, and signals.
66:16 In case you're wondering what happens if you touch one of these things, literally
66:20 nothing. It's spinning at a speed that's not unsafe, and it doesn't break it to
66:26 do that. So, but don't do that at home. Tesla has just eight cameras barely
66:31 visible and all. Elon Musk has called LiDAR a fool's errand and something that
66:36 is expensive and unnecessary. Tesla's camera only approach has an advantage
66:41 cost. It's way cheaper to have a self-driving car navigate with cameras
66:45 and AI than to have all the additional sensors that a Whimo does. But there's a
66:51 downside. Some of the experts I spoke to said the cameraonly approach will never
66:56 truly be safe. If you're serious about self-driving, you don't have just a
67:02 single sensor. >> Using camera only is like tying one hand
67:05 behind your back when you could also use a lighter. It's certainly taking the
67:08 hard path. >> And why that matters is because this car
67:11 right here, if Tesla can prove that this car is safe enough and can self-drive
67:17 everywhere in the country, every Tesla on the road today could become a cyber
67:21 taxi overnight. fundamentally two different approaches to how self-driving cars navigate. >> Please close the right side rear door.
67:30 Thanks. >> Now, let's talk about what makes them different from human drivers. There's a very long list of fairly normal driving
67:40 scenarios that robo taxis struggle with that aren't an issue for any normally
67:45 skilled human driver. Here's one. Teslas don't always stop for school buses.
67:56 >> It just carries on. >> It was 100% when we first started
68:00 testing. It was 100% of uh of the time. >> That's Dan Odow. He's a critical systems engineer who designed the software that
68:08 runs in F-35 fighter jets and nuclear bombers. >> The kids would line up and watch us run over the mannequins. the kids in the
68:16 school, their parents would come out or the teachers would come out and say, "Oh
68:19 my god, it ran over that little kid who's just walking across the road."
68:23 Over the years, Dan has probably spent millions of his own dollars trying to
68:28 show how Tesla's full self-driving software has major design flaws like
68:34 Tesla's driving on the wrong side of the road. There can be a do not enter sign
68:38 on both sides of a street saying do not enter and it'll go right down that
68:41 street because it doesn't see those signs. and even failing a driving
68:45 test. >> Get me out of here. >> Would have failed the test. >> Even after paying for two Super Bowl
68:54 ads, Dan said he was shocked at the response. >> 90% agree that this should be banned immediately. Why does Nitsa allow Tesla
69:02 full self-driving? >> And it did make a nice splash, but Tesla
69:06 didn't do a thing. >> Well, that's not entirely true.
69:09 The company did send the Dawn project a cease and desist letter. Dan thinks that
69:14 people should boycott Tesla until the company proves that their full
69:18 self-driving software is safe. >> Pull the product off the market FSD.
69:22 That doesn't mean pull the Teslas off the market. You can still drive
69:24 your car. You assign 10 engineers or 100 engineers or whatever it takes to do
69:29 it and you fix that problem and and now you can go back on the road.
69:33 Before the Tesla stands jump into the comments and say, "Oh, version 14 of FSD
69:38 is so much better." Well, the Dawn Project tested the latest version two,
69:43 and guess what? The Teslas are still passing school buses and ignoring the
69:48 school speed limit zones. >> Just to be clear, they have made
69:51 improvements. One out of every five times, it will not stop.
69:55 >> But it's not just Tesla. Whimo is under investigation in Austin, Texas for
70:00 passing school buses. And in Santa Monica, a Whimo hit a 9-year-old outside
70:05 of a school during dismissal. Thankfully, the child wasn't seriously
70:09 injured. I was holding off on explaining this until now, but for the rest of the
70:14 video, there's a concept you need to understand. The SAE six levels of
70:19 automation. Let's start with level zero. Level zero is a car that has no
70:23 automation. That's most of the cars on the road today. Level one automation is
70:28 when the car can steer or break on its own but not both at the same time. So
70:34 that's kind of like the lane assist in my mom's Honda CRV.
70:38 >> Wow. >> I really do think it is. >> It's the first time you used it. >> I didn't even know I had it.
70:44 >> Level two sounds simple, but it actually is more complicated, and it's where most
70:49 of today's self-driving hype lives. Level two is when the car can steer and
70:54 break on its own, but it requires the human to still be paying attention to
70:58 the road. And even though it seems way more capable, Tesla FSD is still only a
71:04 level two driver assist program. >> Oh, it it gave me a warning that I took
71:10 my eyes off the road for too long. >> And that allows them to evade all the
71:14 robo taxi regulations because the robo taxi regulations only apply
71:18 when you say that you're level three or above. But here's the thing about level
71:22 three. It comes with what engineers call the handoff problem. It means that it's
71:26 automated until suddenly it calls for human assistance and you need to step in
71:30 right away. Level four is where things start to look autonomous. There's nobody
71:35 in the driver's seat. And yes, Whimo is level four most of the time, but
71:40 sometimes they get stuck. And when they get stuck, Whimo says, "Well,
71:44 there's just sort of phone a friend." And that friend helps the robo
71:48 taxi complete the driving task, which makes them partially a driver.
71:54 >> Level five means that the car can drive itself anywhere, at any time, and under
71:58 any circumstances. It's the holy grail of autonomy, but it doesn't exist yet.
72:04 >> And there's another thing that's keeping robo taxis from being fully autonomous.
72:08 Mother Nature. Not a lot of people on the roads today. It's one of the worst
72:13 snowstorms we've had in New York in a couple years now. But uh got to
72:18 go clean off my car. Comes with the territory. You know, storm like this
72:22 when you get like a foot of snow, you got to clean off your car a couple
72:26 times. It's so cold. It's 19°. For cameras and sensors, snow is especially problematic. It can
72:35 erase lines on the road and make everything look like a blank white
72:38 sheet. Plus, those snowflakes can create noise inside the LAR and radar
72:43 sensors and even block the cameras. Whimo says their cars are already
72:47 driving year round in snowy conditions in 10 states, including New York,
72:52 Michigan, Colorado, and Minnesota. In addition to earlier testing in
72:57 California, the Jaguar Ipace Whimos already have sensor cleaning technology,
73:02 and the upcoming Ohhigh model will build on that with improved cleaning
73:06 technology for heavier weather conditions. Are you engineering for snow
73:09 now? Tell tell me more talk more about that. >> So that's that's happening in the next release, right? The newer version of the
73:14 car, right? The Ohigh, you know, is going to have, you know, cleaning
73:18 technology that's better than than our our our current version.
73:22 >> And so all of that, you know, gets us ready for uh for driving in in
73:27 heavy snow, >> right? >> On the other hand, you can see a lot of videos online of people using full
73:32 self-driving in their Tesla in snowy conditions like this one, and they say
73:36 it handles pretty well. And I am just so happy right now that FSD is
73:41 driving this way in this snow. Whimo admits that winter weather scenarios are
73:46 under represented in their training models. Now, in order to make up for
73:50 that training when they don't have cars in scenarios like this, they've added to
73:56 their simulated models to help train the cars to get better at dealing with
74:00 winter weather. Those simulations can also be used to deal with what
74:04 engineers call the longtail problem. Things like encountering wet cement or a
74:11 car hauling a tree that's swaying in the back or a man in a wheelchair chasing a
74:16 duck across the road. Those are all real life things that actually happened. When
74:20 I met with Chris from Whimo, he told me that the company's recently unveiled
74:25 world model can help tackle these rare safety cases. transform scenarios from a
74:31 dry condition to a snowy condition as an example. And this allows you to multiply
74:35 the data. And what we find is that while there are many many longtail scenarios,
74:40 we have a corpus of data that actually has allowed us to reach levels of
74:44 performance that are showing up in the in the result.
74:47 >> That was a Jaguar followed by the new Ohhigh model. Now, that Whimo World
74:52 model can help the cars learn from situations that the cars may never
74:56 actually encounter in real life. And some of the demonstrations they have on
75:00 their website include driving into a tornado and dealing with a charging
75:04 elephant in the middle of the road. >> The catch with the simulation is if the
75:09 simulation doesn't have something in it, then you'll never train against it. As a
75:14 really simple example, if your simulation doesn't have any moose in it,
75:18 the first time you see a moose, you're going to have an edge case you're not
75:21 trained for. So, simulations can help, but ultimately, if the edge case is not
75:27 in the simulation, you have not really solved the problem. So, by some
75:31 estimates, before they can truly say that these cars are safer than human
75:35 drivers, robo taxis should expect to clock billions or maybe trillions of
75:40 miles so they can see as many of these edge cases as possible.
75:44 >> Humans are not nearly as dangerous as the the self-driving car industry wants
75:49 us to believe. That's actually pretty good. We have a lot of fatalities
75:52 because there are trillions of miles driven. It's just a numbers game. But
75:56 there's no amount of computing power that can predict how the public will
76:00 react when something goes wrong. And that's why we're headed to the Mission
76:04 District. I'm on 16th Street in the Mission District outside Randa's Market.
76:09 I wanted to take you here because this is the location of one of the saddest
76:13 stories in the rolling out of Whimo so far. So, Randa's Market, there was a cat
76:19 here named Kit Kat who was adopted by the owner and lived here and was known
76:24 as the mayor of 16th Street. Everybody loved this bodega cat. Uh, we talked to
76:28 some of the guys who hang out on this block and they told me some nice stories
76:32 about the cat. >> We would roll around over here, get on
76:34 his back and I, you know, >> on the stomach and everything and
76:38 >> Yeah. >> Hey, all the homies, man. All the
76:40 homies. >> Yeah. Everybody. >> So, what was what was your reaction when you heard the news?
76:44 >> I didn't even cry. I was just really mad.
76:46 >> The story goes at 11:30 at night after the shop was closed up, the cat was here
76:51 on the curb. A Whimo pulled up to drop someone off and right as the Whimo was
76:55 pulling away, the cat darted under the car. A female bystander saw this and
77:01 tried to coax the cat out, but the Whimo started to drive off, killing KitKat. In
77:06 this case, a human driver might have seen the woman searching under the car
77:10 and investigated before pulling away. It led to a big public uh outcry. There
77:16 were protesters. There was a media conference here with some elected
77:19 officials. They now sell memorabilia merchandise. I paid 25 bucks
77:25 for this hat. Remember Kit Kat? There's a shrine here. And why is this
77:29 important? Obviously, Kit Kat wasn't the first animal killed by a self-driving
77:33 car and won't be the last. But you can see how when you have something as
77:37 beloved as this bodega cat, it really sets people off and it brings negative
77:41 attention onto this kind of robo taxi coming through their neighborhood.
77:45 >> Every time I see a Whimo, I spit on it. >> For real.
77:47 >> I'm not going to lie. >> We are going to be meeting with Whimo
77:50 this week. We're going to one of their lots. We're interviewing some of their
77:53 executives. If you could say a message to them, what would you say to those
77:56 people? >> Do they think they took responsibility for what what happened? >> Right. Right. Do they feel like they
78:04 took responsibility? >> They want to put it right correctly.
78:06 >> Yeah. In other words, they have a long way to go before they earn the trust of
78:10 the people. >> Oh yeah, definitely. >> Kit Kat remains a cautionary tale, but a single accident can bring down a
78:17 multi-billion dollar fleet. And in San Francisco, that already happened. Cruz,
78:22 which was operated by GM, suspended operations in 2023 after one of its cars
78:28 dragged a woman underneath it. She was seriously injured and that pretty much
78:32 was the death nail for that service in the city. So I have the
78:35 incident report here from the San Francisco Fire Department. They utilized
78:39 the spreaders and cribbing to remove the individual and she was later transported code three to San Francisco General Hospital with
78:47 significant trauma. Right now I'm under an underpass and uh I'm next to a
78:52 parking lot. But why am I here? Look through here.
78:57 You see that? This is what a robo taxi graveyard looks like.
79:08 The cars in there are literally sitting around just gathering dust and grime.
79:13 You would have thought that maybe they would have moved them somewhere else.
79:18 Between KitKat and cruise, it's clear that self-driving cabs pose a risk
79:22 to both pedestrians and pets. And even if that safety record improves, none of
79:28 these companies can yet answer the trillion dollar question. How many
79:32 people does it take to drive a robo taxi? Congress pressed Whimo on where
79:37 its remote assistance workers are located. Whimo says they had already
79:41 disclosed this to regulators in the press, but the hearing was the first
79:45 time many in the public had heard it. In what countries are these employees
79:50 located? >> The Philippines. >> Should be >> the Philippines. So they are in the
79:56 Philippines. Yeah, >> Mr. Pñena, that is completely unacceptable. And here's why. Whimo revealed they have around 70 remote
80:03 assistance agents on duty. Around half of them are overseas.
80:08 >> So if that remote person is in the Philippines, you have some issues of
80:13 jurisdiction and accountability. But whether it's 70 workers or 700, I had a
80:18 personal experience that tested the limits of what Whimo's remote assistants
80:22 are able to do. I was supposed to go pick up my colleague Lloyd and then head
80:26 to Mountain View to interview executives at Whimo HQ. He lives in an area with
80:32 terrible cell phone service. So when the Whimo passed his house, I had no way to
80:36 tell it to turn back around. I still don't have service.
80:43 >> And the app is not working. >> Okay. >> Now the app looks like this. >> This turned into a 30inut ordeal with a
80:54 remote assistance team. >> Uh even if you tried uh turning off and
80:59 opening your data as well, it's not really working. >> Uh I'll try that. >> Okay. Just let me know if there's still
81:07 an issue. Okay. >> They were unable to get the trip started
81:10 again and I had to wait for my coworker Lloyd to show up and save the day.
81:15 >> Lloyd, I am Dude, I told it to put Okay, first of all, cell phone reception in
81:21 your neighborhood is not great. Lloyd, help me. Lloyd, help me, man. Finally, Lloyd, who had cell reception,
81:32 was able to order a new robo taxi, and we continued on our way to Whimo HQ in
81:37 Mountain View. Nice cardigan. Bye-bye, Whimo. All right, let's see. Lloyd Lee writes for Business Insider
81:48 about self-driving vehicles. >> Really, the Smiths? In terms of like how
81:53 many humans are operating each robo taxi is kind of hazy because you have the
81:57 people in the call centers, the remote support agents, but you also have people
82:00 at the depot who have to charge and maintain these robo taxis and then of
82:05 course there's the engineers who are sort of supporting the whole robo taxi
82:09 push. >> In simple terms, why does it matter how
82:12 often a human has to intervene in these rides? I feel like it shows the maturity
82:17 of the technology and or another way to put it um you know how autonomous are
82:22 your autonomous cars if you constantly need a human holding its hand.
82:26 >> That was made brutally clear in December 2025 when a major blackout in San
82:31 Francisco showed how fragile current AV systems are. More than 800 Whimo vehicles were in the outage area and experienced over 1,500
82:41 stoppages. Whimo says 96% of those stoppages resolved autonomously, but the
82:47 remaining vehicles blocked intersections and created problems for first responders and other drivers. Something as common as a blackout should have been
82:56 part of the simulation. And even if it was, Whimo looked like they weren't
82:59 prepared. So today, I'm at Whimo's San Fran Depot to see how the humans behind
83:04 these robo taxis are keeping them on the road. There has to be at least
83:10 60, 70, maybe 100 people working here right now. There's a big crew of people.
83:15 It looks like there's a bunch of bunch of different job functions. Everyone's
83:18 wearing yellow work vests and uh they're servicing these Whimos as they come in.
83:24 You can see the charging stations here. We've got our our gloves,
83:32 our spray bottles, vacuum cleaners. It would seem that they go through a ton of towels
83:40 based on the fact that they have one for Wednesday, one for Tuesday, one for
83:45 Monday. That's Monday's towels. One day of towels and that's all the dirty
83:51 towels. There's different lights, colored lights on each of the vehicles. And there's a chart that I guess is to let the workers
83:58 know what kind of service each one of those vehicles requires at the time.
84:03 You've got things like a biological slashlost item, which I'm guessing is
84:07 like, you know, food or maybe someone threw up in the back or maybe there's
84:12 um, you know, something that what I did like an idiot is leave their wallet in
84:16 the back, which by the way I was able to retrieve. Thank you, Whimo. Oh. Oh. Oh.
84:24 Oh. Oh. Ah. Yes. Thank you, Whimo. Thank you, Whimo. Thank you. Thank you. Thank
84:31 you, Whimo. >> The robo taxis do not have to be
84:34 fully autonomous for this to make sense as a solution. The number is never going
84:38 to be zero. If you have the same number of people involved in the robo taxi, but
84:44 they're outside of the car instead of inside of the car, I don't see how you
84:48 make this economically viable. I didn't get this conversation on record, but I
84:52 did meet someone while I was here who's a Whimo driver. And that means that
84:57 basically he gets paid to sit in the driver's seat of the Whimo and either
85:01 drive manually and his moves, everything he does is recorded and sent back to
85:07 train the data. Or he's driving in autonomous mode and
85:12 he does what he calls triage. So, he uses these buttons on the
85:17 steering wheel to send data back to the developers. One thing that stuck to me
85:21 is that he told me that there are stretches, especially when you're
85:24 driving around in autonomous mode, that he starts to drift off and um the seat,
85:30 the front seat actually notices and buzzes or shakes him awake. Uh which I
85:35 thought was pretty funny. So, while the future of self-driving cars might look
85:40 sleek from the outside, there's humans at every step of the way driving
85:45 these things to train them, tagging data on the back end, cleaning them,
85:50 servicing them, handling remote operator calls, and uh getting shaken awake when
85:56 they fall asleep at the wheel. How would you characterize the moment we're in
86:00 right now in terms of the deployment of robo taxis, at least in America? People
86:05 like to think that we're 99% there because there are hundreds and
86:10 in one case a couple thousand robo taxis out there on public roads driving around
86:14 and it feels like we're almost there. That it's almost solved. It feels
86:17 like it's 99% done. But I think of it a different way. The difference between
86:22 having a couple hundred robo taxis and a couple million robo taxis
86:26 is dramatic. There's still many, many issues with safety and deployment and
86:31 scalability. And so I think of it as well, we're done with the first 99%, but
86:36 we still have another 99% to go. >> Now we're up to full speed on the
86:40 freeway. It's going 65. And uh not bad, not terrible. If it's not clear from the depot, owning and
86:50 operating a fleet of vehicles is an astronomical cost. So that's why anybody
86:55 who's trying to make a robo taxi business work is trying to reduce those
86:59 costs as fast as possible. And their newest generation of cars are actually
87:03 going to be not the Jaguar Ipace which cost an estimated 150K, but they're
87:09 going to be based on the Hyundai Ionic and that is estimated to be about half
87:15 the cost. What remains unclear is how much that cost reduction will help Whimo
87:20 close the gap in pricing with other ride share services like Uber and Lyft. So I
87:25 downloaded this app. It's called Hackne and um it basically compares the prices
87:30 between Uber Lift and Whimo. The price the price that came up on the Whimo is
87:36 $135. Just regular UberX is $23. So it's even twice because of the the surge pricing and it's got $1191. So in this case,
87:49 Lyft would have been the winner. According to analysis by journalist
87:53 Malik, Whimo needs to be targeting more expensive rides, like $30 a pop, just to
87:59 make the numbers work on their current $126 billion valuation. But right now,
88:05 it seems like Whimo is more in a spaghetti phase. They're throwing
88:09 everything at the wall and seeing what sticks. In Nashville, Lyft manages the
88:13 fleet for Whimo. And in Dallas, Avis takes that job. In Austin and Atlanta,
88:19 Whimo rides are booked through the Uber app, but Uber is responsible for
88:23 managing the fleet. >> We've tried to keep all of our options
88:26 open, keep all the doors open, and and so we're we're learning a lot right now
88:29 from the different types of models that exist in each of these markets and are
88:34 going to continue to explore uh as we expand to more cities. We recently
88:38 shared that we've been uh doing deliveries with Door Dash.
88:41 >> Whimo may be taking that partnership literally. They've been paying Door
88:45 Dashers to show up at Stranded Whimos just to close the door.
88:49 >> I don't think we're at a point in time where we want to say this is the one way
88:52 to do it and this other way is not the way to do it. It's it's so early in the
88:56 widespread deployment of these things that I think it's it's premature to kind
89:01 of declare one way or the other. >> Now Tesla's model is radically
89:05 different. They're selling cars to consumers today with the promise that in
89:09 the future they'll become self-driving cabs that can earn money for the owners
89:13 when they're not using them. >> It will be like an Airbnb thing. You can
89:17 add or subtract your car to the fleet whenever you want. Your car gets added
89:21 to the fleet and it just makes money for you while you're gone.
89:25 >> Yeah. Markets seem to be bullish on Tesla getting their cyber cab business off the ground. Morgan Stanley analysts expect 1
89:36 million cyber cabs on the road by 2035. And this chart shows how they're
89:41 projecting that robo taxis will take over a third of all ride share miles in
89:46 the years to come. But overall self-driving car use will remain pretty
89:51 flat. But if robo taxis remain a novelty, how will these companies
89:55 deliver on their biggest promise that their cars are safer than human drivers?
90:01 Every year there are over 40,000 deaths on American roads. That makes this
90:06 country the most dangerous developed nation to drive in. That's a death rate
90:10 of about 12 people per 100,000 population. There are several
90:14 explanations for this, including the fact that drivers are more aggressive
90:19 and distracted than ever before. The argument goes that robo taxis never
90:23 drive tired or get drunk and that they're already safer than human
90:27 drivers. And as we see more of them on the road, they could reduce traffic
90:31 fatalities to near zero. Whimo does have a pretty good record so far,
90:36 >> at least right now, on par with Uber and Lift drivers, which is to say that they
90:42 have accidents about four to six times more often than your average driver,
90:48 which is an amazing achievement. I I want people to understand like I think
90:52 Whimo has done a very good job of getting at least on par with a um a more
91:00 high accident population, but you know, still they've done a pretty good job.
91:05 >> But what if I told you that some people have already seen enough to say that
91:09 robo taxis will actually make streets more dangerous and that they're willing
91:14 to go to extreme lengths to prove it? In 2023, as robo taxis started to take over
91:20 the streets of San Francisco, a group of activists calling themselves safe street
91:26 rebels started staging protests. Basically, they figured out that if you
91:30 take an orange traffic cone and put it on the hood of a Whimo, it can stop it
91:35 dead in its tracks. It was us showing through a very uh
91:41 passive and peaceful object of just a cone that this technology is not as good
91:46 as it seems. We never ever once uh destroyed a car. We were never vandals.
91:52 We were also showing that the technology just in its inherent form didn't work
91:56 very well. >> For example, I don't think it happened
91:58 here, but in LA, you know, when you had some of these anti-ICE protests, people
92:02 really took their rage out on Whimos. I don't know if that was just convenience
92:06 or if that was like a targeted thing, but I did there's some pretty gnarly
92:09 videos of people just taking rage out on Whimos. >> Yeah, that wasn't safe street rebel. Um, but I do think it it speaks to something
92:17 that's people are really fed up broadly with big tech right now. They're really
92:20 fed up with the ways that corporations have gotten away with so much.
92:25 to see how many times Whimo has injured someone, injured someone's pet, injured
92:29 someone's loved one, caused havoc, blocked an emergency vehicle. To see all
92:34 of these times that Whimo has messed up, we have to ask who who's being
92:38 prioritized. Is it the driverless car companies or is it the people? And it
92:42 really feels like the driverless car companies. And I think people are really
92:44 fed up with that. >> Adding cars to the equation never makes
92:48 the situation safer. My biggest frustration that I have heard a lot is
92:52 they're the future. And it's just like we thought laser disc was the future.
92:57 >> Ren and Austin took us on a tour of their hometown to give us a look at the
93:02 car-free future they're hoping to build. >> Oh, there it goes. Yep.
93:08 Right past me. >> This is a slow street right here. The
93:12 intention of the design is that cars only drive to destinations on the block
93:17 they enter. They don't drive multiple blocks up and down the street. You can
93:20 see behind us right here a set of barriers in the street um that block the
93:26 incoming lane. >> Yeah. I mean, you can just see with the
93:28 sheer number of people riding past us, these are some of the most alive streets
93:32 in San Francisco. Yeah, slow streets work. There are very, very effective
93:37 design of traffic calming. But Whimos don't act like humans and traffic
93:41 calming is designed for humans. Uh they are not really understanding the
93:45 barriers, so there can be a lot of issues. >> There's one right here. actually looks like there's one.
93:51 So, this is a Whimo waiting in the middle of the intersection so that it
93:56 can get into a slow street and it's giving up.
94:00 >> They also showed us Sunset Dunes, which was a strip of Oceanside Highway that
94:05 was recently converted to a car-free park. >> It's just a wonderful place where everyone can come together and enjoy the
94:12 beach. There's something that a Whimo will never be able to do that public
94:15 transit and biking and slow streets do, which is bring community and get people
94:19 outside talking to their neighbors. Our slow streets are some of the liveliest
94:23 streets uh in our city where neighbors know each other. They host
94:26 really wonderful block parties. >> If the real goal is fewer people dying
94:30 on the road, autonomy isn't the only answer. It might not even be the best or
94:35 fastest one. Last year, Helsinki, Finland, announced something remarkable. Zero traffic deaths. Not zero pedestrian deaths. Zero traffic deaths, period.
94:46 They didn't get there with self-driving cars. They didn't wait for AI to solve
94:50 human behavior. They did it by slowing cars down. City officials lowered speed
94:55 limits across residential areas and the city center, enforced them with speed
94:59 cameras, and redesigned streets to make driving feel less comfortable. Roads
95:04 were narrowed. Trees were planted closer to traffic. The city invested heavily in
95:09 public transit, cycling infrastructure, and walkable streets. The logic was
95:13 simple. Slower cars means fewer deaths. And data backs that up. Drop a car's
95:18 impact speed from 40 kmh to 30, and the risk of killing a pedestrian is
95:23 cut in half. And here's a shocker. Half of traffic fatalities are the 9% of
95:29 people who still don't buckle up. What if we just make seat belts great again?
95:34 As we pour billions into teaching cars how to drive like humans, places like
95:38 Helsinki are quietly asking a different question. What if we just stop designing
95:42 cities that let cars kill people in the first place? And that may end up being
95:46 the hardest problem autonomy can't solve. So what happens next? Whimo keeps expanding. Tesla keeps shipping new
95:56 versions of full self-driving. And to be fair, there is real progress. In early
96:02 2025, Whimo reported zero at fault injury crashes across more than 7
96:07 million fully driverless miles. There are asterisks to that safety record.
96:11 >> And the reason that you're seeing very, very low highway miles out of Whimo is
96:16 because this is where it's really dangerous. When you're going 65 m an
96:20 hour, this is when you can kill someone. So, I do think that highway driving is
96:24 going to continue to be an albatross around their neck, as is scaling. I
96:29 think Whimo is the more that they try to increase the fleet size, the holes in
96:34 the dikes are really starting to show. >> Right now, what we see is Tesla is not
96:40 yet even into scale up mode. They're still trying to get their technology
96:44 reliable enough that they can start to scale without human drivers involved.
96:48 This is not an overnight success story. This has always been a multi-deade slog.
96:53 And now we're a decade or two in and there's another decade or two to go. So,
96:57 if whi modes remain a city-by-city grind and Teslas remain a driver assist
97:02 system, where will we see full level 5 drive anywhere anytime autonomy first?
97:08 Probably somewhere like the port you hear behind me. Oakland has one of the largest ports in the country. And we're standing here.
97:19 You can see a constant stream of large trucks and shipping containers getting
97:24 unloaded from cargo ships coming and going all day every day. This is one of
97:29 the busiest ports in America. >> I expect it's much easier to succeed and
97:34 we've already seen successes in things like transportation enclosed environments like ports or logistics hubs, things like this. Those are the
97:42 easy pickings and that's where it's much easier to have success. You could just
97:46 see these epic lines of trucks and every single one of these guys is in their
97:52 truck cuz they're moving up probably a 50 100 ft every few minutes. And just
97:57 imagine a world where they could leave their trucks and maybe uh you know go
98:02 take a break or whatever and it would still move itself into line into the
98:06 loading zone. That that's kind of the dream of of what autonomy would look
98:10 like in a place like this. I just felt like the robo taxi application at the
98:16 time didn't tick all the boxes. It wasn't as compelling of an opportunity.
98:21 >> Kodiak CEO Don Bernett worked on Google self-driving cars. He didn't leave
98:26 because the tech stopped improving. He left because trucking offered a more
98:30 realistic path to realworld autonomy. Kodiak's approach reflects where most
98:35 experts think autonomy will arrive first. industrial sites like the Peran
98:39 Basin where Kodiak already runs highly autonomous operations. >> We work with a company called Atlas Energy. They're a sand mining company
98:48 that provides fracking sand for the oil and gas wells. The misconception about
98:53 the Perian is that it's actually remote and therefore there's no traffic. These
98:56 roads are heavily trafficked. There's a tremendous amount of trucks going in and
99:00 out delivering supplies, delivering sand, delivering fuel, delivering water, delivering electricity. And by the way, when I say these trucks are driverless,
99:08 they truly have nobody in the cab. There's no observer and we don't require
99:12 remote monitoring. So they are truly on their own out there. We fully trust them
99:17 to do all the tasks that a human would normally do in the truck delivering
99:21 across that entire uh you know multi-hour uh load delivery back and
99:26 forth. >> In mining in the closed industrial environments, level five is a thing and it's been a
99:33 thing for a long time. Look, it's the perfect setting. Dull, dirty, dangerous.
99:40 You can control the environment. You can control the people working in that
99:44 environment. Rioento is the company I've worked uh with directly, but many others
99:48 have fallen suit since then. >> Automation, at least in terms of
99:53 self-driving trucks and things like that, is kind of old hat in your
99:57 industry already. Yeah, we've been on an autonomous journey for over 15 years at
100:02 Riotinto. Uh where we started off with building the operation center
100:07 which is right behind me here where there's 600 people controlling the vast
100:13 array of activity that occurs 1500 km away in the Pilra. The first technology
100:19 that we implemented was autonomous trucks. The way we control activity here
100:25 in the control room does vary from activity to activity. For example, our
100:30 autonomous drills can be operated of one person up to eight drills. For
100:35 autonomous trucks, one person can operate up to 20 trucks.
100:43 Despite the concerns and criticisms, the expansion of robo taxis seems
100:47 inevitable. I even saw Whimo in lower Manhattan. The company confirmed this
100:53 car was driving autonomously with a trained specialist behind the wheel.
100:57 This is the first time I'm seeing a Whimo in New York City. This is crazy.
101:00 Look at this. It's here, but it's got a guy behind it.
101:05 It's coming. It's coming to New York City. This is crazy.
101:10 There it goes. Right side right outside our office. After spending about 6 or 7
101:15 hours total in Whimos, my experience is that the Whimo driver feels like someone
101:19 who's just learning how to drive. A little too hesitant, a little too heavy
101:23 on the brake, and definitely making some decisions that I found to be
101:27 questionable. Oh my gosh, it's like driving with somebody who
101:31 learned how to drive a month ago. People cut these cars off a lot because they
101:34 know it's not a person, so they don't give a and then it just like like
101:38 jerk jerk jerk, you know? I'm definitely going to get motion sickness before the
101:41 end of this video. I'm going to barf. And every single time
101:46 it does something like that, if I had an Uber or Lift driver who did that, I
101:49 would be giving them a one or two star rating. I'm sorry. When I took
101:52 a test drive of Tesla full self-driving, it just felt way less hesitant and more
101:57 like a human driver. >> You know, there's a couple moments in
102:00 everyone's life when they interact with a piece of technology that just
102:06 absolutely blows their mind. I can't believe uh what we experienced just now.
102:12 and uh going to need to take a minute to process this.
102:16 >> So, are AVs actually safer than human drivers? That may be the wrong question.
102:21 >> When we say so many someone is safer than a human, right? It's a very weak
102:26 argument for the general public. >> Highle statistics about safety are just
102:30 not how people judge these vehicles. They judge them incident by incident.
102:35 And every weird maneuver, every viral video, and every news story about a robo
102:40 taxi doing something it's not supposed to do costs the industry more than any
102:45 highlevel safety statistic can buy back. If you're selling on perfection, every
102:50 picture makes you look bad. >> So, here's a different pitch for robo
102:53 taxis that Phil thinks might actually work. >> We try and make the fewest mistakes possible. We're transparent that we
102:58 fixed it, and when we fixed it, it's really stays fixed. And by the way,
103:03 um we're not going to hide anything. You can trust us to
103:07 be transparent, to be good road users. Nobody Nobody's perfect.
103:11 >> Not perfect, but always improving. Then you can market robo taxis to users who
103:16 have already expressed high interest in them. Parents who are too busy to shle
103:20 their kids to all the different places they need to go, and people who just
103:24 never want to deal with another person in the car. And here is where I'll leave
103:28 you. It's important to keep in mind that many companies have already tried and
103:32 failed in the robo taxi endeavor. Argo AI, the startup from Ford and VW, shut
103:38 down. Apple quietly scrapped their self-driving car program after spending
103:42 billions of dollars on it. And Lyft and Uber sold off their autonomous vehicle
103:47 units. But those ride share players are reinvesting in the technology and more
103:51 companies are entering the space. Zuks owned by Amazon is already operating in
103:56 Las Vegas and San Francisco. Tesla already has cyber cabs rolling off the
104:00 factory floor. Lucid unveiled their robo taxi concept and Nvidia wants to build
104:05 the technology stack behind all of it. >> It's more peaceful than humans are
104:09 driving. >> These robo taxis will continue to be a
104:13 mix of impressive, frustrating, and potentially dangerous. But whatever happens next, whenever you see a self-driving car on the road, know that
104:23 right now someone somewhere is behind the wheel. Since the beginning of time, men have tested their strength by lifting the
104:33 heaviest rocks they could find. And there are few lifting stones as famous as this one.
104:42 >> The Husel stone weighs 410 lb. That's about the size of a small car engine.
104:48 Not only might we see a new world record, we could be in the presence of a
104:52 new legend. He's done it. The thing that I noticed is that thing is heavy
104:56 on the chest. It's hard to breathe. That was the hardest thing about that.
105:01 >> The Husfel stone from Iceland is so iconic that replicas of it are used in
105:06 strongman competitions around the world. The legend goes that the
105:10 triangular mass was the gate to a pastor's sheep pen. But the first person
105:15 to lift it and carry it around the rock wall wasn't a man at all.
105:21 >> It was actually the pastor's daughter. If the story is true, that makes Lea Engles and Sandra Bradley some of the
105:30 only women to pick up the stone in over 250 years.
105:35 >> Yes. >> It's like a puzzle you have to solve
105:38 because everybody has different levers and advantages and and strengths.
105:43 >> Come on. Yes. >> What's been the reaction since you've done this lift? I can't count how many
105:49 times I've read that my spine is going to pop out my back or my uterus is going
105:52 to fall out. >> Extend. Extend. >> Elite athletes today are bigger, stronger, and can lift heavier weights
106:00 than ever before. Even in the lowest weight classes, they lift twice, three times, or
106:10 even five times their own body weight. Wow, that's a wild amount of weight.
106:20 >> The heaviest conventional lifts of all time are somewhere between,00 and,500 lb
106:27 and only a handful of athletes are capable of inching those numbers higher.
106:36 >> In this video, we're doing a deep dive into all the factors making this new era
106:41 of human strength possible. How how big can human muscles be? We don't really
106:46 know. >> And by the end, we'll answer the question, what's the maximum weight a human being can lift?
106:53 >> And away we go. LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, HERE EDDIE HALL LIFTS THE HALF
107:03 500 KG. Until strongman Eddie Hall did it in 2016, people weren't convinced a
107:10 500 kg or about,00 lb deadlift was even possible. But records don't seem to be slowing down. In 2020, Edd's was broken by half
107:21 Thor Bjornson, the strongman and actor from Game of Thrones.
107:27 I doubt that you are human sometimes. Yeah. People have doubted it for a long time. Yeah. without proof that I'm
107:36 human. I tore a pack. Remember? Oh, that's true. >> In strongman competitions, the lifter is allowed to wear a suit and straps to
107:44 help with their grip. This differs from raw powerlifting in which the suit is
107:49 not allowed. It could be argued that raw powerlifting is a more pure test of strength. But as you could see from this chart, all of
107:59 the heaviest lifts of all time used some kind of equipment. And that allows the
108:05 athletes to add several more plates to their heaviest lifts.
108:09 And if we're purely talking about the heaviest weights a human can lift, an
108:13 elevated bar is an easy adjustment that allows strong men to lift way more.
108:18 Thor's 501 kg lift was with a standard barbell that sits 9 in off the ground.
108:25 But elevate the weight to 18 in and the world record climbs to 580 kg. And at 27
108:32 in off the ground, it stands at a massive 670 kg.
108:38 But for the strong men looking to prove themselves, the standard bar deadlift
108:41 has become one of the key benchmarks of human strength. That's like good
108:46 musicians, artist, anything. They they do masterpieces and it look like zero
108:51 effort. So I think my friend AI is a true artist in in the ways in the
108:55 manners of the deadlift. Yeah. Just wanted to say that. Thank you.
109:02 What is that in here? >> Other people have argued that the
109:06 ultimate test of strength is how much weight you can hoist over your head. In
109:11 that case, we'll have to look at Olympic weightlifting. But compared to the
109:15 recent string of record-breaking and strongman competitions, Olympic weightlifting records are a different story.
109:21 >> It certainly felt as though all of the biggest lifts were hit in the 80s. It
109:26 actually dropped off for 30 plus years. >> In the 1970s, the Soviet lifter Vicilia
109:32 Alexv set 80 world records. He was famous for increasing his lifts as
109:37 gradually as possible, sometimes by as little as 500 g. Because each time he
109:43 broke a record, he received a payout from the Soviet state. And
109:48 almost 50 years later, the Clean and Jerk world record now stands at only 11
109:53 kg more than his 256 kg best. Compare this to deadlifting where in the
109:59 last 50 years, the world records have risen by over 120 kg.
110:05 >> And it's really only since 2016, there's this one guy who's turned up from
110:10 Georgia, Lash Talakadzi, and he has started to break alltime world records
110:15 again. And because he's a super heavyweight, these are sort of the
110:19 absolute most weights that any human has ever put overhead.
110:22 >> He secured his third Olympic gold medal in the Paris games. What do you think it
110:26 is that is getting that getting him to be able to move that needle again in
110:31 terms of inching up these these weights? >> He's like a larger scale human. He's
110:36 extremely tall. So he's in proportion to the most athletic smaller weightlifters
110:42 just scaled up. And so that allows him because he's taller, he has a greater
110:46 distance to pull the bar, to accelerate the bar. The bar can reach greater
110:51 speeds. These lifts are incredibly impressive, especially considering that Olympians are always subject to drug testing
110:59 before they compete. >> You think that everybody's clean and
111:02 then you learn a little bit and you think that nobody's clean and then you
111:06 learn and you stay in the spot for much longer and suddenly you feel like you
111:10 actually have no idea what's going on. We'll get into steroids more later.
111:14 They're an open secret in strength sports. But steroid use can only enhance
111:19 what's already there. With giants like Eddie Hall, Halfthor, and Lasha roaming the Earth, we know that size matters.
111:28 Over the past 150 years of industrial civilization, people have just grown
111:33 bigger with easy access to lots of calories and eliminating a lot of the
111:39 things that used to kill us before we could grow up. But here's the thing,
111:44 science hasn't really cracked the code on what it takes to become super strong.
111:51 That's partly because elite athletes rarely take the time out of their busy
111:55 training schedules to sit for the kind of observation and testing that
111:59 scientists like to do. >> There have been case studies from very high-profile athletes in other sports.
112:08 Nobody really from strength and power sports. >> So that's why it was such a big deal when Eddie Hall agreed to go through a
112:14 series of tests at Laugh University in the United Kingdom.
112:17 >> Do you know what you are already? You know, I've been I've been treated as a
112:21 guinea pig for the last 10 years of my life. Really, every day's uh uh I'm sort
112:25 of poking and pruging at myself to see what I could do with my body. So, I'm
112:28 just used to it by now. Here, we're testing all the different variants of my
112:32 muscles and my and my tendons and ligaments and everything.
112:37 >> So, what did they discover? >> So, his overall lower body muscle mass
112:41 was bigger than any individual or groups that we've measured before, more than
112:45 twice that of untrained controls. The scans of Eddie's legs are on the left
112:50 and the images on the right are of an average person.
112:53 >> But what was really interesting is that there was a pattern to that muscularity.
112:57 Some muscles were only a little bit bigger actually, you know, maybe only 25
113:02 30% bigger than untrained controls. Other muscles were three times as big.
113:06 So 200% bigger. >> Three specific muscles in Eddie's leg
113:11 were much larger than anybody else. the sartorius, graasilus, and
113:17 semmitendinosis, also known as the guy muscles. >> The three muscles that help provide stability to the um thigh and hip
113:27 >> muscles that are really important for doing, you guessed it, really heavy
113:32 deadlifts. The team also discovered that when compared to other professional
113:36 athletes, Eddie is still in a class of his own. Quite similarly uh with his uh
113:42 counter movement jump power output, his peak power output, uh he was about 40%
113:49 more powerful than the highest values in the published research literature that
113:55 come from professional basketball players. >> On this chart, Eddie's the X in the top right corner.
114:02 When it came time to test the strength of Eddie's deadlift, he may have
114:06 accidentally given us a preview of where human strength could be headed next.
114:12 >> 3 2 1 >> That's 7,483 newtons. That's about 750 kilos. That's
114:26 equal to a force 250 kg more than the current world records.
114:32 >> I think I'll leave it to that guys pulling me neck.
114:36 >> Is that all right? >> Yeah. >> So, now we're getting a little bit closer to understanding the idea of
114:41 theoretical maximum human strength. take a massive human being, train them in a
114:47 few specific body movements, maybe feed them a little bit of steroids, and
114:52 pretty soon we'll have somebody who can deadlift 750 kg.
114:57 Sound about right? Well, what if I told you that the Guinness Book of
115:01 World Records records the heaviest lift of all time at over three times that
115:06 amount of weight? Jesus. >> That record belongs to this guy right here.
115:20 >> Hello. Uh yeah, I'm I'm Greg Ernst. Uh and uh I live in Nova Scotia. I'm a
115:27 farmer and a blacksmith and uh I guess I'm the guy so far that the man that's
115:33 lifted the most. >> He also sings gospel music with his
115:37 family in case that wasn't clear. In 1993, Greg set a world record with a
115:42 type of lift that you just don't see that much anymore.
115:49 >> For the past few years, Greg seems to be lifting everything and anything and
115:53 breaking records along the way. The oxen may not be impressed, but the crowds
115:58 keep coming back. Just two weeks ago, in a driving rainstorm at this country
116:03 exhibition, Greg did something no man has ever done. Using a specially built
116:08 platform, he lifted two Ford Festivas and their drivers. Total weight 5,340
116:16 lb. There was press there. There was a lot of people gathered and it was a real
116:21 uh spectacle. So, what what did you do to prepare for that? And what do you
116:25 remember about the day? >> It was wet. It it really it really
116:30 rained hard. It was so hard to keep your hand the the hand board dry enough that
116:35 your hands wouldn't slip off. That was the big problem.
116:39 >> And you got big hands. Let's see your hands. You've got gigantic hands.
116:44 >> The reason you've probably never heard of Greg's record is because a backlft is
116:48 sort of an oldtimey strongman thing to do. It's the kind of lift that you might
116:53 see before the days of television when strong men would travel around
116:57 attracting crowds to watch them do their feats of strength. In 1957, legendary
117:03 American strongman Paul Anderson allegedly lifted 6,270 lb, almost 1,000 lb more than Greg's record, but it was never verified,
117:14 unlike Greg, who had people from the Guinness Book on site when he did his
117:18 lift in 1993. Why do you think that the backlift is
117:22 not really part of most strongman competitions? And and do you think it's
117:26 something that should come back? I I would I think it should come back.
117:31 >> Greg only lifted the cars about an inch or two off the ground. In this footage,
117:35 it's almost imperceptible. >> I'll tell you the reason, and this is
117:39 what if there's anybody listening that wants to try this, which which I I
117:44 recommend, but you just got to be careful. Um, and that is and that is if you happen to hyperextend that knee, those knees, like
117:53 you get to the top and you bend your a little back bend in that knee and that
117:59 weight comes down, uh, it it'll tear your knee, it'll it'll
118:03 it'll just destroy your legs. >> And in addition to that high risk for
118:07 injury, it's just less impressive than some of the events you can see in
118:11 strongman competitions today. None of these events approach Greg's record, but
118:16 they're just really cool to watch. But the Guinness record isn't the only thing
118:20 Greg is known for. Remember the Husfel Stone? He set a new world record with
118:25 that as well in the early days of the World's Strongest Man competition.
118:30 It wasn't seriously challenged until almost 30 years later when Halfdor came
118:35 onto the scene. And there was one really important thing that Greg says set him
118:40 apart from his competitors. They always trained and competed completely
118:44 drug-free and it was a huge disadvantage when you were at World's Strongest Man. Uh because
118:53 there were there was virtually nobody who who did it that way. Well, my my
118:58 strength uh was I on the farm. So, I had dairy cattle, we had some beef, so I had
119:06 access to all the milk and meat uh that I that I wanted. Um, and so for
119:12 instance, you know, in the height of my training, I I I would uh down a five
119:18 pound roast, a beef roast a day, I would down two gallons of milk a day. If
119:24 somebody comes along and does it like like I did it,
119:28 fine. Like as far as I'm concerned, the guys with superior nutrition, if they
119:32 they to be on par equal, should you be about seven grand 7,000?
119:38 Just to make that clear, Greg's saying if we could get someone with modern
119:42 nutrition and training to do a backlift like he did, that lift could clock in
119:46 somewhere over 7,000 lb. That's almost six times the weight of the deadlift
119:51 record. >> And so they're just it's it's just something that uh your body is hooked up for.
120:01 >> And you're so you're so you're saying your body was hooked up for this
120:05 backlift? >> >> Yeah, my body was there's two things I was pretty bloody good at and that was
120:09 rock rock stone lifting and and this backlifting. And there's some guys that
120:15 are hooked up uh for overhead pressing for instance or bench pressing.
120:20 They can't they can't deadlift what they can bench, but they're hooked up for
120:24 bench. And then there's some guys that are great deadlifters.
120:27 >> What Greg is talking about is a concept known as leverage. Certain body types
120:32 are just built differently and those special proportions can give someone an
120:37 advantage when it comes to lifting weights. And that's why I called this
120:42 guy. >> Hey Dan. >> Hey. What's going on, Mike? >> Uh, nothing. Nothing. So, just uh got
120:50 back from work. >> Awesome. Uh, what do you do for a job?
120:54 >> Uh, I work a steel fabrication shop. I I uh run a CNC and weld mostly.
121:01 >> We're here in Allentown. We made it to Allentown, Pennsylvania, and we're going
121:04 to go meet with Mike Coons, who is a powerlifter, record holder, and is going
121:11 to help us understand a little bit more what goes into the strength requirements
121:15 to lift the biggest amount of weight possible. >> If we're talking about the maximum weight you can lift compared to your
121:22 body weight, Mike is the person to beat. He set a powerlifting world record for
121:27 his raw squat of just over 250 kg. That means he lifted over four times his
121:34 own body weight. And that's something these bigger lifters can't compete with.
121:38 Compare that to Eddie Hall or Hathaor who can only squat 2 and 1/2 times their
121:42 body weight. Okay, so let's go inside. Mike's competed in powerlifting since he was a little kid.
121:56 We spent a day with him to see how his unique proportions affect his strength.
122:01 >> Hey, Mike. >> Oh, hey there. >> How's it going, man? Nice to meet you. >> Yeah. Yeah.
122:10 >> That that I mean that's got to weigh what, like 70 lbs. No,
122:13 >> I'd have to Yeah. at least. I'd have to look at the the papers and stuff to see,
122:17 but yeah, this stuff's >> And this is Yeah. grade A572 steel, so
122:21 it's dense >> and stuff and everything. >> So, in other words, In other words, this is part of your warm-up, right?
122:26 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I think if it not a if not for powerlifting, a person of my
122:31 size wouldn't fare too well in this line of work.
122:34 >> Yeah, for sure. >> When you were like, let's say when you
122:36 were a kid, when you first started lifting, how old were you? I started
122:40 training uh about 10, 11 years old. >> Mike's first coach was his dad, Don. >> Hi.
122:50 >> Hey, I'm Dan. >> Hi. I'm Dan. I'm Don.
122:52 >> Good to meet you, Don. >> Good to meet you.
122:54 >> Yeah. This is Mike at 9 years old before he started uh training.
122:59 >> And he came home one day from school visibly upset and I said, "What's the
123:03 problem?" And it was his classmates were picking teams for sports and he's always
123:09 the one that gets picked last. And you know he he said they picked for baseball
123:13 in the last one. They picked for football in the last one. They picked
123:16 for basketball. I said, "Well, you're not built for basketball." He goes,
123:19 "Well, what am I built for?" And I'm thinking, "Okay, Dad, think quick." I
123:23 said, "You know what? You're built for power and we're going down in the
123:26 basement to lift weights. Let's go." And that's how it started.
123:34 All right. So, this is it. This is the uh this is the dungeon.
123:39 >> This is it. This is the uh the pit.
123:44 >> So, what do you have down here? That's that.
123:46 >> Well, we have a squat rack here. So, we do our barbell squats in here.
123:49 >> Uhhuh. >> And the uh the cross bars in case we
123:51 miss. >> Right. >> All right. Um I have a chin-up bar here. I do chin-ups, pull-ups, and I also do
123:59 inversion. This is This looks about the size of like the kind of plate you'd
124:03 have at like a Blink Fitness or something like that. But this is a 100
124:07 lb plate. >> Yeah. And these are And York >> Yorks run heavy. >> You know, if you stretch this,
124:13 >> that's feels stretchy. This feels stretchy. >> I'm going to try the try the squat suit. >> There's There's absolutely no stretch in
124:20 the Here, take this one back. There's no stretch in this. And the idea is that
124:24 it's keeping the hips tight, right? >> Correct. Y >> that's that's the idea of this. So, how would you describe the way that his body
124:30 works in in how it helps him for powerlifting? >> Well, his range of motion is advantageous to the barbell squat and to
124:40 the bench press, and it's very disadvantageous to the deadlift.
124:44 The best deadlifters have long limbs and a short spine. Mike's just the opposite.
124:49 >> So, to see how that works, it was time to hit the gym. We came to this gym to
124:54 see how Mike's leverages give him an advantage in two exercises, the
124:58 squat and the bench press. >> When I was younger, I could warm up
125:02 quicker, but now that I'm getting older, got to throw a couple more sets in, get
125:07 everything nice and loose. >> We slowed down this footage to see how
125:10 big of a difference it is between Mike's squat and mine. He just has much less
125:16 distance to cover based on his proportions. So, so basically the point Yeah. >> So, you've got you're missing a like
125:24 it's like about a 12 degree uh missing from straining out full extension. Plus,
125:30 you're also jacked. So, >> it's like when people say other
125:34 powerlifters, I wish you had your leverages. Yeah. Until you have to use
125:37 equipment or you want to grab something on a top shelf at the grocery store,
125:40 then you don't want my leverages. Then you see if you want them then.
125:45 And it's the same story with Mike's bench press. But here is where Mike's body starts to work against him. This motion
125:55 technically should be able to move the most amount of weight because you're
125:59 engaging your back, your arms, and your legs. Here, Mike has to start bent over
126:05 the bar, which makes it harder to initiate the lift and requires a bigger
126:10 surge of effort at the beginning. When it comes to the deadlift, a short
126:15 torso can handle a much heavier load. And that's why Stuart Jameson has been
126:20 called the most anatomically perfect deadlobida, a condition in which his spinal cord failed to develop properly.
126:42 and he's missing half a rib cage. But the length of his limbs in comparison
126:47 with his short torso gives him the perfect leverages for deadlifting.
126:54 So now that we understand the concept of leverages, let's return to the original
126:58 question. What's the maximum amount of weight that a human being can lift?
127:03 Right now, the world's strongest men are competing to break half Thor's record
127:09 and trying to deadlift 505 kg. The good news is that athletes like Thor and
127:15 Mitchell Hooper, the Arnold Strongman winner for the last 3 years in a row,
127:19 share a lot about how they train. These men will soon face off in a competition
127:24 to see who can lift 505 kg. >> I will pull. I will pull five. about the
127:31 dates and location that's still being finalized. >> Mitchell has outlaid his plan on his YouTube channel.
127:37 >> It's going to be a lot of volume in bodybuilding to grow some muscle
127:40 mass in two particular areas for me. One is going to be my legs and two is going
127:45 to be my spinal erectors. And meanwhile, Halfthor is already
127:49 making a 460 kg lift look easy. A lot of this training is not rocket science. It's using the basics of what
128:10 science knows about how to build muscle by approaching maximal effort and
128:15 strategically adding weight to get closer and closer to a goal. It also
128:19 requires proper nutrition and a lot of calories. Yes, I I cook all the food for
128:26 half for uh every day, six days a week. He has one cheat day.
128:31 >> Thor consumes nearly 10,000 calories daily. That's over three times the
128:36 intake of an average American. >> 350 g rice, uh 125 g tentalon, 100 g
128:46 vegetable. His go-to beverage is a smoothie made with Greek yogurt, orange
128:50 juice, and olive oil. >> I drink that with meals most of the
128:56 time. >> And another drink with frozen berries and almond butter. >> It's really nice.
129:03 >> They blend together. It's like a dessert in >> it also involves a lot of back and leg strengthening exercises.
129:11 Then there's the idea that just having someone to compete with is what drives
129:16 elite athletes to lift heavier and heavier weights. Science backs this up. >> A 2015 study found that when presented
129:27 with a physical effort task, study subjects performed better in a
129:31 competitive environment when they thought they were competing against another person. That effect was more pronounced among the male test subjects.
129:39 One thing that all strength competitors have in common is that they're able to
129:44 override an important part of the brain that stops them from lifting heavier
129:48 weights. The neurological system controls the muscles of the body if the
129:53 brain senses a weight is too heavy. It overrides the muscles and shuts them
129:57 down to avoid injury. Reducing these neurological inhibitions can lead to
130:02 bigger lifts. Just ask Eddie Hall. I had to take myself to a zone where no other
130:10 man has been. You I wasn't there. I wasn't in the arena pulling 500 kil off
130:14 the floor. Basically, I trained my mind to a point where I was able to picture
130:20 myself on a motorway in a car accident with my kids trapped under a car lifting
130:26 a car off of my kids. And it wasn't until I locked out that deadlift. I It's
130:31 almost as if I just woke up just >> It's not just elite athletes who can
130:36 override the brain's control over the muscles. There are countless urban
130:40 legends of regular people exhibiting what's known as hysterical strength, a
130:46 sudden almost superhuman burst of power triggered by adrenaline. These hormones act like rocket fuel for your body. Your heart pumps faster. Your
130:57 lungs gulp oxygen. And blood floods your muscles. It's fight orflight mode. And
131:03 suddenly, your muscles can contract harder and faster than they ever could
131:06 before. By harnessing this hysterical strength and overriding the body's safety limits, athletes can push even harder,
131:15 activating more motor units in their muscles and building strength that's
131:19 closer to their true maximum capacity. So, where do we go from here? Are we done when it comes to pushing human
131:31 strength to its limits? Not quite. There's one more area we need to
131:36 discuss. The elephant in the room, steroids. Performance-enhancing drugs are at the center of controversy in strength
131:43 sports. Athletes from bodybuilders to strong men commonly use these substances
131:48 to boost their strength, recover faster, and build muscle more effectively.
131:54 A study from 2012 showed that anabolic steroids could increase strength by
131:58 about 5 to 20% in the test subject. And it's been estimated that as many as 4
132:03 million Americans regularly use anabolic steroids for athletic or cosmetic
132:08 purposes. I know for damn near a fact that essentially no one at the top of Strong Men is natural. When you're asking
132:17 people if they're natty or not, you're asking them to um admit to the
132:22 commission of crimes. Knowing the legal landscape that athletes have to
132:26 traverse, I say I would consider highly discourteous and impolite to ask
132:29 athletes on camera if they're on steroids or not. I think it's absurd.
132:33 >> There's no denying that pads are prevalent in strength sports. Many top
132:37 athletes like Thor Bjornson have admitted to using them. And while
132:41 there's a stigma around their use, the question arises, what if we removed the
132:45 stigma? That's where the enhanced games comes in. Dubbed the steroid Olympics and pitched as a byproduct of Trump's
132:53 America after huge investment from Donald Trump Jr., the media has claimed the enhanced games aren't possible.
133:02 But in Trump's America, >> the impossible is what we do best.
133:07 >> The enhanced games, a new Olympics for a new golden age. And they want to run
133:12 events where doping is completely allowed. >> >> I believe that all human beings are
133:18 enhanced. We're almost cybernetic beings now. We have a uh an almost
133:24 symbiotic relationship with digital devices, particularly mobile phones. And so I think of um our objectives in the enhanced movement as building
133:36 superhumity. And I define superhumity as where we are no longer limited by our
133:42 biology. Aaron believes that performance-enhancing drugs won't just enhance strength, they'll allow athletes to reach new limits that were
133:50 previously thought impossible. I think world records are going to be
133:53 demolished. >> But when so many in strength sports are
133:57 already taking performance-enhancing drugs, the question is how much further
134:00 can we actually go? >> >> I would say like realistically what someone could survive uh for you know 8
134:08 weeks of this kind of thing is three grams of testosterone. Your body weekly
134:14 makes about 75 millig to put that in perspective. Take you know as many IUs
134:21 of growth hormone as you could take until you have so much body water that
134:24 you have sleep apnea and you can't sleep anymore or your hands don't close
134:27 anymore because you have so much body water on your hands that you can't
134:30 actually grab a deadlift bar. I've only known a few people to do
134:33 something like this and any given day that they wake up is a blessing to them.
134:37 I'll say that no one's having any fun anymore at this point by the way. Um and
134:42 uh but you will get stronger. Holy, you'll get stronger. Yeah. There you go.
134:48 He is tearing into this thing. >> But even with this perfect balance of
134:52 genetics, advanced nutrition, and performance-enhancing drugs, when we've already pushed our bodies to the absolute limit, any advancement on our
135:00 current records is going to be incremental. >> In the deadlift, it does depend really on how you measure the deadlifts on and
135:06 so forth. But I think um uh something like a 1,200 lb deadlift maybe 1,100 uh
135:13 to,200 lb with without straps I think is possible. You would say like oh like you
135:18 know that's not a lot but what we see with lifting as it gets heavier
135:23 and as it approaches the human body's limits is that it gets exponentially
135:27 more difficult to gain strength. >> Come on. Let's go for the record.
135:33 >> Come on. And so really it's easy to look at a world record in the squad of like
135:41 roughly 1100 and say like yeah someone could do 1150 but people have been
135:46 trying for a long time that it just does not work out like that. So only by
135:50 injecting a ton of variation and new talent into the sport can we see with
135:55 many years the numbers climb to such high levels with sort of unmodified
136:00 humans as they typically present in the world. >> >> Oh my god.
136:10 >> Wow. >> Come on, judges. >> That's a good lift. >> Yes.
136:16 >> Ladies and gentlemen, you just witnessed history. >> You just witnessed history. >> Look at that crowd, too.
136:26 >> Never been done before. Have you ever wondered how deep we could dig into the Earth? No one's ever gone
136:36 deeper than 12 km, which is about 7 1/2 m. That's deeper than Mount
136:42 Everest is tall. And that took the Soviets 20 years. Still, it's just a
136:48 scratch on the surface, a mere 0.2% of the way to the Earth's core. It
136:53 turns out that the deeper you go, the more the Earth pushes back. But new
136:58 technology could make it possible to dig further. >> Whoa. Isn't that insane? >> It just started to fly apart.
137:09 Just so you could see how this rock became literally
137:14 glass. And this could be the ticket to unlimited clean energy.
137:19 >> Just depths down to 6 km that you could produce 1,400 g of new of
137:24 new geothermal power. That's bigger than the current US power grid.
137:28 >> So, can these drilling techniques make a 20 km hole possible? And
137:32 how far down can we actually go? Remember the space race between the US and the USSR? At the very same time,
137:43 another race was underway. Not toward the moon, but deep beneath our feet. And
137:48 this time, the Americans didn't win. The ultimate goal was scientific.
137:53 The US started with project mohole in the 1960s, which hopes one day to drill
137:58 a hole through the crust of the earth and to find out what's down there. The
138:02 idea was simple. Drill through the ocean floor where the earth's crust is thinner
138:07 and reach the mantle. In theory, it was the fastest way down. To find a
138:12 suitable spot to dig, researchers actually dropped bombs into the ocean.
138:16 >> 3 2 1 zero. Over the side. Over the side. The charge is over the side.
138:28 >> It doesn't get any more American than that. Then they used sonar readouts to
138:33 measure the thickness of the Earth's crust. But after years of work and
138:37 millions of dollars, it made it just 183 m into the seabed. That's less than two
138:43 football fields. The project was eventually cut short due to lack of
138:47 funding, but the techniques they developed led to a boom in offshore oil
138:51 drilling. Meanwhile, the Soviet Union began drilling on the Cola Peninsula in the Arctic Circle. Back then, researchers
138:58 expected to hit 15 km, about 9.3 mi. But after 20 years of drilling, they reached
139:04 a depth of 12,262 m. That's deeper than the deepest point
139:10 of the ocean, the Mariana Trench, located in the Pacific Ocean. Since
139:14 then, there have been oil wells that dug for longer stretches, like the Alshaheen
139:18 well in Qatar and one in Russia. But this type of exploratory drilling
139:24 doesn't actually go straight down. These types of wells often veer sideways for
139:28 long stretches looking for those reservoirs of hydrocarbons. So to this day, the cola bore hole remains the deepest vertical hole. Cola was
139:38 sealed with a metal cap and abandoned. It looks like this. One of the reasons
139:42 the drilling was forced to stop is because the team encountered higher
139:45 temperatures than expected. And this is the biggest challenge when it
139:49 comes to digging deep heat. Because the deeper you go, the hotter it gets. As we
139:55 get below sort of 12, 15, 18,000 ft, we're getting into very hot uh
140:02 formations, very high temperatures where actual drilling tools are struggling
140:07 to survive. So, if we want to go deeper than cola, we need tech that can
140:11 withstand temperatures that rise about 25° C per km. Look at the geothermal
140:17 gradient and you can see the heat increase isn't linear. Things get super
140:21 hot long before you reach the mantle, a layer of Earth that no one has yet hit.
140:25 As you go deeper still, temperatures can climb into the thousands of degrees. In
140:30 fact, 99% of Earth's mass is hotter than 1,000° C. But that heat is also exactly
140:37 what makes geothermal energy possible. Because if we can tap into it, it
140:42 becomes a near limitless source of clean power. Right now, geothermal meets less
140:46 than 1% of global energy demand. But if the technology keeps getting better,
140:50 geothermal could cover up to 15% of the world's new electricity demand by 2050.
140:56 So, how does it work? Inject water deep underground or dig into existing
141:00 reservoirs. Then use heat from the earth to turn it into steam. That steam spins
141:06 turbines and generates electricity. Unlike solar and wind, geothermal could
141:10 provide electricity 24 hours a day and all year round. This is exactly what
141:15 happens in places like Iceland, where volcanic activity brings a lot of
141:19 that underground heat closer to the surface. >> In Iceland, they actually made contact with magma at only 2 and 1/2 km
141:26 below the surface. Iceland's large-scale shift to geothermal energy was driven by
141:31 the 1973 oil crisis when rising prices and geopolitical instability highlighted
141:37 the risks of energy dependence. At the time, half of the homes relied
141:41 on imported fossil fuel for heating, which was expensive for the country. So,
141:46 Iceland turned underground. Today, nearly 30% of the country's electricity
141:50 comes from geothermal. And about 90% of homes there are heated this way. And
141:55 Iceland is not alone. Take a look at this map. Geothermal shows up all along
142:00 the ring of fire where tectonic plates converge. But there's a catch. Most places where geothermal energy works only dig down
142:09 about 2 to 3 km because that heat is close to the surface. Now, if we
142:14 wanted to make geothermal work in more places, we're going to have to go much,
142:19 much deeper. That's why we're in Houston, Texas today, and we're going to
142:22 a company called Quaz that's digging deeper using literal energy beams to
142:28 vaporize rock. >> All right. So, this is where the magic
142:31 happens. >> This is where the magic happens. Quaz is a startup with a very ambitious
142:37 goal. They want to be able to drill down to 20 kilometers underground. At that
142:44 depth, the temperature can reach up to 500° C, which is enough to destroy any
142:50 kind of conventional drilling equipment. That's why they're using something called millimeter wave. And the idea
142:57 behind it is that it's using a special kind of technology that comes from
143:02 fusion energy to literally shoot at the rock and vaporize it, melting it into
143:09 glass. In the simplest layman's terms possible, what is millimeter wave
143:14 drilling? >> Millave drilling is using microwave to do dialectric heating to get to very uh hot rock.
143:23 Conventional drilling uses a mechanical bit to pulverize rock, but at extreme
143:28 depths, it gets harder to power the system and it breaks a lot. Quaz uses
143:34 electromagnetic energy to melt rock and in theory, the millimeter waves
143:38 maintain their power even over long distances. It took MIT over a decade to
143:44 develop this technique in a lab. The device that creates the energy beam
143:48 hot enough to do this is called a gyroron and it actually originates in
143:53 nuclear fusion energy. >> It actually is the device that converts
143:56 electrical power to microwave power. Um that's important for us because it's
144:02 able to make uh upward of a megawatt of microwave power.
144:06 >> You can see that the magnets's on cuz it's using electromagnetism. So
144:10 apparently I don't know what would happen. Would it would it suck it would
144:13 suck our cameras right to it or >> it could disturb some of it? Yeah. We
144:17 don't bring our phones in there. We don't bring any kind of tools that are
144:20 magnetic in there. >> Oh, okay. So, it could fly it.
144:23 >> It's like an MRI machine. >> Oh, it's like an MRI. So, yeah. You know
144:25 what? And actually, and actually, if you hear I'm going to put the microphone
144:29 closer to there. If you hear it, actually sounds exactly like an MRI. If
144:33 you've ever gotten an MRI. So, listen to this. >> Sounds like an MRI. That's actually the sound of the cooling system. The
144:43 gyrotron's superconducting magnet needs to stay near -270° C to function properly. Quaise channels the beam through a hollow pipe that
144:54 looks like it has screw threads inside. >> So what you see here is the the wave
144:58 guide. And so the millimeter wave is actually going inside there
145:03 um all the way to the bottom. So basically, Henry, this kind of pipe is
145:07 what's going to be going all the way down any hole you dig, right?
145:10 >> That's right. So we start with a conventional drill rig to drill as deep
145:14 as they can and then we come without technology. >> So the Quaz approach is less like drilling and more like burning a hole
145:21 through the earth. In theory, this solves one of the biggest
145:24 problems. If nothing touches the rock, nothing overheats. The way we address it
145:29 is that we we're not putting equipment downhole that could be
145:33 subjected to the temperature that could damage or that could fail the drilling
145:37 process in that regards. And so we're not obviously eliminating the heat.
145:40 Obviously, we want to get to the heat, but we're able to to continue drilling
145:44 uh in spite of the heat in that regards, right? Here's why they want rock that
145:48 hot. At those temperatures and pressures, water enters a fourth state
145:52 called superc critical. It's not quite gas and it's not quite liquid and it
145:57 carries far more energy than steam. Qua says a single superc critical well could
146:03 produce up to 10 times as much energy as a conventional geothermal project. And
146:09 Quaz gave us a live demonstration on how they plan to reach it. We're going to
146:13 put in earplugs, not because of the the millimeter wave, but because the
146:17 compressed air that comes in to the system is very loud. So, I'm putting in
146:22 earplugs right now. Whoa. >> The light is completely bright. I guess
146:34 you can see how the air is pushing all the other stuff out of the way.
146:38 Wow. >> About 30 seconds. >> Okay, 30. It says 30 more seconds to go. Wow, that's pretty cool.
146:47 That's it. Oh man, that's so cool. Wow. And you could you could see it's like it's like lava cooling, right? I would
146:58 say the heat hitting my hands right now is probably like,
147:02 you know, a campfire that has died down. Not hot, not too hot to to to touch. I
147:08 haven't put that on yet. >> I could still hear it crackling, which
147:13 is kind of uh gnarly, but we're going to just so you could see how this rock
147:19 became literally glass. If the drilling thing doesn't work out, maybe you guys can like use this to like get into a bank vault or
147:28 something. I don't know. >> Well, we said that we just make
147:31 ashtrays. I know people don't smoke anymore. That would be an awesome ashtray. to understand what they might encounter
147:36 deep underground. Quaise hauls huge chunks of rock into the lab. We're out
147:41 back at the lab now. These are 10,000 pound loes of rock and they represent
147:47 the different kinds of rock that quaz might encounter once they start digging
147:51 down. They use these for testing and uh they're very heavy and very expensive to
147:55 get here. How the hell do you move these things?
147:57 >> It is incredibly expensive. Obviously, you need a big forklift that can
148:00 actually obviously carry the weight. Uh but it's also incredibly expensive in
148:05 terms of just getting it from the query of this size
148:08 >> to us as well. And it's just part of business.
148:11 >> But even if you solve heat, there's another problem, pressure. There are
148:15 even more challenges that you have to deal with when you're digging super
148:18 deep. And in order to show you what that looks like, we came to the Weiss Energy
148:22 Hall here at the Houston Museum of Natural Science. So, we're going to take
148:26 you around and show you a couple of exhibits that show you in a way that you
148:29 can't see anywhere else. So, what you see above me is a gigantic
148:34 representation of a drill bit coming down a bore hole. Obviously, this is
148:39 probably, I don't know, 30, 40 times the scale, but it gives you a sense of how
148:45 these rotating bits create a momentum going down into the hole, removing
148:50 material and pushing it out towards the sides. So, once you're getting down
148:55 deeper and deeper, the rock isn't just hot, it's also heavy. That's what
149:00 engineers called lithostatic pressure. At 10 km down, you're under 40,000 lb of
149:07 pressure per square in. You're basically trying to hold something open that wants
149:12 to close. So, what engineers do is something that might seem
149:16 counterintuitive. They're actually filling the holes that they dig with
149:21 drilling mud. And this drilling mud does three things. First of all, it cools the
149:26 bit. Second of all, it lubricates the entire system. And third of
149:30 all, it counteracts the pressure that's acting on the bore hole as they go
149:34 deeper and deeper. What this display is showing is that this mud has a viscosity that's meant to slow down the flow of the balls
149:45 going downwards. And you could see how getting that and dialing that in just
149:49 right is important to keeping the bore hole stable. As you go deeper, something
149:54 even stranger happens. The rock stops acting like a solid block and starts
149:59 acting more like plastic. That's where casing comes in because it's
150:05 holding up the sides of the bore hole as you go down and allowing you to drop a
150:10 narrower and narrower channel of pipe down to reach those deeper depths. So,
150:14 as you could see from this example, we've started out with the widest
150:19 possible drilling bore, which is 16 in, and it goes all the way down
150:23 to 5 1/2 in. Quaz believes their system could also solve the casing issue. As
150:29 the rock melted by the millimeter waves cools, it solidifies into a
150:34 glassy lining around the bore hole. That creates a hardened layer that will help
150:39 keep the hole stable. just to feel the the texture of it is that it
150:44 does I do feel that volcanic glass feel. It reminds me of, you know, when you had
150:48 a piece of obsidian. If you ever had a rock collection at home, that's really
150:50 what it feels like. In other words, it's a sort of readymade casing. But can this
150:56 work at extreme depths? Over the years, Quaz has proven they could dig past 100
151:00 m. And now they've set up a test site in Marble Falls, Texas, where
151:04 they're aiming to reach 1 kilometer by the end of the year. We really want to
151:08 show that we're going to do a kilometer and it's really to show that we're very
151:12 close to our goal of 10 km. It's a 10x more, but 1 kilometer really gives you
151:19 that depth where it is a viable option from a field point of view.
151:23 >> We hit the road to find out. This morning, we're heading from Houston,
151:27 Texas, where Quaz's lab is, to their test site in Marble Falls, which is on
151:32 the other side of Austin, where Quaz is actually bringing their technology to
151:36 life in the real world. I'm standing at the edge of a granite quarry,
151:40 and you could see why Qua would select this site to test their technology.
151:45 Behind me, you can see that there's layers of sand and clay that have
151:48 accumulated. That's called overburden. But not much further down, you've got
151:53 this nice pink granite everywhere. And what Quaaz is able to do
151:58 is without digging too deep, they're able to get to this granite
152:01 layer and start using their millimeter wave drill to really get through it.
152:05 This is a perfect site for Quaz to start proving that their technology works on
152:10 the hardest rock that is found in the deepest layers to get to that
152:14 super critical geothermal. This is the first location where Quiz has taken
152:19 their technology out of the lab setting and into the real world. And obviously,
152:23 it's a work site, so I got to have my hard hat and my uh safety glasses here.
152:28 Okay, let's go. The gyro rig here can run on diesel, but for now, it's
152:32 connected to the grid. I wonder what your monthly electricity bill is.
152:36 >> It's not great. >> So, Steve, this hole is going to be the 1 km hole.
152:44 >> That is correct. Yep. So, uh, we'll be up and drilling in about 6 weeks. Um,
152:48 and then we're expecting to hit it in the summer. Um, so we're talking
152:51 maybe, uh, 2 months to get to 1 km on this.
152:54 >> They're going to take this wline camera and they're going to drop it down the
152:57 hole that's existing. So, we're going to get an inside peak into the beginning of
153:01 the 1 km hole. What's interesting though is that the
153:06 sides of this don't look like what we saw in the lab, like more vitrified. Is
153:11 there a reason for that? We are able to go that route as well. Um it's faster
153:15 without it. >> So you don't need that hard shell to
153:18 prove the point of what you're doing. >> That's correct.
153:20 >> Got it. >> There's another problem with drilling deep into the earth. We don't actually know what's down there. Most of what we
153:27 can tell about the inside of the earth comes from seismic waves. How they
153:31 travel and bend or slow down or speed up tells us what the different materials
153:35 could be under the ground. We saw how some of this seismic exploration works
153:39 at the museum. So you could see on this cube it's representing different layers
153:45 that could contain hydrocarbons which is more for the traditional conventional
153:50 fracking industry. But this is the kind of seismic survey that you might see to
153:55 understand what's below as you go deeper and deeper into the ground. And this is
154:00 uh also part of this demonstration. >> This is a real piece of they call it
154:03 scenic sandstone. And this is a real geophone. This is one of those things
154:07 that they stick in the ground. They just started driving in like a steak and then
154:10 it it picks up sound waves. So this is a little a clapper here. You can see this
154:14 is a sound readout and that's picking up kind of all the way across the frequency
154:18 spectrum. This is going from 200 hertz up to about 1500 hertz. And you can see
154:22 if I stomp it's making more of the lower frequencies cuz I'm stoming but it's
154:26 picking it up. I mean it's pretty sensitive. But scientists keep
154:30 discovering new layers like the potential of a core inside the core of
154:34 the earth. For example, when scientists started the Cola SuperDe bore hole, they
154:38 thought they'd know what they'd hit. Based on seismic data, they expected to
154:42 find a layer of the salt. Instead, they found water and hydrogen gas. In the US,
154:47 the deepest hole ever drilled, the Bertha Rogers well in Oklahoma, had to
154:51 be stopped when it hit molten sulfur and broke the bit. So, the deeper we
154:55 go, the less certain things become. And every surprise pushes the machinery to
154:59 its limits. And all this drilling can create unexpected outcomes
155:04 like earthquakes. I would say that if you want to create an earthquake, you
155:08 can create an earthquake. But there is a really widespread engagement with the
155:13 fact that that is totally not an acceptable outcome. In November 2017, a
155:19 magnitude 5.5 earthquake struck near the city of Po Hong in South Korea. Later
155:25 investigations concluded that it wasn't a natural event. rather the earthquake
155:30 had been triggered by an experimental geothermal project. The quake left 1,800
155:35 people displaced and 135 injured. It also caused at least 123 million in
155:42 damage. The nation's energy ministry expressed deep regret and said it would
155:47 dismantle this project. Prior to that, the most notable earthquake induced by
155:51 exploration for geothermal was in Basil, Switzerland. In December 2006, a 3.4
155:56 four magnitude earthquake led to minor building damage, but the operator's
156:00 insurance company paid out over $7 million in claims and eventually shut
156:05 the project down. What about this idea that drilling I mean any kind of
156:11 drilling, but this idea that drilling can create seismic activity that
156:15 can create earthquakes and how do you mitigate that? >> Yeah. So, to be clear, the drilling aspect of it doesn't create any
156:21 type of seismic. is obviously when you try to do what we call the EGS aspect
156:25 when we're actually connecting between the two wells is where potentially you
156:29 could have these type of issues. Now the oil and gas industry has matured
156:34 this significantly where now there's regulation in place. There's sensors in
156:38 place to make sure that you never go above a threshold that's
156:42 unacceptable in that regards. Really that threshold is is the same threshold
156:45 as what you typically see in a football game or a rock concert. That's
156:50 the threshold which basically um the standard is now we don't go above
156:53 >> in terms of a vibration >> in terms of vibrations like that. So
156:56 it's very well managed in terms of the the the level which is acceptable
157:01 in that regard. So we never cross that threshold. Another challenge for
157:05 expanding geothermal is cost. Drilling deeper is slow, risky and more expensive
157:11 with every kilometer because it means more rig time, more crew, more wear on
157:16 equipment and more of a risk of failure. In fact, most of the time in
157:19 conventional drilling is spent pulling up the rig and replacing a damaged bit.
157:24 The core problem is upfront cost and uncertainty. You have to spend tens to hundreds of millions of dollars before you will know
157:31 if a well will actually produce usable energy. That makes deep geothermal
157:35 difficult to finance compared to solar, wind, or even conventional oil and gas.
157:40 Historically, projects like cola cost on the order of $100 million, and that's
157:45 not even adjusted for inflation. So the economic constraint isn't just
157:49 can we drill deeper, it's can we drill deep enough, fast enough, and cheap
157:54 enough to compete with other forms of energy. That's a yes, according
157:59 to the CEO of Quaze, who recently testified at a congressional
158:02 hearing. So normally when you're drilling, you are trending in the one to
158:06 $2,000 per meter. That's typically in oil and gas. It's cheaper in mining
158:10 because it's a different use case. So, what happens though when you
158:14 go deeper and hotter is that that$1 to $2,000 per meter starts to blow
158:18 up exponentially on you. To give you a sense, you can get as far as high as 10
158:24 to 20 to $30,000 per meter to continue to make progress once you're
158:28 below 3, four, 5 miles. So, we're trying to just skip that one to $2,000
158:33 regardless of the depth because that's what makes it economically viable
158:36 and accessible. And Henry told me that once a Quaz geothermal plant is
158:40 up and running, it will prove more economically viable over time. The
158:45 industry term for that is levelized cost of electricity. It's basically the cost
158:50 per unit of electricity that a project needs to break even over the
158:54 course of its lifetime. Quaz has an LCE calculator on their website and what it
158:59 does is it allows you to go to a map of the United States. Put a pin anywhere to
159:05 get a cost of what a geothermal project would have in your area. It bundles
159:11 everything into one number. the upfront costs to drill and build the project,
159:16 the ongoing maintenance costs, fuel costs, financing costs, and basically the overall lifetime output of that energy project. The the the amount
159:26 of cost uh to drill a hole is about 20% of the overall cost of making
159:31 geothermal. So the the better answer is we think that uh the way we
159:35 going to make electricity we can get these levelite costs of energy down to
159:40 about $50 an $50 per megawatt hours. >> A price point of $50 per megawatt hour
159:46 would make geothermal very competitive with new wind and solar
159:50 projects. >> Do you think that your first commercial project would come close to that number? We think our first project up in
159:58 Oregon will be about $100 and then by the time we get to the end of a kind
160:02 we're down to 50. So far investors hesitate to back up such problems.
160:07 And the paradox is that because the costs are high it hasn't scaled yet.
160:12 But it won't scale without investment. So how do you break that cycle? This is
160:16 where oil and gas comes in. Because geothermal isn't completely new. It's
160:20 built on top of an industry that already exists. Up to 80% of the investment
160:25 required in a geothermal project involves capacity and skills that are
160:28 common in oil and gas. And today, a large share of that workforce comes
160:33 directly from the oil and gas industry. There's 2,000 rigs around the
160:37 world. Um, with all the rig hands and all the people that know how to operate
160:41 it, we basically give them a new set of tools.
160:45 >> In fact, some of the people we met here working for Quaz come from fracking.
160:49 We're in the drilling cabin, aka the dog house. And I'm here with Mike, Ethan,
160:55 and Sam. And these guys are on site. They're living nearby 15 days out of the
161:01 month, 5 days off, but they're committed to this site, and they're going to be
161:04 the ones that are making sure that this hole goes down to 1km. So, I just wanted
161:09 to talk to you guys because you guys could be part of a new wave of energy.
161:13 Um, do you ever think about that and like what that might mean for, you know,
161:16 for the future of everybody? >> Super critical. seems like the major
161:20 unlock to make to take geothermal to the next level. And there's some companies
161:25 dabbling in it, kind of researching it. Quaz attracted me personally just
161:30 because they're fullon committed to making super hot, super critical happen.
161:36 All the basic tools are the same. The expertise is similar. And even
161:41 the techniques like horizontal drilling and hydraulic stimulation come from
161:44 fracking. Which means if geothermal scales, it'll likely use oil and gas
161:49 infrastructure. And that matters because oil and gas is one of the few industries
161:53 with the capital, equipment, and experience to drill at this scale. And
161:56 we're already seeing interest. Chevron recently announced a joint venture with
162:00 base load capital. They have a fund focused on US geothermal development
162:04 opportunities. Aramco announced they'll look into geothermal in the Middle East. And the current presidential administration has opened
162:11 up public lands to a number of geothermal projects. But so far,
162:15 investment has been limited compared to the trillions spent annually on fossil
162:19 fuels. The industry is still waiting for a breakthrough. And until
162:23 that changes, deep geothermal isn't just a technical challenge, it's a financial
162:27 one. So instead of going deeper, some geothermal companies are changing their
162:32 strategy entirely. >> I would say the main reason why people
162:35 haven't gone deeper is there hasn't been a a a reason to. you know, oil and gas
162:39 is found in shallow areas and so the only reason to really drill past 10
162:42 kilometers is, you know, do a research well. And I'm sure you found a couple
162:46 examples of that. Companies like Fervo are not trying to drill to extreme
162:50 depths. Instead of going as deep as possible, they focus on creating more
162:54 contact with the heat that's already there, where the heat is still useful,
162:58 but the engineering is far more manageable. And so what what Fervo does
163:02 is we'll drill down into rock that's 400 or 450 degrees Fahrenheit. And then
163:06 rather than just leaving a simple vertical well that might only be a few
163:09 inches in diameter try to produce heat from that section will turn and drill
163:13 horizontally for over a mile. That process increases the surface
163:17 area that's exposed to heat which means more energy can be captured. So then
163:21 they pump water underground at extremely high pressure cracking open the rock and
163:25 creating a network of tiny fractures. And through those fractures,
163:29 water can flow. It moves through the hot rock, heats up, and is pushed back to
163:33 the surface. It's a process borrowed directly from fracking. Out in the
163:38 Nevada desert, Google has already signed a deal with FVO to help power its data
163:43 centers. >> You're going to be hooked right into the
163:45 AI data centers soon, right? >> Yeah. That's where all the new market is
163:49 going in energy these days is trying to figure out how do we power all this new
163:53 development from AI and and do so in a way that's sustainable and affordable.
163:57 and geothermal has a huge role to play in that.
163:59 >> So Qua has a goal of drilling the world's deepest hole and they have a
164:03 plan to get there. But some of the experts I spoke to remain skeptical.
164:08 >> People like Qua um have got a very very steep road. I don't think that we're
164:12 going to see uh a successful superc critical project in the near term.
164:17 >> Quaz is still 5 years away from commercial operations at their site in
164:21 Oregon. And then there's the issue of whether or not using gas to return
164:25 powdered rock to the surface is even viable after a certain depth. What
164:30 you see is that um drilling on air can be a really effective way of
164:34 getting down through some challenging formations that frankly mudbased systems
164:38 struggle with. But there are limits because as you go deeper and deeper and
164:43 deeper it's harder to return that to the surface. So, the deepest holes
164:46 that I've ever heard of that have been air drilled, which is the same, you
164:50 know, they're destroying the rock in a different way, but they're blowing it
164:53 out of the hole as fine chips and and dust is about 10,000 ft. And
164:58 that is pretty expensive to do. >> Then there's the idea that any
165:01 geothermal project using heat to generate electricity is incredibly inefficient. As we take that working fluid and vaporize it and spin a
165:11 turbine, a large amount of the energy that's present in that initial
165:15 fluid escapes to the atmosphere essentially as a required cooling stage that we have to do to make the power plant run. And only a a
165:25 relatively small amount of the initial energy is available in the the final
165:29 product which is electricity on the grid. We're probably today with
165:33 modern technology at about the 15% efficiency range. So according
165:38 to Wayne, the best use of geothermal is for direct heating and cooling.
165:43 If we're taking that geothermal energy and we're using it directly to warm
165:48 something up, whether it's our living space or our dairy barn or our
165:52 beer operation, we can dramatically improve the efficiency of the system.
165:58 and instead of taking 15% of the energy, we could use something more like
166:02 85% of the energy. That's what his team has done at Cornell University. Instead
166:08 of traditional air conditioning, they use a passive system that's connected to
166:12 Kaunga Lake where we allow heat to flow from campus to the cold uh deep
166:19 deep water of Kauga Lake and in doing so completely bypass the uh efficiencies
166:26 that are available with any other type of technology. So the cooling
166:31 system uh that's in place today is probably 6 to 8 times more efficient than the world's second most efficient cooling
166:42 system. >> And finally, you don't actually need to go to 20 km to access super critical geothermal.
166:48 >> There's no reason from a point of view of having to produce usable heat to go
166:54 to 20 km anywhere on the face of the earth. It's too deep. From a science
166:58 point of view, yeah, I could view it as, you know, the analog to going to outer
167:03 space. We're going to go to inner space and try to understand the Earth better
167:06 there, and we may discover some new things. But to claim that it's going to
167:10 produce economic geothermal energy isn't necessary, >> but maybe that's not the point. We're always going to wonder about the world
167:18 beneath our feet. So, how far can we actually go?
167:22 >> Oh, I don't think there's really any any any limit. You know, we could go
167:25 a lot deeper. It's just a question of what's the purpose and who's going to
167:28 fund it. But it's definitely not a technological limitation. >> I'm literally in the hole of a side of a cliff.
167:37 Just another stupid thing I'm doing for a YouTube video.
167:42 Look how deep that hole goes. With more people going to space than ever before, I wanted to know, are human
167:52 beings ready to leave Earth behind? So, I talked to an astronaut who spent
167:58 over a year up there. >> Is it true that you're just wearing a
168:01 diaper? >> You know, it is what it is. If you
168:04 outpace your diaper, uh, it could just be a bad day.
168:07 >> I met with science writers. This is my copy of your guys' book.
168:11 >> Nice. >> Health experts. As far as you know, has
168:15 anybody ever had sex in space? >> Love this question. Um,
168:21 >> and a man who paid $30 million to join Russia's space program,
168:26 >> where I would gladly volunteer for a one-way trip to live on Mars.
168:31 >> So, what did I learn? Taking homo sapiens multilanetary isn't just hard,
168:36 it's almost impossible. >> Space can kill you rapidly or it can
168:41 kill you slowly, but it's always trying to kill you. And even if this migration
168:46 to the stars takes centuries, the decades in between are going to get
168:50 weird. Chachi BT, what would a real Mars colony look like?
168:55 >> You're probably going to have to drink recycled urine. Protein sources might be
168:58 insects, which isn't for me. You might die of cancer. You'll probably be living
169:02 underground. Your bones and your vision and your muscles might be degrading.
169:06 Maybe you'll be okay, maybe not. And you're going to be living in a small,
169:09 cramped habitat with people you may or may not like. So, how long can you
169:12 actually last in space? Which dangers still stump even the scientists?
169:19 What if the hard part isn't the rockets and robots? It's us.
169:30 The first limit of living in space is that we don't have that many places to
169:34 go. Mercury's climate is both extremely hot and cold. The surface of
169:39 Venus could melt lead and the rest of the planets too far away.
169:44 So, the first idea is staying local in low Earth orbit. That's convenient, but
169:49 it's getting crowded with thousands of satellites and space junk. Then there's
169:54 the moon. It's not too far away and people have been there before, but it
169:58 barely has an atmosphere and nights last two Earth weeks.
170:03 Then there's Mars, which has some of the stuff we need to support life, like
170:07 frozen water. But what if building on something isn't the best idea? There's a
170:13 whole group of engineers who think the future of humanity isn't on Mars or the
170:17 moon. It's floating somewhere in between. That vision comes from a
170:21 particle physicist named Gerard K. O'Neal. He imagined giant rotating
170:27 habitats long before we even had Wi-Fi. I'll come back to him, but first I want
170:32 you to meet some of his followers actually trying to make it happen.
170:36 >> Time to get in space mode. I went to Houston, Texas, New World, to an event
170:41 called the New World's Conference. >> Wo wo get hit by >> Be careful with that.
170:49 >> Look at how janky this looks. It's Space Expo meets Burning Man.
170:53 >> Here's a astronaut. >> The event's founder, Rick Tomlinson,
170:57 studied under O'Neal. We used to call ourselves Jerry's kids. He was a true
171:01 visionary. He was like, "Let's go out there and build space solar power plants
171:04 and let's these communities will be funded by building these and selling
171:09 energy to the earth and then New Worlds is where we can start bringing the tribe
171:12 together and inspire those people who are going to go."
171:17 >> Got it. >> Right. And give them a home.
171:19 >> But by the way, you do have people coming to this event this time and
171:22 probably in the past who are major space investors. >> Absolutely. We got there'll be a couple of billionaires in the audience.
171:29 >> It's time for the Space Cowboy Ball Saturday night. I'm heading over there
171:32 now. And y'all came prepared. The event culminates with the Space Cowboy Ball.
171:46 >> Don't tell my wife or my rabbi that I was here.
171:48 >> It's part networking. >> The best deals happen when you're at
171:50 parties like this. >> Part costume party. >> Rock, tell us what your outfit is. I'm a space pirate.
171:58 >> As the people at the Space Ball partied like it's 2099.
172:02 >> Rocket man. I wandered through the empty exhibits at the Space Center Houston. From Skyab to
172:10 20 Mile Space Stations. Look, we got a guy taking a little
172:16 shower break over there. Hi. Stuff that used to feel like pure
172:20 sci-fi, it's starting to look kind of doable. So, how do we get from something
172:25 as spartan as Skylab to O'Neal's full-on space cities? >> Good evening for round table. I'm Harold Hayes. The most mind-boggling idea comes
172:37 from the mind of a professor of physics named Gerard Kitchen O'Neal.
172:41 >> This is something which we feel could be made as a first model space colony for
172:48 about the cost of the Apollo project. >> O'Neal didn't just imagine floating
172:52 cities. He detailed how to build them, starting with materials from the moon.
172:58 >> It's probably a rotten place to live, but as a mining source, it's
173:02 great. >> Lunar soil called regalith contains oxygen, aluminum, iron, and silica, and could theoretically be used to make
173:11 fuel, glass, and solar panels. Rather than hauling heavy materials up
173:17 from Earth, O'Neal invented something called a mass driver, an electromagnetic
173:22 launcher that works like a rail gun or magnetic roller coaster to fling raw
173:27 material from the moon into orbit. >> The bucket carries a payload of lunar
173:32 material and it's accelerated by these magnetic coils. In orbit, those payloads
173:38 would be caught and melted down in solar powered furnaces to extract metals. This
173:43 would feed a kind of orbital job shop capable of manufacturing beams, solar
173:48 cells, and eventually more mass drivers. O'Neal's plan was a self-replicating
173:54 industrial loop. One seed system could duplicate itself without needing
173:58 anything new from Earth, and it could all be run remotely.
174:04 The result would be giant habitats that rotate to generate artificial gravity,
174:09 now known as O'Neal cylinders. Inside lakes, farms, cities powered by
174:16 constant sunlight, built from moon dust, populated by people, and possibly plants
174:22 and animals brought from Earth. They'd orbit at stable points called Lrangee
174:27 points, the perfect parking spots in space just a few days from Earth. Once
174:32 you know the shape, you start noticing O'Neal inspired designs in lots of
174:36 movies and TV shows. Here's Babylon 5. Humans and aliens wrapped in 2,500,000
174:43 tons of spinning metal all alone in the night. >> And the craft seen in the movie Interstellar.
174:49 >> We're not meant to save the world. >> We're meant to leave it.
174:53 >> Ready-made space colonies. No long trips to Mars required.
174:58 In his original notes, O'Neal admitted this vision might take centuries, but it
175:03 remains one of the most compelling and fully thoughtout ideas for how humans
175:07 could live long-term in space. O'Neal passed away in the '90s, but his legacy
175:12 lives on. And one of his most famous students is closer than ever to bringing
175:17 this dream into reality. We can have a trillion humans in the solar system, which means we'd have a
175:26 thousand Mozarts and a thousand Einsteins. This would be an incredible civilization. Just imagine prime one day
175:34 shipping for 1 trillion people. Jeff Bezos has been a space nerd since he was
175:39 a teenager. Then, as an undergrad at Princeton, he attended seminars with
175:43 O'Neal. So far, he's taken celebrities on suborbital rides with his company, Blue
175:50 Origin. But now, he's going for something much more ambitious. Landers
175:55 on the moon, built to unlock its buried treasure. The scientific term for this
176:00 quest is insitu resource utilization or ISRU. And if humans can't figure it out,
176:07 the entire future of living in space could fall apart. Here's the
176:11 problem. Even with reusable rockets, arguably the biggest advancement in
176:15 space exploration in recent years, it's still really expensive to launch stuff
176:20 off Earth. So, if you want to build a base or a civilization, you can't bring
176:25 everything with you. You have to live off the land. That means taking dirt,
176:30 ice, or atmospheric gases and transforming them into what you need,
176:34 air, water, and fuel. Blue Origin has already isolated near
176:38 pure silicon and other elements from simulated moon dirt in a lab. Next, they
176:44 want to do it on the moon to extract materials for solar panels and maybe
176:48 even manufacture them right there on the surface. Icon, a Texas-based construction company, plans to melt moon dust and
176:57 then use robots to 3D print structures on the moon.
177:01 >> It's basically powdered sandpaper that we turn into a liquid sandpaper and put
177:04 it through machinery. Is it like 10,000 wallally? Is it like one big robot? Like
177:09 what is the what's the crew that's the robot crew that's going up there? Great
177:14 question. I would say it's close to uh 10 to 15 robots would be just a
177:19 wonderful fleet to go after a couple of pretty big ambitious plans. So things
177:23 like landing pads, roads, protective structures, some of the early
177:26 infrastructure that we want and that would provide the redundancy but also
177:31 the fit to function. Other groups are focused on pulling oxygen and hydrogen
177:36 from lunar ice to make breathable air, drinking water, and rocket propellant.
177:40 If that works, you don't have to ship fuel from Earth anymore. You just gas up
177:45 on the moon. Sounds simple, right? Well, it's not. Just ask Kelly and Zach
177:51 Weinersmith. They wrote an entire book about what makes space so hard.
177:55 >> So, there is technically water in the regalith, but you could also technically
177:59 say that about concrete. So, we did a back of the envelope calculation and you
178:03 would need to bake about 6 tons of lunar regalith to get enough water to have
178:09 like the 3 kg that you would need for things like drinking every
178:13 day. And that doesn't even include the water you would need for things like
178:16 showering or water balloon fights. >> There are higher concentrations of water
178:21 ice at the moon's south pole in the bottom of craters that never receive
178:25 sunlight. But turning any of that water into fuel using electrolysis requires a
178:31 ton of power. >> When you're making the propellant to go
178:35 to Mars on the moon, that's when you need the mega water. So,
178:38 >> and the moon only gets sunlight for half the month, which makes getting all your
178:42 energy from solar a challenge. And so that's why we're a big fan of nuclear
178:48 fision power uh for the moon um to be able to make enough power to do um
178:54 propellant production at scale. >> And finally, you have to build all of
178:58 this on the moon. Outside the lab, the only space mission to do ISRU was the
179:04 Mars Perseverance Rover. It produced about 120 g of oxygen from the Martian
179:10 atmosphere in 2023. That's about as much oxygen as a human breathes in about 4
179:15 hours. And while this sounds like science fiction, a survey shows that
179:19 commercial space insiders are gung-ho on the technology, estimating that ISRU
179:25 could be operational and commercial by 2040. Elon Musk, on the other hand, is looking
179:34 for volunteers to build a city on Mars for a million people. You may not come
179:38 back alive. Um, but it's a glorious adventure. >> Also a very expensive one. Musk's plan hinges on Starship, the biggest, most
179:47 powerful rocket ever built. The idea, launch Starship into orbit, send five to
179:53 eight tanker ships to refuel it, then fly to Mars.
179:57 >> If we achieve orbital refilling in time, then we will launch the first uh
180:02 uncrrewed Starship to Mars at the end of next year. Aside from the fact that it
180:07 will be the longest manned space mission of all time just to get there, the first
180:12 challenge is landing. Mars descent is one of the hardest problems in aerospace
180:17 engineering. NASA's blunt about it. The system that landed Perseverance does not
180:22 scale to human class elements. It's like dropping a Winnebago from orbit into a
180:27 windstorm and hoping the airbags work. And if you crash, you don't just lose
180:32 cargo, you lose the crew. And even if they stick the landing, the entire
180:38 return trip depends on ISRU. The SpaceX plan is to mine water ice for
180:44 hydrogen and suck CO2 from the thin Martian air. Then run it all through a
180:50 Sabatier reactor, an industrial device that turns it into water, oxygen, and
180:55 methane. That's rocket fuel, baby. SpaceX calls this plan refillable Mars,
181:02 but critics say it's more like regrettable Mars. Aerospace enthusiast Miguel Gorea says the SpaceX mission gamles everything on
181:11 a single point of failure. >> It's a bit fragile in that if it fails
181:14 and you don't have a backup, astronauts can be stranded there.
181:17 >> If the Sabatier reactor breaks, if the Martian ice is buried too deep, if dust
181:23 storms disable the solar panels, your may be forever. And remember, there's no
181:29 second ship, no alternate ride home. Just one crew, one plan, one shot. The
181:35 biggest challenge, power. A Mars to Earth return using SpaceX's Starship
181:40 would require a massive ISRU infrastructure, consuming 3.37 megawatt of continuous power and producing 2400 tons of propellant for two returning
181:50 Starships. That's enough to power about 1,500 American homes. It's equivalent to
181:56 a solar farm the size of 20 football fields delivered to Mars fully
182:01 operational and able to run 24/7 for over a year. But Mars is dusty. Very
182:08 dusty. Dust storms can last weeks and even months. And they happen about 40 to
182:13 50% of the time during a standard 2-year Mars mission. That means your solar
182:18 array could get buried just when you need it most. Gura's alternative, send
182:23 smaller missions. Pre-eploy the fuel, use multiple vehicles, and build
182:28 in backups. It's not flashy, but it's safer. And even if you survive, the
182:33 final boss awaits, launching off Mars. We've never done it before, not
182:38 even with robots. NASA's current concept for a Mars ascent vehicle would require
182:43 over 25 tons of fuel to get four people back into orbit. Whether it's Bezos
182:49 building moon factories or Musk betting it all on Martian methane, ISRU is the
182:54 lynchpin of the two most prominent off-world plans. Until these companies
182:59 prove they can mine ice, generate megawatts of power, and build chemical
183:04 plants on alien worlds, the dream of living in space is just one broken
183:08 Sabatier reactor away from becoming a very expensive camping trip. And with
183:13 odds like that, who's actually going to take the 2 to three-year trip to Mars?
183:18 Only someone who spends most of their adult life preparing for it.
183:24 March 1995. Archalik Kazakhstan. Cosminaut Valeri Polyov has just landed after 437
183:34 consecutive days in orbit, the longest space flight in human history. As he
183:38 stumbled out of the capsule, he reportedly says, "We can go to Mars."
183:43 >> And that really showed that there were no fundamental deal breakers to staying
183:50 in orbit for years at a time. >> Jonathan McDow would know. He spent the
183:55 last 50 years documenting every single object and person who's ever left Earth.
184:00 >> I'm the chronicler of the space age. I try and be the journal of record for
184:05 what actually happened in outer space. >> He's currently got 200 bookcases and
184:10 counting, roughly 1500 square ft of binders filled with space history. And
184:16 yes, he's still workshopping the name. >> One of the places I I might uh might end
184:22 up is uh is Brmley in in London. And so it might be the the Brmley Astronautics
184:28 Research Facility or BARF >> on Jonathan's master list. Polyov is
184:33 astronaut number 214. Katie Perry, >> I'm going to tell you something right
184:37 now. You are officially an astronaut. Thank you so much.
184:40 >> I believe I have her as uh astronaut number or space traveler number 729.
184:48 >> That's it. Only 750 people ever have crossed 80 km into space according to
184:54 Jonathan's records. The older people will be blown away by how many it is and
184:59 younger people will be surprised by how few it is.
185:02 >> The American with the record for the longest stint in space, NASA astronaut
185:06 Frank Rubio. >> What do you think? >> It's amazing. >> Oh man.
185:12 >> Who spent 371 days aboard the ISS. >> It took about 6 months to get back to
185:18 100%. But about 2 months I was for all intents and purposes to any outsider
185:23 they would have said that I was back to 100%. Getting to space takes more than a
185:27 dream. It takes a resume built like Tony Stark's LinkedIn.
185:31 >> I always like to say we look for adventurous nerds or nerdy adventurers,
185:35 right? And so you kind of have to have both uh types of things where
185:38 you love to learn. >> At minimum, you'll need a master's
185:41 degree, technical or military expertise, Russian language skills, survival training, and years of physical and psychological prep.
185:50 >> You think of the billions and billions of people who've ever lived. That's just
185:53 a small small number. And so we just don't have enough data to generalize,
185:57 you know, hey, how is it going to affect humanity as a whole versus these
186:00 individuals? >> Altogether, you're looking at 10 to 15 years of work before your first space mission. If you ever get to travel, that
186:08 is, >> even though you can look down and see
186:10 the planet, it's just this weird dynamic where you have a a view like no other,
186:15 but you're stuck in this little itty bitty space. New Shepherd's clear tower >> and New Shepard has cleared the tower.
186:25 On our way to space with our first human crew. But not everyone goes through
186:30 NASA. >> If you've got deep enough pockets, you can just buy your way to space. No one knows exactly what Katy Perry paid Blue
186:38 Origin, but the deposit alone is $150,000. And the full price ticket can cost millions.
186:46 >> That's amazing. If that's too steep, >> Mach 1 pilots are now trimming
186:51 those up. >> Virgin Galactic offers a shorter hop to
186:54 the edge of space for about $600,000. >> I was once a child with a dream looking
187:00 up to the stars. Now I'm an adult in a spaceship.
187:07 >> Which brings us to one of the wildest space tourists of all. Meet Nick Hock,
187:12 certified cosminaut, millionaire investor, rock musician. and lifelong thrillseker. >> This shaft goes all the way down to the
187:22 blast doors. >> He's also the proud owner of a large
187:26 decommissioned nuclear missile silo. >> I guess your own little Universal
187:29 Studios here. It's like your This is your dystopian Disneyland, you know.
187:33 >> So, welcome to the boat. Welcome to the complex, my private residence here. one
187:38 he's turning into a disasterproof commercial hub complete with a firing
187:42 range, diesel tanks, a Faraday cage, and eventually its own nuclear micro
187:48 reactor. >> This country stand a direct nuclear strike and it is EMP proof. >> To Nick, it's not a doomsday bunker.
187:54 It's an insurance policy. >> Well, I'm not a doomsday prepper. I'm an
187:57 entrepreneur. I think what you're going to find is a lot of individuals
188:00 culminating together with like-minded folk to ride out any turbulence
188:04 or any storm out there on the marketplace. And um I think that's where
188:07 we are right now. >> Nick has spent tens of millions of
188:10 dollars buying rare historic real estate. He's invested in castles,
188:14 lighouses, farmland, and now cold war era bunkers. Russia assigned Nick to two
188:21 space missions as a backup crew member. He hasn't been in orbit yet, but he says
188:26 he's ready to leave Earth for good. My goal is to walk on the moon, but there
188:30 will come a time where I would gladly volunteer for a one-way trip to live on
188:36 Mars and colonize and >> >> um yeah, terraform Mars. And those going to Mars, you'd love to understand it's a
188:42 one-way trip. >> For people like Nick, space is within
188:46 reach because they can afford it. Do you think that space is only destined to be
188:51 like a billionaire's playground or do you think like the average Joe might
188:54 also >> I think it'll be billionaires and like 9
188:58 figure multi-millionaires and eventually it'll come down as the passage to space
189:03 becomes far more inexpensive. >> But let's be real, most of us are never
189:08 going. Not unless something changes dramatically. >> That's amazing. And even the elite few who do go still face a universe that's
189:16 filled with an invisible force that can slow roast you alive.
189:23 Floating around Earth are two invisible doughut-shaped rings of charged
189:27 particles. They're called the Van Allen belts, a benefit of Earth's active
189:32 molten core. These belts trap harmful solar and cosmic radiation, acting as
189:37 part of a larger shield that protects everything below. But the further away
189:42 from Earth you go, the weaker that protection becomes and radiation levels
189:46 rise fast. >> I think radiation is probably the biggest concern once we get outside of the Van Allen belt. Uh that probably
189:54 that risk um exponentially grows >> and what happens when we do cancer,
190:00 cataracts, heart problems, brain damage, down the pike genetic mutations. Just
190:05 your standard doggy bag from the Galactic Barbecue. We've now added a new
190:10 one and that is cognitive decline from neurotoxicity basically from radiation.
190:16 >> Dr. James Logan was a medical adviser in mission control for 25 NASA missions,
190:22 but he says his former agency isn't taking this threat seriously.
190:26 >> And it's funny, but NASA really doesn't seem to care about radiation. And the
190:31 reason is you can almost compare NASA to the NFL and radiation to CTE, chronic
190:39 traumatic encphylopathy. What NASA's concerned about is the mission. What a football coach is concerned about is winning the game. But
190:48 CTE is bad chronically later on for a football player. And radiation can be
190:54 terrible for an astronaut later on in their lives. Astronauts aboard the ISS
191:00 are exposed to radiation levels 100 times stronger than Earth's surface. To
191:05 reduce astronauts risk of cancer, NASA limits crew members total career
191:09 radiation dose to 600 milliseverts. For comparison, the average American
191:15 living to 70 years old is exposed to around 430 milliseverts over their
191:20 entire lifetime. But step outside Earth's magnetic bubble, that number
191:25 jumps fast. Take a three-year mission to Mars and you could be exposed to 1650
191:31 millisevers. That's the equivalent of over 16,000 chest X-rays. The sun is
191:37 always blasting out hot ions, which is not great if you're in space, but now
191:40 and then it shoots a sort of flashlight of doom in one direction uh in what's
191:45 called a solar particle event, which is an event in the same way that a tsunami
191:50 is a water event. And the good news is that space is big. So, if the sun is
191:55 shooting out beams of doom, you're probably not in them. But if you are,
191:58 essentially the risk is you get acute radiation sickness, which is essentially
192:01 the worst way to die. A direct hit from a solar flare could expose astronauts to
192:06 2,000 millisevers and cause radiation sickness within hours. In 1972, one such
192:12 flare erupted between Apollo missions. If it had struck while astronauts were
192:16 on the moon, it likely would have killed them in hours. Dr. Dr. Logan says
192:21 radiation protection should change how spacecraft are designed. >> So you basically build the spacecraft around the crew. So instead of long
192:31 pencil thin rocket ships for interplanetary flight, they would be
192:36 short stubby spherical spacecraft in which the crew is right in the center.
192:42 So they're surrounded by as much mass as you can get and that would enhance their
192:47 radiation protection. So this, yeah, not exactly realistic. >> If human beings ever live or work on the moon or Mars, they're going to have to
192:57 live like ants, earthworms, or moles, because otherwise the environment just
193:02 won't tolerate it. >> That means no strolls under the stars.
193:06 More like digging in and staying there. Some scientists think ancient lava
193:11 tubes, natural tunnels carved by molten rock, could be our best hope. Buried
193:16 beneath meters of rock, they could provide natural radiation shielding for
193:20 long-term habitats. Others have suggested piling rocks into a mound
193:24 before the humans arrive. And we don't know where the caves are. We don't know
193:28 if there's many caves, if they're reachable or not. So, what we're doing
193:32 is we creating our own cave, our own shell structure under which these
193:37 astronauts would be living. So, it's made with local uh material, local
193:41 regulate or or Mars dust to protect our astronauts from that. So that's kind of
193:45 a really really big design drive for a base like that.
193:50 >> We came up with some walls that were about uh somewhere around a meter thick.
193:54 And we did something I thought was pretty clever at the time. You can see
193:57 the sort of waffle cone structure here. And we can fill that with compressed
194:00 regalith that we don't process. Whether we end up burrowing into lava tubes or
194:05 piling up space rocks, one thing's clear. Even if we manage to survive all
194:10 that space radiation, we've still got another pesky problem. Our squishy human
194:15 bodies need calories constantly. The first human meal in space, two tubes
194:22 of meat puree and one of chocolate sauce. Yuri Gagarin slurped them down
194:26 during his 108minute flight in 1961 and in doing so proved that you can eat
194:32 upside down at 17,000 mph. Since then, space cuisine has come a long way. Out
194:39 with the squeeze tubes. In with the thestabilized entre. Meat and
194:43 vegetable Russian stew. Roasted quail. M. Oatmeal with brown sugar. But look at how it's packaged.
194:55 Real astronaut food. What's this? Mac and cheese. Anybody? >> You might notice there's all sorts of
195:05 foods here. Uh, it's like opening the refrigerator. >> Today's astronauts rotate through menus curated by food scientists. Designed to
195:14 be balanced, shelf safe, and ideally edible. Frank Rubio told us one of the
195:19 biggest surprises. >> All the food in general was pretty good.
195:22 I love seafood, and so I had them fly me a bunch of canned uh seafood. Uh, and so
195:28 anytimes I, you know, and for most people like a can of sardines, uh,
195:32 doesn't sound great, but for some reason up there for me, any sort of canned, uh,
195:36 seafood, anytime I would open it, whether it was mackerel or
195:39 sardines or tuna, uh, it was great. >> But that's feeding a crew of six in low
195:44 Earth orbit with regular supply runs from Houston. Try doing that for a
195:48 million people, 34 million miles away. That's the real challenge.
195:55 Most sci-fi movies show gleaming green houses on Mars, lush with crops and
195:59 tended by astronauts in cool visors. In reality, the dirt alone is trying to
196:04 kill you. It's called regalith. The loose jagged rock and dust covering the
196:09 moon and Mars is nothing like Earth's soil. Breathe it in enough times and it
196:14 scars your lungs. You could die just from that. Even NASA's tech isn't
196:20 immune. In 2009, the Spirit rover got stuck in Martian soil so badly that
196:25 engineers on Earth built a full-scale replica of the terrain just to figure
196:29 out how to free it. They never did. Spirit is still there, buried alive by
196:34 Martian dust. And even if you could grow food in Martian soil, you probably
196:39 shouldn't. It's full of perchlorates, toxic compounds that interfere with
196:43 thyroid function and would need to be filtered out before you could safely
196:47 grow anything. Martian soil has just a 1% concentration of perchlorates, but
196:53 that's 400,000 times too toxic for humans. So, how would we actually feed
196:58 people? >> If you want to get protein from animals,
197:01 you might be getting it from insects. The idea was you can grow plants and the
197:05 part of the plants that you don't eat or that humans don't eat can
197:09 get fed to the meal worms and now you turn food waste into protein.
197:13 >> Lentils and bugs. It's not exactly the interstellar farm fantasy. And if you're
197:18 thirsty, keep in mind water is scarce, which means you'll likely be drinking
197:24 well yourself. On the International Space Station, water is recovered from everything. Urine, sweat, exhaled breath, you name
197:33 it. NASA's system recycles about 98% of all water on the ISS. In space, every
197:40 drop counts, even the ones you've already had. And what goes in must come
197:45 out. >> In case you ever wondered what a space
197:48 toilet looks like, here it is. >> Early space travelers used plastic bags.
197:53 Skyab had a slightly upgraded system involving suction and leg restraints.
197:58 >> Time to go. >> Today's astronauts use more advanced
198:01 toilets. >> And uh you turn it on. You hear the fan noise. Check for air flow.
198:11 That's where your business goes. >> But the core challenge remains dealing
198:15 with human waste in zero gravity. Okay. So, what's a brown trout? Okay. What's a
198:22 brown trout? A brown trout is one of the many euphemisms astronauts have
198:26 developed uh for floating fecal waste uh which is a common feature of outer
198:32 space. I believe that coinage is from the space shuttle program, but there
198:35 were others. Escapees was a nice one. Um, and you know, maybe worth noting,
198:40 this is, you know, maybe one of the funnier things in space. It's also
198:43 incredibly dangerous. >> But on spacew walks, there's only one
198:46 way to handle your business. >> I hadn't used a diaper in 40 plus years,
198:50 right? Usually around a one-year-old, most of us stop. And things that you
198:54 don't think about is essentially you have to meter your urine flow, right?
198:58 Because uh urine because of the lack of uh gravitational force. And so
199:03 if you let go of your full bladder worth of urine, uh it's going to overwhelm the
199:07 diaper and essentially form a blob of floating urine inside your
199:10 spacuit because if you if you outpace your diaper, uh it could just be a bad
199:14 day. >> And on Mars, waste becomes even more valuable. Not just something to get rid of, but something to reuse. Poop, sweat,
199:23 breath, all of it gets cycled back into the system. There have even been
199:27 experiments to grow vegetables using human hair and nails. And before
199:31 you think this all sounds a little extreme, just remember we've tried to
199:35 build a self-sustaining ecosystem on Earth once. It was called Biosphere 2, a
199:41 $200 million dome in the Arizona desert designed to house eight people, grow all
199:47 their food, recycle their air and water, and prove humans could survive in a
199:51 completely sealed environment. They had sunlight, gravity, earth air right
199:56 outside the walls, and still it barely worked. Oxygen levels dropped, crops
200:02 struggled, the team split into factions. They made it two years, but barely. And
200:08 now the plan is to do that again on a dead planet with dirt that's poisonous.
200:13 So yes, the future of space settlement may involve sustainable farms, closed
200:17 loop water systems, and eco-friendly Martian composting. But right now, we're
200:23 still figuring out how to deal with poop. And even if we manage to feed and
200:26 hydrate a colony millions of miles away, there's still one big problem. What
200:32 happens when someone gets sick? In 2023, an ER physician named Nathan Jones spent
200:38 378 days sealed inside a 3D printed habitat in Houston alongside three other
200:45 volunteers. The goal to find out what it would be like to live and work on Mars.
200:50 The minute that we were in and they closed the door, it was like, man, did I
200:55 just do that? >> NASA called it the Chapia mission, short
200:58 for crew health and performance exploration analog. Analog astronauts are people who simulate space missions without leaving Earth. Chapia was NASA's
201:07 longest analog to date, but it's only about a third the length of a crude
201:12 mission to Mars. For a full year, the team lived in isolation inside a hanger,
201:17 ate shelf stable plant-based meals, and even suited up to explore a simulated
201:22 Martian surface. No escape, no sunlight, no shortcuts. >> I felt like our mission was a success and that we kind of proved that the
201:30 isolation was something that humans can overcome with the right with the
201:34 right tools. >> Astronaut Frank Rubio agrees. >> We're getting pretty good at the psychological part parts of it. A lot of
201:40 that's just picking the right people, the right personalities. Okay, so maybe
201:43 the mental toll of space isn't as scary as we feared. I mean, we all survived CO
201:48 lockdowns kind of. But on Earth, healthc care is a 911 call away. On Mars, you
201:55 could be 200 million miles from the nearest hospital. >> That's the closest uh hospital. You know, you've got to really be able
202:02 to think under that pressure. >> Now, imagine someone needs surgery in
202:05 microgravity. If you make an incision in the skin, you're going to hit some blood vessels, some small ones or maybe some venus
202:13 blood vessels. Hopefully, you don't hit an arterial vessel. And what's going to
202:17 happen is blood isn't going to come out and just roll down through the force of
202:23 gravity. It's going to pull at the wound. >> So, yes, surgery is possible in simulated zerog, but it's also risky,
202:31 equipment heavy, and prone to failure. Infection control questionable. Anesthesia, a whole other challenge. You can't use gas-based painkillers in a
202:41 sealed cabin. One leak could contaminate the air. >> So, you'd have to worry about everyone getting anesestized. But, you
202:48 know, you could be pretty careful about that. Another option is to sort of
202:52 inject into the spinal cord, but fluids tend to shift upwards in space, and so
202:56 you might have problems where the anesthesia doesn't get distributed as
203:00 well as you would like it to. Back in the 1990s, NASA ran surgical tests
203:04 aboard a parabolic aircraft that simulates microgravity, nicknamed the vomit comet. In one test, a surgeon opened an artery in a rabbit and watched
203:14 the blood form floating globes. Later, they successfully performed laparoscopy
203:19 on a 100 lb pig. >> So, the answer to when will we
203:22 understand this problem better is when pigs fly. >> Another issue with medical equipment. It takes up a lot of space. As you can
203:29 imagine, uh, Mars or lunar habitat are going to be pretty space limited. And
203:34 so, it's going to be important to find ways to work in a space that you
203:38 hopefully never need. >> That's why researchers are turning to
203:42 ondemand fabrication like 3D printed splints customized to the astronaut's
203:47 body. >> No worries. Sorry. No problem. It didn't break. It didn't break. This is the kind of research that
203:54 happens at Trish, the translational research institute for space health.
203:59 It's a NASA funded consortium based in Houston. Trish collects biomed data from
204:05 commercial space flights and it's building a database to help understand
204:09 what happens to the human body in orbit and beyond.
204:12 >> We work with NASA on the same risk but we are trying to understand this for all
204:16 humanity. So at some point as our race or species further and further starts
204:22 going into space more and more of us go into space we got to understand how the
204:27 body changes in space flight. >> Trish is also working on realtime
204:31 solutions like treatments for space motion sickness which doesn't act quite
204:35 like seasickness or car sickness. >> The symptoms are exactly the same but we
204:39 like I said we were aren't able to predict it. Heel to toe. Let's do 10
204:44 steps. Two. Three. Astronauts undergo pre and post-flight testing, including
204:49 obstacle courses to measure balance and coordination. >> And splashdown, crew 9 back on Earth.
205:00 >> As returning astronauts know, gravity is virtually non-existent in free space.
205:04 And on other worlds, it's wildly different. If you weigh 150 lb on Earth,
205:10 you'd weigh just 57 lb on Mars and only 25 lb on the moon.
205:15 >> My weight on the moon, 62.2 lb. >> Astronauts adjust surprisingly quickly to moving around in low gravity.
205:25 >> After about 8 months, like you genuinely almost, not that you forget how to walk,
205:30 but you forget what it feels like to walk. and and floating just
205:32 becomes your your perfectly normal feeling day-to-day kind of moving yourself around. And so I think one of the things that surprised
205:39 me the most is how adaptable our brain is. >> But while your brain adjusts, your body doesn't. In microgravity, your bodily
205:47 fluids shift upward. >> And for the first couple weeks, you feel
205:51 really stuffy and just kind of like you have a head cold. And that's
205:54 just due to all that extra volume in your in your head. And so your heart uh
205:59 for every stroke that it pumps, it now has a significantly greater
206:02 volume. So the the the stroke volume is has increased
206:05 and that puts a lot of stress on your on your heart. But perhaps the biggest
206:09 challenge in zero G is bone loss. Without gravity constantly pulling on
206:13 your skeleton, your bones start to deteriorate fast. It hits the
206:18 weightbearing bones first, your spine, hips, and legs. That's why treadmills
206:22 and resistance machines are essential in orbit. One of the most important, a red,
206:27 the advanced resistive exercise device. >> A red uses two vacuum cylinders
206:31 to recreate that resistance. An hour of intense work in to replicate the 24
206:36 hours worth of pressure that your bones would otherwise be feeling.
206:40 >> Some scientists say the answer to all this is simple. Just spin the
206:44 spacecraft. Rotating a habitat can simulate gravity through centrifugal force like in the O'Neal cylinders. But there's a catch and the Wii smiths call
206:54 it the washing machine effect which is that if you have ever had a washing
206:57 machine and all the towels were on one side when it started spinning it didn't
207:00 just spin nicely. It started wobbling. Right now in your washing machine that's
207:04 a slight concern in a rigid outer space structure. That's a terrifying concern.
207:10 And so you try to imagine you've got a rotating space station and then there's
207:13 a Taylor Swift concert on one side. So everybody goes right now you've created
207:17 the washing machine problem. I I depending on where the crack goes, maybe
207:22 all of Taylor's audience gets sucked out into the void. So, do we bounce back
207:26 after a stint in zero G? NASA's landmark twin study helped answer that. Astronaut
207:33 Scott Kelly spent nearly a year in space. His identical twin Mark stayed on
207:38 Earth. When Scott returned, researchers compared everything right down to the
207:42 DNA. Many of Scott's physiological changes reversed after he came home, but
207:48 some didn't. He came back with DNA damage from radiation, increased
207:52 inflammation, slower cognitive processing, dizziness, and nausea on re-entry. And here's the catch. We've only studied zero gravity and Earth
208:01 gravity. We know almost nothing about what happens in between. How does the
208:06 body respond to living on Mars gravity or moon gravity for years? What we don't
208:11 know after 63 years of spa human space flight, we do not know the gravity
208:17 prescription. We don't know the dose. We don't know the frequency and we don't
208:22 know the side effects. And there will be side effects. We just don't know them
208:27 yet. >> Right now, it's an open question with no
208:29 good answers. NASA has tried counter measures, including one particularly
208:34 strange solution. Sucky pants. So the idea here is that you get into these
208:39 pants or in some cases it's a sleeping bag and it creates lower
208:42 pressure around the bottom of you which results in the fluids up higher shifting
208:48 down in response to that change of pressure. But sometimes it happens too
208:52 fast and there have been stories about cosminauts sort of passing out as the
208:56 fluids like go down into the sucky pants. Uh and I've seen pictures of the
209:01 sucky sleeping bag and it doesn't look very comfortable. Turns out zero gravity
209:06 makes it hard to stand, sleep, and snuggle. In the 1980s, engineer G. Harry Stein made a shocking claim. Sources inside
209:19 NASA have informed him that there is work on uh in in neutral buoyancy tanks
209:26 uh having space sex. And so, what dolphins have to do with this? Well,
209:29 there's a claim that what dolphins do is have what you might call scientifically
209:34 obligate threesomes in which in order for two to clasp each other, there has
209:39 to be uh a third wheel, a third flipper, I don't know, to to make sure everyone's
209:44 going in the right pool to hold them in place.
209:46 >> Yeah. Uh and so there's just let's say some problems with this idea. One of
209:51 which is dolphins don't um and so >> they they manage those feet
209:55 just fine in the water by themselves. They're not the one. Maybe there's some
209:58 organism that actually does this. But it seems like evolution might have been I
210:02 don't know having having a late night. I don't know. But um what we figure is
210:07 either someone at NASA or just someone was having a laugh with Stein and Stein
210:11 just bought it. Like they apparently sent him a document with like their logo
210:14 like they had a club and then anyway so the point is the three dolphins club is
210:18 supposedly assigned to anyone who had actually accomplished it in space. um
210:23 and which supposedly happened repeatedly on the shuttle again according to Stein
210:28 and no one else. Um we are skeptical. Every step of human reproduction,
210:34 implantation, fetal development, delivery evolved on Earth. In space, we're in the dark. As far as you know, has anybody ever had sex in space?
210:47 >> Love this question. Um so there are uh you know looking at it
210:54 um I do not believe personally that um intercourse has ever happened in
211:01 space. Uh to answer that question um selfactivity um has can I can I say mast the word masturbation on here? Um, so yeah, self
211:14 uh self activity has has certainly occurred uh in in space.
211:19 >> Alex Leandker is the founder and director of the Advanced Space Life
211:23 Research Institute. >> We're a 501c3 nonprofit research organization based in Cape Canaveral uh studying the space life sciences, but a
211:32 lot more specifically human sexuality and reproduction factors as they apply
211:36 to outer space. So far, science has never seen a successful mamalian
211:41 pregnancy in space. Not in humans, not even in mice.
211:45 >> It was five female rats and two male rats uh into orbit and those
211:50 rats copulated, but no pregnancies uh resulted. >> Not a great look for the million astronaut Musk plan. I guess our view is
212:00 if you do as some very rich people are advocating and send a million
212:05 people to Mars at once, they are going to try to have children. And we consider
212:09 that essentially unethical. It'd be kind of like having babies in the middle of
212:12 Chernobyl just to see how it goes. It is possible it's going to be fine. You
212:16 know, people in the early space fairing days thought maybe it would be
212:18 impossible to eat in space and it just turned out you can. So, we'd like to get
212:23 those data first though before we start sending children to this environment.
212:27 And so the best way to do that would probably be to gradually ramp up
212:31 invertebrates on the moon. >> Alex's ass reorganization has designed
212:35 future rodent experiments, but human experiments could be a long way off.
212:41 >> As we have a projected right now, we're looking at uh hopefully being able to
212:46 have the first full scale uh human conception development and live birth
212:52 and delivery in space by 2055. But private space stations are coming soon.
212:58 Civilians are already flying and eventually someone is going to try.
213:03 >> They're going to go up there and try and do the deed. And we don't know the
213:06 outcome yet. We don't know how it's going to work
213:09 >> for sure. >> Without human reproduction, there is no
213:12 future in space. No colonies, no cities, no second generation. We can launch
213:17 billionaires. We can build bunkers on the moon. But if we can't make more
213:21 humans, then space isn't a new frontier. It's just a very expensive hotel with no
213:27 checkout policy. We've talked about fuel, food, gravity, radiation, and reproduction. But there's one more thing space explorers will have
213:37 to figure out. Rules. So, according to the 1967 outer space treaty through the
213:44 United Nations, no individual or nation or company is supposed to go out and
213:48 claim sovereignty over anything in space. But Elon Musk in the Starlink
213:53 terms of service says that they're going to go out and start a nation on Mars and
213:57 that the people on Mars will not be beholden to the laws of Earth.
214:00 And so what concerns me is that the person who has the most money and the
214:04 highest probability of actually starting settlements in space clearly plans to
214:09 disregard international law. >> If a billionaire builds a habitat, hires
214:13 a crew, and something goes wrong, whose court do you go to? There's no
214:17 president, no sheriff, no enforcement agency. Space governance might sound
214:22 boring until it isn't. Because when things go wrong in a sealed metal tube
214:27 34 million miles from Earth, you better know who's in charge.
214:32 It's easy to get swept up in the fantasy of cities on Mars, space cowboy balls,
214:37 and trillion person solar civilizations. But the truth is, we've barely figured
214:42 out the plumbing. So, how long can humans survive in space? Probably years
214:47 at a time. at least long enough to make it to Mars and back. But even if that's
214:51 true, it's fair to ask, why leave Earth at all? A 2023 Pew survey found that
214:58 only a small fraction of Americans think sending astronauts to the moon or Mars
215:03 should be a top NASA priority. Far more say NASA should focus on things closer
215:08 to home, like climate change and asteroid defense. >> Can we as humanity live on Mars? Um I think with the uh the mindset
215:19 that we have or the the the knowledge set that we have today
215:25 uh the answer would be no. But I think if you you know if you had asked any of
215:28 us uh 20 years ago about certain technologies that we have now, right?
215:32 Like hey are we ever going to have rockets that are landing their first
215:36 stage back on Earth? Right? Are we uh ever going to have humans that are
215:39 living in space for more than a year? Heck, are we ever going to have all the
215:43 the capacity that a cell phone has, right? All of us would have probably
215:46 said no 20 years ago. So, I think only time and creativity and, you
215:51 know, engineering are the things that are not limited. So, I think we can
215:55 resolve any of those problems. It's just going to be a little bit of uh time and
215:58 creativity and we'll get there. >> Right now, civilization is not ready to
216:03 expand to the stars. Not technically, not biologically, not politically. But
216:09 that doesn't mean we won't try. >> If we continue on the same trajectory
216:14 right now, we probably have another 90 to about 120 years of existence on
216:18 this planet before we may become endangered. >> Because space has always been a mirror reflecting not just our technology, but
216:26 our fears, our ambition, and our imagination. >> We're all standing on the edge of this this possibility.
216:33 >> Yeah. >> And out there is this undiscovered country called the future. It's called the galaxy. It's called the
216:37 universe. >> Okay. It's called hope. >> Okay, >> we need hope then.
216:42 >> And in space, even the skeptics in the end think that our only future will be
216:46 among the stars. >> I have to admit, I'm kind of a true
216:49 believer when it comes to permanent human expansion in the solar system. I
216:55 think it's real clear. We either leave the planet or perish. Uh it's just that
217:00 simple. And the universe doesn't seem to have a stake in the matter at all. It's
217:05 almost like um you know we can do that and survive or we can not do that and
217:11 eventually perish. It is true single planet species don't survive.
217:17 >> To be honest to the extent people see our book as a kind of like let's never
217:21 do this manifesto. We regret it. I mean I don't think we say that anywhere.
217:25 We're we're mostly pushing back against silly ideas or the idea that we can do
217:28 this immediately or that it would be ethical to do it immediately. For us,
217:33 you know, doing it right means handling all these difficult medical problems,
217:37 especially reproduction, handling the need to be able to create artificial
217:42 ecologies on other planets that can sustain people safely. And then somehow
217:46 finding a way to make a legal structure that allows all of this to be at least
217:51 moderately harmonious so that we don't increase the danger to ourselves uh by
217:56 expanding outward.